Canadian housing starts fell 5% on the month in July to an annualized 229,100 units, adding further downward pressure on residential investment and gross domestic product, according to TD Economics in a note Tuesday.
While construction remains relatively strong in Atlantic Canada, Quebec and the Prairies, supported by rental development, starts are trending lower in British Columbia and remain weak in Ontario, said the bank following data from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) released earlier Tuesday.
The slowdown is expected to persist as homebuilders contend with slower population growth, elevated unsold inventories, rising rental vacancy rates and earlier weakness in pre-construction sales, added TD.
The removal of the HST sales tax on new Ontario housing could provide a boost to demand, but its impact on construction activity is unlikely to be felt until next year and 2028, according to the bank.