Sectors
Update: Gold Falls As Dollar and Yields Rise as Iran Again Closes the Strait of Hormuz
(Updates prices.)Gold traded lower early on Monday as the dollar rose while hopes for an end to the war on Iran faded after Iran on Friday opened and then closed the Strait of Hormuz, pushing up oil prices and the dollar on worries over higher inflation and interest rates.Gold for May delivery was last seen down US$51.80 to US$4,827.80 per ounce.Gold rose on Friday after Iran briefly reopened the Strait of Hormuz, the chokepoint for 20% of daily global oil demand supplied by Persian Gulf nations. However, later it again refused to permit transit through the waterway as the United States declined to end its blockade of Iran's ports.The United States is sending negotiators to Pakistan for peace talks. While Iran has not confirmed it will attend h after the U.S. Navy disabled and seized a Iranian cargo ship in the Gulf over the weekend. However the Wall Street Journal reported it informed Pakistan it will send a team of to the talks. A ceasefire between the two countries ends tomorrow, with U.S. President Trump again threatening to attack Iranian civilian infrastructure unless a deal is reached.The closure of the Strait has produced the largest-ever energy supply shock, pushing up physical oil prices along with gasoline and diesel costs and causing widespread shortages of aviation fuel, raising inflation and concerns central banks will need to hike interest rates in response."The latest weakness has been driven by renewed dollar strength and fresh concerns about energy-led inflation. Gold and silver, like many other commodities, remain highly sensitive to developments in the Middle East given the knock-on impact on the dollar, bond yields, and US rate expectations," Saxo Bank wrote in a note to clients.The dollar weakened, with the ICE dollar index last seen down 0.2 points to 98.07. Treasury yields were higher, with the U.S. two-year note last seen paying 3.725%, up 1.3 basis points, while the yield on the 10-year note was up 0.4 points to 4.255%.
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