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Research Alert: Draftkings Beats Estimates; Maintains Full-year Guidance

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:DKNG delivered solid Q1 results with revenue up 17% to $1.646B and positive GAAP net income of $21.1M vs. a $33.9M loss in the prior year, while adjusted EBITDA surged 64% to $167.9M. Sportsbook revenue jumped 24% to $1.095B with net revenue margin expanding 140 basis points to 7.8%, demonstrating enhanced pricing power and favorable sports outcomes. We are impressed with continued momentum in the company's profitability push but worry about stagnant monthly active user growth and execution in prediction markets. Management maintained 2026 guidance for revenue of $6.5B-$6.9B and adjusted EBITDA of $700M-$900M, emphasizing plans to invest aggressively in Sports Predictions. MUPs declined 4% to 4.2M due to the Texas lottery exit but increased 2% excluding lottery operations, while average revenue per MUP jumped 21% to $131. The company ended with $999.4M in cash and shares trade at 16x consensus 2026 EBITDA estimates.

$DKNG

Research1d ago

Research Alert: Wheaton Precious Metals Posts Q1 Beat On Strong Volumes And Pricing

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:Wheaton delivered Q1 revenue of $901.5M, up 91.6% and 4% above consensus, while adjusted EPS of $1.28 increased 132% and beat estimates by $0.06. Gross margins expanded 119.2% to $699.4M while cost of sales rose only 33.5%, demonstrating streaming model leverage during rising precious metals prices. The fixed per-ounce payment structure validates streaming economics during favorable market conditions. Management targets 50% production growth to 1.2M gold equivalent ounces by 2030, representing material acceleration from current levels. The transformative $4.3B Antamina transaction with BHP closed in Q2, doubling exposure to one of the world's lowest-cost silver assets and representing the largest precious metals streaming deal on record. Operating cash flow reached $765.8M, up 112.3%, while cash balance of $2.16B provides exceptional financial flexibility. The Board increased the dividend 18% to $0.195 per share quarterly, marking three consecutive years of growth.

$WPM

Research1d ago

Research Alert: Mettler-toledo: Asia Sales Growth Supports Q1 Eps Beat, 2026 Guidance Increased

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:MTD reported strong Q1 results with adjusted EPS of $8.91, up 9% Y/Y and $0.20 above consensus, while total sales reached $947.1M, up 7% reported and 3% in local currency terms. Organic growth was 1%, with laboratory sales rising 1% (55% of total), industrial sales up 5% (40% of total), and food retail growing 7%. Despite an uncertain macroeconomic environment and challenges facing life sciences tools firms, we view this as strong performance demonstrating MTD's resilience. MTD raised full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $46.30-$46.95 from $46.05-$46.70, representing 8% to 10% growth. Regional performance showed mixed results, with Asia/Rest of World leading at 5% local currency growth, while Americas and Europe posted gains of 2% and 1% respectively. Adjusted operating margin declined ~80 bps to 26.0% due to higher R&D expense and weaker gross margin. In our view, the geographic variation reflects uneven global recovery patterns that MTD continues to navigate.

$MTD

Research1d ago

Research Alert: Expe: Low-quality Beat And Unchanged Guidance Temper Upside

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:EXPE posted Q1 revenue of $3.43B (+15% Y/Y) beating the $3.35B consensus, with gross bookings up 13% Y/Y, while adjusted EBITDA of $542M (+83% Y/Y) exceeded the $452M estimate with margins expanding 591 bps to 15.8%. Adjusted EPS of $1.96 topped the $1.39 consensus, though $1.24 of the improvement reflects exclusion of a $155M equity investment loss. The margin expansion narrative was reinforced, with the company repurchasing $700M in stock and announcing a new $5B authorization. Management maintained full-year guidance at 6%-8% gross bookings growth despite the Q1 beat, citing 200 bps headwinds from Mexico and Middle East geopolitical issues. B2B was the primary growth driver with revenue up 25% and bookings up 22%, while B2C showed more modest growth at 8% revenue and 10% bookings. We believe investors should weigh the headline beat against adjusted earnings quality and the lack of raised outlook given ongoing geopolitical overhangs limiting catalyst potential.

$EXPE

Research1d ago

Research Alert: Nwsa: Dow Jones And Digital Real Estate Services Drive Mar-q Beat

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:News Corp delivered a FQ3 2026 beat with revenue of $2.19B (+9% Y/Y vs. $2.11B consensus) and EBITDA of $343M (+18% Y/Y vs. $330M consensus). Adjusted EPS of $0.21 beat the $0.20 consensus estimate, compared to $0.17 in the prior year. The results reinforce the bull case on News Corp's transformation toward higher-margin, recurring digital revenue streams, driven by Dow Jones and Digital Real Estate Services strength. Management reiterated a pathway to $1B in annual Dow Jones EBITDA within five years, implying a mid-teens CAGR from $640M run rate. We view the quarter as supporting our thesis that Dow Jones and Digital Real Estate can sustain mid-teens EBITDA growth, which should underpin current valuation. The company continues executing accelerated buybacks and management guides to strong FCF growth for the full year, while AI content licensing deals with Meta and OpenAI remain unquantified. However, we believe News Media deterioration and AI monetization uncertainty warrant monitoring.

$NWSA

Research1d ago

Research Alert: G Q1: Ai-driven Transformation Accelerates With 24% Advanced Tech Growth

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:G reported Q1 revenues of $1.30B (+7% Y/Y), beating consensus of $1.29B, with adjusted EPS of $0.98 vs. $0.84 prior year, exceeding estimates by $0.06. ATS accelerated 24% to $345M (27% of revenue) while Core Business Services grew 1% to $951M, demonstrating strong execution on strategic transformation toward higher-value AI services. The company's positioning in agentic operations continues driving robust client demand and margin expansion. Management emphasized that agentic transformation succeeds when "grounded in real-world expertise," highlighting G's competitive differentiation. Gross margin expanded to 36.4% for the 12th consecutive quarter while adjusted operating margin held steady at 17.3%, reflecting operational leverage. G repurchased $70M in shares, though operating cash flow turned negative at -$24M vs. +$40M in the prior year due to working capital timing. We believe G's focus on AI integration services positions it well to capitalize on growing digital transformation demand.

Research1d ago

Research Alert: Afrm Mar-q: Strong Growth Meets Expanding Profitability

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:AFRM delivered strong Mar-Q results, with diluted EPS of $0.30 vs. $0.01 prior year (beating consensus by $0.17) on revenue of $1.04B (+33%) vs. Street estimate of $995M. GMV reached $11.6B (+35%), marking the 10th consecutive quarter of 30%+ growth, while operating income surged to $88M from an $8M loss prior year. We believe the outperformance underscores AFRM's ability to scale efficiently while maintaining disciplined underwriting standards, with over 70% of RLTC dollar growth flowing to adjusted operating income. RLTC expanded 41% to $498M, representing 4.31% of GMV and exceeding management's 3%-4% long-term target range. The Affirm Card continued as a transformational catalyst with GMV surging 146% to $2.1B and active cardholders more than doubling to 4.4M, reinforcing its role in evolving AFRM from discrete checkout to primary spending tool. We expect the Card's momentum to drive network effects as in-store GMV remains more than an order of magnitude higher than non-Card surfaces.

$AFRM

Research1d ago

Research Alert: Diod Extends Growth Streak, Automotive/industrial Fueling Margin Improvement

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:DIOD posted Q1 revenue of $405.5M (+22% Y/Y), beating consensus and guidance by $10M, marking the strongest growth since Q4 2021 and the fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit expansion. Non-GAAP EPS surged to $0.43 (+126% Y/Y) vs. consensus of $0.30, with gross margin reaching 31.8%, the highest since Q4 2025, driven by favorable mix toward automotive/industrial products. We remain cautious on sustainability given formidable competition in commodity analog/discrete products, though the automotive recovery has been stronger than anticipated amid mixed OEM signals. Q2 guidance projects sales of $435M (+19% Y/Y) with gross margin expanding to 32.8% and EPS of $0.60 vs. consensus at $0.55. We are watching whether AI-server momentum can be sustained as DIOD faces intense competition. The balance sheet remains solid with $409M cash vs. $55M debt, though we view inventory management as a work in progress during this growth phase.

$DIOD

Research1d ago

Research Alert: Mp Materials Posts Strong Q1 Beat, Production Ramps On Schedule

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:MP Materials reported Q1 revenue of $90.6M, up 49% and $15M above consensus, returning to profitability with adjusted EBITDA of $36.6M versus $(2.7M) loss. Adjusted EPS of $0.03 beat consensus by $0.07, reflecting DoD Price Protection Agreement impact. The DoD partnership contributed $42.3M in revenue, validating our view that the guaranteed $110/kg floor fundamentally alters MP's earnings profile from commodity-exposed to strategically protected. Management maintains guidance for 6,000 MT annualized NdPr run rate by end-2026, with heavy rare earth separation targeting mid-2026 and 10X facility commissioning in 2028. NdPr production reached 917 MT (+63%) while sales increased 117%, supporting operational targets. We believe the revenue mix shift toward higher-value products, with NdPr revenue up 192% to $71.1M, demonstrates MP's transition to integrated manufacturing. The $1.74B cash position funds the estimated $2.0B capital program, though we expect 10X execution risk remains the primary valuation variable.

$MP

Research1d ago

Research Alert: Callaway Golf Beats Estimates; Raises Guidance

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:Callaway Golf delivered strong Q1 2026 results with net sales of $687.5M (+9.2%) and adjusted EBITDA of $163.7M (+31.1%), demonstrating early benefits from the Topgolf divestiture. Both segments performed well, with Golf Equipment sales growing 9.5% to $486.2M and Apparel increasing 8.4% to $201.3M, while GAAP gross margin expanded 250 bps to 47.5%. The balance sheet transformation is evident with $500M cash against $474M debt, enabling $79M in share repurchases and aggressive capital returns following the strategic divestiture. Management raised full-year 2026 guidance with net sales now expected at $2.015B-$2.070B and adjusted EBITDA at $211M-$233M, reflecting confidence in sustained demand and operational improvements. We are impressed with the company's quick success as a focused entity. However, valuation appears stretched at over 23x consensus 2026 EBITDA estimates even if estimates rise to match the company's guidance.

$CALY

Research1d ago

Research Alert: Gmed Posts Strong Q1 On Strong Sales, Margin Expansion, And Nevro Integration

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:GMED delivered exceptional Q1 2026 results, with adjusted EPS of $1.12 (+64.7% Y/Y), significantly exceeding expectations, while net sales reached $759.9M (+27.0% Y/Y). The base business excluding Nevro grew a solid 13.2% Y/Y to $677.2M, indicating healthy organic growth across the portfolio. The standout performance was attributed to remarkable margin expansion, with adjusted EBITDA margins improving 260 bps to 32.3% and gross margins expanding 280 bps to 66.4% as the company continued realizing meaningful synergies from its NuVasive and Nevro acquisitions. Management raised 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $4.70-$4.80 from the previous $4.40-$4.50 range while reaffirming revenue guidance of $3.18B-$3.22B, reflecting confidence in operational leverage benefits. The core spine business showed particular strength, with US Spine delivering its third consecutive quarter of over 10% growth, while Nevro integration progressed in line with expectations, contributing $82.7M in sales during the quarter.

$GMED

Research1d ago

Research Alert: Guardant Health: Testing Volume Growth Highlights Successful Q1 Results

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:Guardant Health delivered one of its strongest quarters with Q1 sales surging 48% to ~$302M, well above the $279M consensus estimate, driven by oncology testing volumes of 86K tests (+47% Y/Y) and screening revenue jumping over 600%. Oncology sales grew 36% to $205M while Shield screening revenue reached $41.6M vs. $5.7M in the prior year, with Shield volumes of ~44K up nearly 400% Y/Y. We believe the recently announced nationwide Quest Diagnostics collaboration supports Shield's momentum and strengthens the growth trajectory. Following these strong results, management raised 2026 sales growth guidance to a 33% midpoint from 28.5% previously. Adjusted gross margin improved to 66% from 65% despite significant volume growth, demonstrating operational leverage. We expect continued acceleration in Shield adoption and oncology volume growth to drive sustained revenue expansion, supported by expanding reimbursement coverage and the Quest partnership enhancing market penetration.

$GH

Research1d ago

Research Alert: Ringcentral Reports Modest Q1 Results As It Continues To Focus On Ai

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:RingCentral reported Q1 2026 revenue of $644M (+5%) with subscription revenue of $623M (+6%). GAAP EPS improved to $0.35 from ($0.11) prior year, while non-GAAP EPS of $1.20 (+20%) and record GAAP operating margin of 7.8% vs. 1.7% showed strong acceleration. The company achieved a significant AI monetization milestone, with ARR from customers utilizing at least one paid AI product now exceeding 10% of total ARR and doubling year-over-year. Management raised full-year 2026 guidance across revenue, non-GAAP operating margin, and free cash flow. Strong free cash flow of $141M enabled $609M in debt reduction, $81M in share repurchases, and the company's first quarterly dividend of $0.075 per share, leaving no debt maturities until 2030. We believe the combination of AI-driven ARPU improvements and disciplined expense management positions RingCentral well for sustained profitability expansion and enhanced shareholder returns.

$RNG

Research1d ago

Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Buy Opinion On Shares Of Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lower our 12-month target price by $55, to $235, valuing AJG shares at 18x our '26 EPS estimate of $13.26 (lowered today by $0.24), and at 16x our '27 EPS estimate of $14.90 (cut by $0.30), versus the shares' three-year average forward multiple of 24x and a peer average of 14x. AJG posted Q1 adjusted EPS of $4.47 versus $3.72 the prior year, missing our $4.56 estimate but topping the $4.43 consensus view. Q1 revenue growth of 28% exceeded our 12%-18% forecast, largely due to acquisitions, though firm-wide organic growth of 5% lagged our 7%-10% forecast. We view AJG as one of the better consolidators in the industry, though growing investor concern exists over execution risks inherent in this acquisition strategy. While we acknowledge these concerns, we think the shares', currently trading at 15x our '26 EPS estimate, are undervalued versus historical averages. Our rating is Buy.

$AJG

Research1d ago

Research Alert: Lyft Posts In-line Results, Kpi Deceleration But Resilient Guidance

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:LYFT reported Q1 results near expectations, with revenue of $1.65B (+14% Y/Y) slightly above the consensus view ($1.63B) and GAAP EPS of $0.04 just missing expectations for $0.07. Adjusted EBITDA of $133M (+25% Y/Y) was near consensus ($131M), with margin expanding 10 bps Y/Y (-30 bps Q/Q) to 2.7% of gross bookings. Demand metrics remained strong but decelerated slightly, with gross bookings up 19% to $4.9B (flat with Q4's growth), Active Riders growing 17% to 28.3M (vs. Q4's +18%) and Rides decelerating to 8.5% growth from 11.4% in Q4, with management continuing to prioritize profitability over volume. Q2 guidance was encouraging, with gross bookings guided to $5.365B (+19.5% Y/Y) and adjusted EBITDA guided to ~$170M (+32% Y/Y), both representing modest acceleration. Partnerships remain a key growth driver, with 27% of North American rides in Q1 linked to partnerships and DoorDash-linked rides hitting a record high. Free cash flow of $287M significantly exceeded Street expectations ($130M).

$LYFT

Research1d ago

Research Alert: Xyz Posts Record Adj. Operating Margins; Ai Efficiency Powers Growth

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:Block delivered strong Q1 results, with gross profit accelerating to 27% growth and adjusted EPS of $0.85 vs $0.68 consensus, driven by robust performance across both segments. Revenue of $6.06B beat estimates by $30M, while adjusted operating margin expanded 500 bps to a record 25%. The company's AI transformation is gaining material traction, with production code changes per engineer up 2.5x and incident rates declining 70%, as product development expenses fell 9% despite continued AI investments. Cash App's 38% gross profit growth was powered by Consumer Lending originations surging 82% to $17.6B and Commerce Enablement accelerating to 18% growth, while Square's GPV growth accelerated to 13%, fastest in quarters. We believe the AI-driven productivity gains and strong momentum across both Cash App lending products and Square's mid-market expansion position XYZ well for growth while maintaining disciplined capital allocation with $636M in Q1 buybacks and $9.1B liquidity.

$XYZ

Research1d ago

Research Alert: Wynn Resorts Posts Mixed Fq1 Despite Las Vegas Strength

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:Wynn Resorts delivered strong Q1 2026 results with operating revenues increasing 9.2% Y/Y to $1.86B, $31M above estimates, and diluted EPS surging 50.7% to $1.04 vs. $0.69 in the prior year, though $0.14 below consensus. The quarter represents a turnaround from mixed Q4 2025 performance, driven by exceptional results at Wynn Palace and steady Las Vegas growth. We were impressed with Las Vegas outperformance compared to peers and view the report positively despite Macau disappointment. Wynn Palace was the standout with revenues surging 23% to $659.3M and adjusted property EBITDAR increasing 25.9% to $203.8M, benefiting from improved gaming dynamics and VIP recovery. Las Vegas demonstrated resilience with revenues up 5.9% to $661.9M and EBITDAR up 4.1% to $232.5M, achieving strong pricing power with ADR rising 12.3% to $592. Wynn Macau faced margin pressure with flat revenues of $329.9M and EBITDAR declining 16.2% to $75.6M due to unfavorable gaming win rates. Shares trade at 9x consensus EBITDA estimates.

$WYNN

Research1d ago

Research Alert: Wmg: Strong Q2 Fy 26 Results With Double-digit Revenue Growth, Margin Expansion

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:WMG delivered strong Q2 FY 26 results with EPS of $0.35 (consensus $0.29) versus $0.32 a year ago, and revenue of $1.73B (consensus $1.48B), up 17% Y/Y. Revenue growth accelerated to 17%, the strongest in recent quarters, with record revenue driven by double-digit growth in Recorded Music (+17%) and Music Publishing (+14%) segments. Market share gains and streaming momentum support our thesis, with streaming revenue up 20% to over $1.18B and digital revenue increasing 17% to $975M. Management expressed confidence in the FY 26 outlook, expecting cost savings to contribute 150-200 bps of margin improvement while continuing to invest in AI-related revenue streams. We expect continued operational leverage as margin expansion of 250 bps exceeded full-year guidance. WMG's balance sheet remains highly leveraged with total debt at $4.7B against cash of $741M, though free cash flow improved to $99M versus $33M a year ago, supporting continued artist investments and shareholder returns.

$WMG

Research1d ago

Research Alert: Coinbase Q1 Results: Revenue Miss On Crypto Weakness Amidst Tam Share Gains

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:COIN reported Q1 2026 revenue of $1.4B (-21% Q/Q, $66M below consensus) vs. $1.78B in Q4 2025 and down 30.5% Y/Y. Transaction revenue declined 23% Q/Q to $756M, while subscription and services revenue fell 20% Q/Q to $583M with Stablecoin revenue at $305M. The decline reflected broader risk-off sentiment and low volatility that suppressed trading activity across markets, particularly in longer-tail crypto assets, amid total crypto market cap and trading volumes both declining 20% Q/Q. COIN provided Q2 2026 guidance outlook for subscription and services revenue between $565M and $645M, below current analyst views. Consumer transaction revenue was $567M (-23% Q/Q) driven by consumer spot trading volume decline of 35%, partially offset by favorable mix shift and growth in newer product offerings. Institutional transaction revenue totaled $136M (-27% Q/Q) in line with broader market declines and macroeconomic headwinds affecting the established crypto ecosystem.

$COIN

Research1d ago

Research Alert: Gen Delivers Q4 Beats, Sets Fy 27 Outlook Above Expectations

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:GEN delivered solid Q4 FY 26 results with non-GAAP EPS of $0.67 (+14% Y/Y), beating consensus by $0.02, while revenue of $1.283B (+27% Y/Y) exceeded estimates by $30M. Full-year revenue reached a $5B milestone (+27% Y/Y) with EPS of $2.56 (+15% Y/Y), representing strongest annual performance in a decade. Trust-Based Solutions drove growth with Q4 revenue of $446M (+121% Y/Y), driven by successful MoneyLion integration, while paid customers expanded to 79M (+16% Y/Y). Management initiated FY 27 guidance above expectations with revenue of $5.325-5.425B (7-8% growth) and EPS of $2.85-2.95 vs consensus. Operating margin compressed to 50.0% (-840 bps) due to integration investments, though free cash flow remained robust at $1.523B (+26% Y/Y), supporting $634M in share repurchases and dividend payments. We believe the strong growth trajectory appears sustainable, though we are monitoring the durability of Trust-Based Solutions expansion and margin recovery timeline.

$GEN

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