Equities
Berenberg Adjusts Estimates for Galp Energia After 'Solid' Q1 Results; Hold Rating Maintained
Berenberg updated its earnings forecasts for Galp Energia (GALP.LS) after the Portuguese energy company reported its first-quarter results."Galp reported a solid set of results for Q126 on 27 April from an operational point of view, and beat consensus EBITDA expectations, although this was offset by some cash flow adjustments in the period. Delivery of the important Bacalhau project (Brazil) appears to be ahead of expectations, and, after a strong Q1 in the refining business, Galp is moving towards confirming the terms of its downstream merger with Moeve. In the earnings call, the company indicated that its 2026 guidance is now likely out of date given the macro backdrop, and that it may update its FY26 outlook in the Q2 results. We leave our Hold rating and EUR20 price target unchanged," the research firm said Wednesday.Against this backdrop, the research firm increased its 2026 EBITDA assumption by 3%, while cutting its cash flow from operations and free cash flow estimates by 4% and 3%, respectively, to account for a recent 320 million-euro renewable acquisition and other liquidity adjustments.Meanwhile, analysts maintained their share repurchase projection for 2026 at 250 million euros, while boosting their 2027 forecast to 455 million euros, which is 10% above consensus. Berenberg's EPS estimates for 2026 through 2028 were also revised upwards.
$GALP.LS