Alphabet's (GOOG, GOOGL) tensor processing unit opportunity could drive substantial upside to Google Cloud revenue and earnings through 2028, Oppenheimer said in a report emailed Thursday.
The firm forecasts about 6.6 gigawatts of external TPU sales through 2028, representing roughly $170 billion in "cumulative incremental" revenue that is not reflected in current Wall Street estimates. The projections imply Google Cloud revenue could be 15% above consensus in 2027 and 30% above in 2028, with "consolidated" earnings per share potentially 4% and 18% above consensus, respectively, according to the report.
Oppenheimer raised Google Cloud revenue estimates to $120.4 billion for 2026, $203 billion for 2027 and $322.7 billion for 2028. Google Cloud operating profit was projected at $39.9 billion, $68.5 billion and $117.1 billion, respectively, according to the report.
The firm also said an artificial intelligence survey showed Google remains "in lead position" with consumers. Gemini ranked as the second-most-used AI service behind Microsoft-backed (MSFT) OpenAI's ChatGPT, while respondents were about four times more likely to trust Google than Meta Platforms (META) "with passwords," a potentially important advantage for AI-driven commerce.
Oppenheimer reiterated an outperform rating on Alphabet with a price target of $400.
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