Macquarie Economist Sees A Bank of Canada September Rate Hike on Labor Market Improvement, Stronger Growth Momentum
The Bank of Canada held the Overnight rate at 2.25% on Wednesday as was widely expected, said David Doyle, head of economics at Macquarie Group.Governor Tiff Macklem's commentary was largely consistent with what was outlined at the April policy meeting, noted Doyle.The key sentence remained in the rate announcement. This indicates the BoC "will not let higher energy prices become persistent inflation" and will "respond as needed."As the governor did in April, Macklem referred to the potential for "consecutive increases" in the policy rate should energy prices remain elevated.Macquarie continues to anticipate the BoC's next move to be a rate hike, with the baseline timing in September 2026. Doyle added that the expectation for labor market improvement and stronger growth momentum informs this view.