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$TOU

2 stories mentioning TOUUpdated 51d ago

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Research

Research Alert: Tou Maintained Buy As Lower Gas Pricing Dents Cash Flow: Tp Cad74

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We maintain our Buy (4-STARS) rating and decrease our target price to CAD74. This is based on an EV/EBITDA multiple of 6.8x our 2027 EBITDA projection. We reduced the EBITDA multiple from 7.2x to 6.8x to bring it closer in line with the long-term bands. While still a premium multiple, we believe the Iranian war, ARC deal, and global energy sentiment will elevate multiples for a time. Q1 production was 666,089 boe/d, within guidance. Cash flow declined 10% to CAD862.2M, reflecting lower gas pricing realizations, which were down 17% Y/Y. Overall, guidance was maintained and infrastructure projects remain on schedule. No special dividend or base dividend increase was announced.

$TOU
Research

Research Alert: Tou Q1: Record Q1 Production, Raises 2026-2027 Fcf Outlook To Cad0.9b Annually

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:TOU reported Q1 production of 666,089 boe/d within guidance despite capital deferrals, with net earnings surging to CAD657.6M from CAD212.7M prior year. Cash flow declined 10% to CAD862.2M on lower North American gas prices, though free cash flow increased 36% to CAD202.0M benefiting from CAD350M capital reduction. TOU's scale and marketing diversification should pay off in coming quarters, with hedging covering 930 mmcf/d for remainder of 2026 at CAD5.13/mcf and 45% of propane receiving AFEI pricing that has appreciated 25% since late February. Management updated 2026/2027 free cash flow guidance to approximately CAD0.9B annually. Well performance continued outpacing historical averages with NEBC Montney wells up 13% and Alberta Deep Basin wells up 6% versus 2020-2025 averages. The company plans to drill 280 net wells in 2026 with CAD200M of additional capital identified for potential deferral, maintaining multi-decade development inventory with only 15.4% of drilling inventory booked.

$TOU

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