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$TKO

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Research

Research Alert: CFRA Downgrades Opinion To Hold From Buy On Shares Of Tko Group Holdings, Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lower our target by $45 to $200, using a forward TEV/EBITDA of 19.0x vs. the three-year historical average at 20.0x. Our EBITDA estimates are $2.30B in 2026 and $2.40B in 2027. We find this company difficult to forecast. Correcting prior EPS calculations and lowering our expectations, we reduce our 2026 EPS estimate by $3.45 to $3.05 and 2027's by $3.55 to $3.20 on respective revenue projections of $5.7B and $5.8B. We think the momentum for TKO across three principal businesses has slowed down considerably in Q1 2026 results. We believe the share price has higher-than-average market volatility, although TKO is a newly formed company. TKO completed a number of strategic transactions that enable TKO to scale as a premium sports entertainment company. Valuation is problematic for TKO, given the number of businesses it has acquired or merged in the last two years. We think normalized valuation metrics like TEV/EBITDA are best served using 2026 EBITDA estimates, excluding any potential acquisitions.

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Insider Trading

Tko Group Holdings Insider Sold Shares Worth $1,770,287, According to a Recent SEC Filing

Nick Khan, Director, on May 04, 2026, sold 9,518 shares in Tko Group Holdings (TKO) for $1,770,287. Following the Form 4 filing with the SEC, Khan has control over a total of 91,100 Class A common shares of the company, with 91,100 shares held directly.SEC Filing:https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1973266/000119312526209747/xslF345X05/ownership.xml

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Research

Research Alert: Tko Group Holdings Reports Q1 2026 Earnings Beat; Revenue In Line

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:TKO reported mixed Q1 2026 results with EPS of $1.12 beating consensus by $0.06, while revenue of $1.6B (+26%) was only in line with estimates. Growth was fueled by IMG integration and broad-based strength across UFC, WWE, and IMG segments. Despite mixed top-line performance, profitability metrics showed improvement with Adjusted EBITDA advancing 32% to $549.8M and margin expanding 100 bps to 34%. Management reaffirmed full-year 2026 guidance of $5.68B-$5.78B in revenue and $2.24B-$2.29B in Adjusted EBITDA. The company delivered exceptional cash generation with free cash flow of $674.5M and returned $1.0B to shareholders through buybacks and dividends. We believe the diversified revenue model provides strong visibility, with new media rights deals including the $1.1B annual Paramount agreement and ESPN/Netflix contracts supporting future growth. In our view, the additional $1B buyback authorization signals board confidence in the business model and cash flow trajectory as we look ahead in 2026-2027.

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Wire

Live Entertainment Poised to Capture Value in AI-Driven Content Surge, Morgan Stanley Says

Generative artificial intelligence is likely to commoditize content while live experiences, especially sports, are set to capture attention and generate the most value, Morgan Stanley said in a note emailed Friday.The firm sees Formula One (FWONK), TKO Group (TKO), Live Nation Entertainment (LYV), Walt Disney (DIS) and Sphere Entertainment (SPHR) as particularly resilient, "anti-fragile" entertainment assets in an AI-driven world.In a more fragmented and distracted world, "nothing captures viewer attention more than sports and live events, which carry urgency, unpredictability, and a sense of communal participation that reflect and shape the culture," the firm said, adding that these events' scarcity gives them stronger monetization and pricing power.The firm said Live Nation and Sphere Entertainment are the clearest examples of this trend. Disney's Parks and Resorts use well-known global intellectual property to create in-person experiences with strong pricing power. Formula One and TKO Group provide exposure to highly strategic trophy assets, with strong cash flows and attractive entry points, according to the note.Morgan Stanley adjusted price targets on Liberty Formula One from $120 to $117, Sphere Entertainment from $135 to $158, and TKO Group from $215 to $225, while TKO was also upgraded from equalweight to overweight. Paramount Skydance (PSKY) was upgraded from underweight to overweight and its price target was raised from $11 to $14.Price: $103.82, Change: $+0.07, Percent Change: +0.07%

$DIS$FWONK$LYV$PSKY$SPHR$TKO
Research

Morgan Stanley Upgrades TKO Group Holdings to Overweight From Equalweight, Lifts Price Target to $225 From $215

TKO Group Holdings (TKO) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $236.67 according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)

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