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Daily Roundup of Key US Economic Data for Sept. 24

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New-home sales accelerated to a 684,000 annual rate in August from a 643,000 rate in July but was still down 2% from the level in August 2025.

The Kansas City manufacturing reading rose to 14 in September from 10 in August, suggesting a faster pace of expansion.

Initial jobless claims decreased by 1,000 to 197,000 in the week ended Sept. 19, lowering the four-week moving average by 1,750 to 202,250, a third straight decrease.

Insured claims rose by 2,000 to 1,719,000 in the employment survey week ended Sept. 12. Insured claims were at a level of 1,771,000 in the employment survey week ended Aug. 15.

Natural gas stocks rose by 53 billion cubic feet to 3.351 trillion cubic feet in the week ended Sept. 18, down 4.2% from a year earlier but 2.9% higher than the seasonal average for the current week over the previous five years.

The current account gap widened to $246.02 billion in Q2 from $212.60 billion in the previous quarter, reflecting a wider goods and services gap that was partially offset by smaller primary and secondary income deficits.

What else is happening in International?

International

RBA Forecast to Hike Cash Rate by 25 Basis Points in September Meeting, BofA Securities Says

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.6% on Sept. 29, with the decision likely to be unanimous, BofA Securities said in a note on Wednesday.If the August consumer price index data leads the firm to revise its September quarter trimmed mean inflation forecast to 1% quarter-over-quarter, it will then forecast a further 25 basis points cash rate hike in November.The central bank's communication is likely to emphasize that inflation is too high with upside risks, the labor market remains tight, and growth is resilient.

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International

New Zealand New Residential Mortgage Lending Falls in August

Total new residential mortgage lending in New Zealand fell to NZ$7.19 billion in August from NZ$7.85 billion in July, according to data from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand released on Thursday.Residential mortgage lending to first home buyers fell to NZ$1.48 billion in August from NZ$1.58 billion in the previous month. Lending to other owner-occupiers decreased to NZ$4.23 billion from NZ$4.68 billion.Residential mortgage lending to investors fell to NZ$1.4 billion from NZ$1.48 billion, while that for business purposes decreased to NZ$84 million from NZ$109 million.Total new residential lending at a loan-to-valuation ratio above 80% came in at NZ$1.2 billion in August for all borrower types, down from NZ$1.26 billion in July.Residential mortgage lending, where the loan-to-valuation ratio is equal to or below 80%, was NZ$5.99 billion for all borrower types, down from NZ$6.59 billion in the previous month.

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International

ANZ Raises New Zealand Farmgate Milk Price Forecast to NZ$9.80 Per kgMS for 2026/27

ANZ revised its farmgate milk price forecast for the 2026/27 season up to NZ$9.80 per kilogram of milk solids from NZ$9.20, with rising oil prices simultaneously supporting milk powder prices while pushing the New Zealand dollar lower, according to a Thursday report by the bank.The bank said potential escalation or resolution of the Middle East conflict remains the key risk to the forecast, given the strong correlation between milk powder and oil prices and the likelihood that oil price volatility will persist.ANZ noted that Fonterra's (ASX:FCG) 2025/26 payout has been finalized at NZ$9.69 per kilogram of milk solids, with farmers and shareholders earning a combined NZ$12.42 per kilogram of milk solids for the year once dividends and the tax-free capital return from the sale of the co-operative's consumer business are included.

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