German equities ended the last trading session of the week on a downbeat note, with the blue-chip DAX index falling 1.63% by Friday's close, as investors digested the latest industrial production data from the eurozone's largest economy.
Destatis reported that producer prices climbed 4.6% year over year in August, compared with 3% growth earlier and the market forecast of a 4.1% jump. On a monthly basis, producer prices were 1.1% higher, beating the expected 0.6% gain. The German Federal Statistical Office attributed the year-on-year increase to higher prices of mineral oil products.
Zooming out, consumer inflation expectations in the euro area rose month over month. Based on the latest monthly European Central Bank Consumer Expectations Survey, median expectations for inflation for the next 12 months ticked up to 3% in August from 2.9% in July. Meanwhile, the forecast for the next three years rose to 2.9% from 2.7%, while the projections for five years ahead edged up to 2.5% from 2.4%.
In geopolitical news, a supposed diplomatic intervention in the Middle East fueled market optimism that regional shipping channels may soon stabilize. Citing three Iranian sources familiar with the matter, Reuters reported that China privately urged Iran to step in and hold back attacks by Yemen's Houthi rebels along the Red Sea coast at Saudi Arabia's request.
On the corporate side, Metzler Capital Markets raised its price target and earnings forecast for DHL (DHL.F), citing positive momentum in the German logistics group's Express business after a division-focused capital markets briefing. Metzler revised the buy-rated stock's price target upward to 68 euros from 65 euros.
"We found the presentation very convincing. With regard to current trading, we have gained the impression that volume growth in Q3 has so far been at a similar level to that of the second quarter (9.4 per cent). In our view, this gives rise to the assumption that profit momentum in Q3 in the Express segment is likely to be similar to that in the second quarter. Presumably with slightly lower impact from the Iran crisis," the research firm wrote. "Based on this assumption, and extrapolating this trend to Q4, one could infer an Express result of over EUR 4 billion (e) for FY 2026. And a Group result of over EUR 7 billion (own calculations/estimates)." DHL lost 1.27% at the end of the session.