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Research

TD Bank Price Target Raised to $156 at RBC

RBC Capital Markets raised its price target on Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO, TD) to $156 from $138.Analyst Darko Mihelic maintained an Outperform rating on shares of the Canadian bank."TD's adjusted results were above our expectations across most segments except for Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking," Mihelic said in a note to clients. "PCLs and non-interest expense were both better than we anticipated.""We like what we saw with respect to the US business but at the margin see slightly lower earnings in Canada and we scaled back buybacks a touch," the analyst said."We modestly increase our core earnings estimates across most segments and we see the investment case as still better than most other Canadian banks we cover."

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Research

Research Alert: CFRA Reiterates Hold Opinion On Shares Of The Toronto-dominion Bank

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:Following strong Q2 results, we raise our 12-month target price by CAD22 to CAD173, 16.6x our FY 27 (Oct.) EPS view of CAD10.42, above the peer average P/E of 13.9x, as superior credit quality and improving efficiency outweigh headwinds stemming from the asset cap on TD's two U.S. banking subsidiaries. We increase our FY 26 EPS estimate to CAD9.65 from CAD9.37 and bump up FY 27's to CAD10.42 from CAD10.22. Raymond Chun's strong performance as TD's new CEO has carried into 2026, with notable improvements across key metrics. Superior credit quality versus peers and disciplined expense management position TD to exceed its FY 2026 guidance, and we now expect 15% EPS growth (vs. 6-8% guidance) and adjusted ROE above 14% (vs. 13% guidance). However, we believe the stock already reflects this outperformance, as shares currently trade at their highest valuation since before the financial crisis, representing a 43% premium to the bank's 10-year average forward P/E.

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Research

Research Alert: CFRA Reiterates Hold Opinion On Shares Of The Toronto-dominion Bank

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:Following strong Q2 results, we raise our 12-month target price by USD16 to USD126, 16.6x our FY 27 (Oct.) EPS view of CAD10.42(USD7.56), above the peer average P/E of 13.9x, as superior credit quality and improving efficiency outweigh headwinds stemming from the asset cap on TD's two U.S. banking subsidiaries. We increase our FY 26 EPS estimate to CAD9.65 from CAD9.37 and bump up FY 27's to CAD10.42 from CAD10.22. Raymond Chun's strong performance as TD's new CEO has carried into 2026, with notable improvements across key metrics. Superior credit quality versus peers and disciplined expense management position TD to exceed its FY 2026 guidance, and we now expect 15% EPS growth (vs. 6-8% guidance) and adjusted ROE above 14% (vs. 13% guidance). However, we believe the stock already reflects this outperformance, as shares currently trade at their highest valuation since before the financial crisis, representing a 43% premium to the bank's 10-year average forward P/E.

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Sectors

Sector Update: Financial Stocks Lean Lower Premarket Thursday

Financial stocks were leaning lower premarket Thursday, with the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) declining by 0.2%.The Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) was down 0.3% and its bearish counterpart Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ) was 0.6% higher.Cambridge University is pulling out funds from HSBC (HSBC), Barclays (BCS), and other institutions that continue to finance fossil fuels, Bloomberg reported, citing sources familiar with the matter. HSBC shares were down more than 2% and Barclays stock fell past 1% pre-bell.Banco Macro (BMA) shares were down more than 1% after the company reported Q1 net income that missed analysts' expectations.Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) stock was marginally advancing after the company posted higher fiscal Q2 adjusted earnings.

$BCS$BMA$FAS$FAZ$HSBC$TD$XLF
Asia Markets

Fresh Military Strikes Between US, Iran Drag US Equity Futures Pre-Bell

US equity futures were edging lower pre-bell Thursday as fresh US and Iranian strikes once again threatened the fragile ceasefire between the two nations, reducing optimism surrounding a potential peace deal.Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were 0.3% lower, S&P 500 futures were down 0.1%, and Nasdaq futures were 0.2% lower.The US military said it had fired on Iranian drones over the Strait of Hormuz and attacked a military site in the port city of Bandar Abbas, which is the second time in three days it has struck targets in Iran for what it called self-defense. Iran said it responded by launching an attack on an American air base in the region.Traders observed the latest round of earnings, including those of several major Canadian banks. Royal Bank of Canada (RY) reported higher fiscal Q2 adjusted earnings and revenue, while Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) posted increased fiscal Q2 adjusted earnings amid lower revenue.Oil prices were higher, with front-month global benchmark North Sea Brent crude up 2.2% at $94.26 per barrel and US West Texas Intermediate crude 2.4% higher at $90.73 per barrel.The April core personal consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, released at 8:30 am ET, gained 0.2%, lower than the 0.3% increase in the prior month and the expected 0.3% gain in a survey compiled by Bloomberg.Initial jobless claims rose to 215,000 in the week ended May 23 from 210,000 level in the previous week, compared with expectations for a smaller increase to 211,000. Preliminary Q1 GDP growth was recorded at a 1.6% rise, compared with the advance estimate of a 2% increase.Durable goods new orders rose 7.9% in April after a 1.3% gain in the prior month, compared with expectations for a 4% increase.In other world markets, Japan's Nikkei closed 0.5% lower, Hong Kong's Hang Seng ended 1.3% lower, and China's Shanghai Composite finished 0.1% higher. Meanwhile, the UK's FTSE 100 was down 1%, and Germany's DAX index was 0.7% lower in Europe's early afternoon session.In equities, Dell Technologies (DELL) shares were up 4.6% after the company said its unit Dell Federal Systems won a blanket purchase agreement with an overall estimated value of $9.69 billion from the US Navy under the Department of Defense Enterprise Software Initiative. Snowflake (SNOW) stock was 37% higher after the cloud-based data platform lifted its fiscal 2027 product revenue outlook and agreed to a $6 billion infrastructure spending deal with Amazon's (AMZN) Amazon Web Services. Royal Bank of Canada shares were up 1.7% after the bank reported its fiscal Q2 financial results.On the losing side, HSBC (HSBC) stock was down 2.2% after a Bloomberg News report that UK's Cambridge University was withdrawing its investments from institutions providing financial support to fossil fuels, including the British bank. AstraZeneca (AZN) shares were 0.8% lower after the company said that the US Food and Drug Administration delayed the decision deadline for its new drug application regarding a combination breast cancer treatment.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AMZN$AZN$DELL$HSBC$RY$SNOW$TD
Research

Research Alert: Td Reports Q2 Fy 26 Earnings Beat As Credit Quality Shines

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) reported strong Q2 FY 26 (Oct.) results, with operating EPS of CAD2.38 vs. CAD1.97 in the prior year, beating consensus by CAD0.12. Revenue rose 6% to CAD16.0B on 9% NII growth. Credit quality remained exceptional as provisions fell 25% Y/Y to CAD1.0B and gross impaired loans improved 4 bps sequentially to 54 bps, outperforming peers, which saw deterioration. The strong performance drove adjusted ROE to 14.4%, the highest level in two years, though TD increased its dividend modestly by 3.7% to CAD1.12, reflecting its rebuild mode. Management highlighted strong momentum across businesses and ongoing AML remediation progress while maintaining disciplined expense management. Efficiency improved, with the adjusted ratio reaching 57.0% from 57.6% as expense growth of 5% lagged revenue gains. The CET1 ratio of 14.3% declined 60 bps Y/Y but remains well above peers and regulatory requirements, supporting TD's CAD2.0B in shareholder returns and continued buyback program.

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Research

Research Alert: Td Reports Q2 Fy 26 Earnings Beat As Credit Quality Shines

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) reported strong Q2 FY 26 (Oct.) results, with operating EPS of CAD2.38 vs. CAD1.97 in the prior year, beating consensus by CAD0.12. Revenue rose 6% to CAD16.0B on 9% NII growth. Credit quality remained exceptional as provisions fell 25% Y/Y to CAD1.0B and gross impaired loans improved 4 bps sequentially to 54 bps, outperforming peers, which saw deterioration. The strong performance drove adjusted ROE to 14.4%, the highest level in two years, though TD increased its dividend modestly by 3.7% to CAD1.12, reflecting its rebuild mode. Management highlighted strong momentum across businesses and ongoing AML remediation progress while maintaining disciplined expense management. Efficiency improved, with the adjusted ratio reaching 57.0% from 57.6% as expense growth of 5% lagged revenue gains. The CET1 ratio of 14.3% declined 60 bps Y/Y but remains well above peers and regulatory requirements, supporting TD's CAD2.0B in shareholder returns and continued buyback program.

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Japan

Fresh Military Strikes Between US, Iran Weigh on US Equity Futures Pre-Bell

US equity futures were lower pre-bell Thursday as fresh US and Iranian strikes once again threatened the fragile ceasefire between the two nations, reducing optimism surrounding a potential peace deal.Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were 0.2% lower, S&P 500 futures were down 0.3%, and Nasdaq futures were 0.5% lower.The US military said it had fired on Iranian drones over the Strait of Hormuz and attacked a military site in the port city of Bandar Abbas, which is the second time in three days it has struck targets in Iran for what it called self-defense. Iran said it responded by launching an attack on an American air base in the region.Traders observed the latest round of earnings, including those of several major Canadian banks. Royal Bank of Canada (RY) reported higher fiscal Q2 adjusted earnings and revenue, while Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) posted increased fiscal Q2 adjusted earnings on lower revenue.Oil prices were higher, with front-month global benchmark North Sea Brent crude up 3.1% at $95.06 per barrel and US West Texas Intermediate crude 3.2% higher at $91.48 per barrel.The April core personal consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, scheduled for release at 8:30 am ET, is expected to increase 0.3%, which is the same as the prior month's gain, according to estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The April durable goods orders report is expected to show a 4.0% increase after a gain of 0.8% in the prior month.Initial jobless claims are projected to have risen to 211,000 in the week ended May 23 from 209,000 in the prior week. The preliminary estimate for Q1 GDP is seen coming in at 2.0%, unchanged from the prior value.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$RY$TD
Mining & Metals

Update: TD Bank Reports Q2 Adjusted Earnings Beat With Canada Ops Buoyed By Lower PCLs; Lifts Dividend

(updates on performance across business units and TD economic outlook from paragraph 11)The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO), the last of Canada's Big Six banks to report for the second quarter period, reported Thursday increased adjusted earnings that were boosted by a record contribution from Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking, primarily reflecting higher revenue and lower provisions for credit losses, while it declared a higher dividend.For Q2, TD said its adjusted diluted earnings per share stood at C$2.38, compared with $1.97 in the prior year period. FactSet had forecast $2.26. Meanwhile, adjusted net income jumped to $4,168 million, versus $3,626 million in the same period last year.Reported diluted earnings per share were $2.43, compared with $6.27, while reported net income was $4,251 million, versus $11,129 million.It had total revenues of $15,797 million compared to $22,937 million in the year earlier period. Total revenue adjusted was $16,037 million versus $15,138 million. It exceeded FactSet analysts' estimates of $14,524.3 million.The second quarter reported earnings figures included the following items of note: amortization of acquired intangibles of $33 million ($25 million after tax or 1 cent per share), compared with $43 million ($35 million after tax or 2 cents per share) in the second quarter last year. It also reported an impact from the terminated First Horizon Corporation (FHN) acquisition-related capital hedging strategy of $43 million ($33 million after tax or 2 cents per share), compared with $47 million ($35 million after tax or 2 cents per share) in the second quarter last year. Also, it included income tax adjustment on gain on sale of The Charles Schwab Corporation (Schwab) shares of ($288) million (($288) million after tax or (17) cents per share) and change in partnership share in the U.S. strategic cards portfolio of $197 million ($147 million after tax or 9 cents per share).Among other Q2 highlights, adjusted return on common equity, a measure of profitability and efficiency, widened to 14.4% from 12.3% in the same period last year. TD's Common Equity Tier 1 Capital ratio was 14.3%.The bank declared a dividend of $1.12 per payable on and after July 31, 2026, to shareholders of record at the close of business on July 10, 2026. It was up from $1.08 In prior quarter.PCL for the quarter was $498 million, a decrease of $124 million compared with the second quarter last year. PCL - impaired was $465 million, an increase of $37 million, or 9%, largely reflecting credit migration in the consumer lending portfolios, partially offset by lower provisions in the commercial lending portfolio. PCL - performing was $33 million, a decrease of $161 million compared with the second quarter last year."This was another strong quarter for TD. We drove record Q2 earnings in Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking, all-time high earnings in Wealth Management and Insurance and Wholesale Banking, and we accelerated momentum in U.S. Banking. We demonstrated disciplined execution as we grew return on equity and delivered our fourth consecutive quarter of positive operating leverage, on an adjusted basis. We also continue to make consistent progress on our AML remediation and enhancements, which remain our top priority," said Raymond Chun, CEO of TD Bank Group."Our bank has momentum, and we are making important investments in talent, innovation, AI and client experience, as we fundamentally restructure our cost base to drive performance and continue winning," added Chun.The U.S. Banking reported net income was $813 million, an increase of $771 million year-on-year. On an adjusted basis, net income was $960 million, an increase of 8% year-over-year. "U.S. Banking performance was supported by growth across core lending portfolios, including double-digit growth year-over-year in middle market commercial lending and TD's proprietary credit card balances," TD said.The Wealth Management and Insurance unit's net income stood at $837 million, up 18% year-over-year, driven by record assets, higher insurance earned premiums, and deposit volume growth.TD said its Wholesale Banking reported net income of $612 million for the quarter, up 46% year-over-year on a reported basis and 38% year-over-year on an adjusted basis, reflecting higher revenues and lower PCL, partially offset by higher non-interest expenses.In its economic guidance, TD said the global economic outlook continues to slow in calendar 2026."The conflict in the Middle East and resulting surge in oil prices has already lifted inflation and is expected to continue to put downward pressure on global growth. The conflict has also increased volatility in financial and commodity markets due to uncertainty over the duration of restricted oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices. While some economies, including parts of Europe, may see a modest pickup in economic activity from higher government spending later in the year, the near-term fallout from the oil supply crunch will remain a dominant theme weighing on growth in much of Asia and Europe," it added.The lender noted that Canada's economy has continued to expand at a modest pace. The impact of U.S. tariffs is evident both directly, via weaker exports in affected sectors, and indirectly, through elevated uncertainty that has tempered hiring and delayed some investment decisions."Overall, Canada's labour market has shown a lack of dynamism. Slower population growth has reduced labour force growth, which has kept the unemployment rate in a still-elevated range of 6.5%-7%. Looking ahead in 2026, a modest improvement in the economy is expected alongside a gradual improvement in housing activity, public infrastructure and defense outlays, and some firming in business investment," TD said.Shares of the bank closed down $0.31 at $155.13 in Toronto on Wednesday.

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Mining & Metals

TD Bank Reports Q2 Adjusted Earnings Beat With Canada Ops Buoyed By Lower PCLs; Lifts Dividend

The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO), the last of Canada's Big Six banks to report for the second quarter period, reported Thursday increased adjusted earnings that were boosted by a record contribution from Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking, primarily reflecting higher revenue and lower provisions for credit losses, while it declared a higher dividend.For Q2, TD said its adjusted diluted earnings per share stood at C$2.38, compared with $1.97 in the prior year period. FactSet had forecast $2.26. Meanwhile, adjusted net income jumped to $4,168 million, versus $3,626 million in the same period last year.Reported diluted earnings per share were $2.43, compared with $6.27, while reported net income was $4,251 million, versus $11,129 million.It had total revenues of $15,797 million compared to $22,937 million in the year earlier period. Total revenue adjusted was $16,037 million versus $15,138 million. It exceeded FactSet analysts' estimates of $14,524.3 million.The second quarter reported earnings figures included the following items of note: amortization of acquired intangibles of $33 million ($25 million after tax or 1 cent per share), compared with $43 million ($35 million after tax or 2 cents per share) in the second quarter last year. It also reported an impact from the terminated First Horizon Corporation (FHN) acquisition-related capital hedging strategy of $43 million ($33 million after tax or 2 cents per share), compared with $47 million ($35 million after tax or 2 cents per share) in the second quarter last year. Also, it included income tax adjustment on gain on sale of The Charles Schwab Corporation (Schwab) shares of ($288) million (($288) million after tax or (17) cents per share) and change in partnership share in the U.S. strategic cards portfolio of $197 million ($147 million after tax or 9 cents per share).Among other Q2 highlights, adjusted return on common equity, a measure of profitability and efficiency, widened to 14.4% from 12.3% in the same period last year. TD's Common Equity Tier 1 Capital ratio was 14.3%.The bank declared a dividend of $1.12 per payable on and after July 31, 2026, to shareholders of record at the close of business on July 10, 2026. It was up from $1.08 In prior quarter.PCL for the quarter was $498 million, a decrease of $124 million compared with the second quarter last year. PCL - impaired was $465 million, an increase of $37 million, or 9%, largely reflecting credit migration in the consumer lending portfolios, partially offset by lower provisions in the commercial lending portfolio. PCL - performing was $33 million, a decrease of $161 million compared with the second quarter last year."This was another strong quarter for TD. We drove record Q2 earnings in Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking, all-time high earnings in Wealth Management and Insurance and Wholesale Banking, and we accelerated momentum in U.S. Banking. We demonstrated disciplined execution as we grew return on equity and delivered our fourth consecutive quarter of positive operating leverage, on an adjusted basis. We also continue to make consistent progress on our AML remediation and enhancements, which remain our top priority," said Raymond Chun, CEO of TD Bank Group."Our bank has momentum, and we are making important investments in talent, innovation, AI and client experience, as we fundamentally restructure our cost base to drive performance and continue winning," added Chun.Shares of the bank were ldown $0.31 at $155.13 in Toronto on Wednesday.

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Research

Scotiabank Upgrades Toronto-Dominion Bank to Sector Outperform From Sector Perform, Adjusts Price Target to CA$150 From CA$142

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of CA$143, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)

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Treasury

TD Bank Group Issues 150 Million Swiss francs Green Bond

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO) after the close Thursday said it issued its seventh sustainable-labelled bonds for 150-million Swiss francs. The bank said its total sustainable bond issuances have now exceeded C$5.2 billion since 2014."TD's first European green bond continues building the strength of our sustainable financing program, helping us support clients pursuing sustainable investment in a new jurisdiction," said Nicole Vadori, head of sustainability at TD.TD shares closed up $3.40 at $146.33 on Toronto Stock Exchange.

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Sectors

Sector Update: Financial Stocks Decline Late Afternoon

Financial stocks were lower late Wednesday afternoon, with the NYSE Financial Index decreasing 0.5% and the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) down 0.3%.The Philadelphia Housing Index rose 0.3%, and the State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE) was down 1%.Bitcoin (BTC-USD) was increasing 3.5% to $78,958, and the yield for 10-year US Treasuries was slightly higher at 4.29%.In corporate news, Prudential Financial (PRU) shares fell 1.5% after Barclays downgraded the stock to underweight from equalweight and cut its price target to $91 per share from $110. Jefferies also downgraded the stock to hold from buy and cut its price target to $98 per share from $124.Goldman Sachs (GS) has reached an agreement to settle a shareholder class action linked to the 1Malaysia Development, or 1MDB, scandal, Bloomberg reported, citing a letter from Goldman and lead plaintiff Sjunde AP-Fonden to US District Judge Vernon Broderick. Goldman shares rose 0.7%.Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) is considering a rare type of significant risk transfer to hedge against current and future data center debt, Bloomberg reported. Toronto-Dominion Bank shares were down 0.7%.HSBC (HSBC) has shortlisted Allianz, Daiichi Life, and Sumitomo Life Insurance as potential buyers of its Singapore insurance business, Bloomberg reported. HSBC shares eased 0.1%.

$GS$HSBC$PRU$TD
Sectors

Sector Update: Financial Stocks Decline Wednesday Afternoon

Financial stocks were lower Wednesday afternoon, with the NYSE Financial Index decreasing 0.3% and the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) down 0.2%.The Philadelphia Housing Index rose 1.1%, and the State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE) was down 0.8%.Bitcoin (BTC-USD) was increasing 4.1% to $78,952, and the yield for 10-year US Treasuries was slightly higher at 4.29%.In corporate news, Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) is considering a rare type of significant risk transfer to hedge against current and future data center debt, Bloomberg reported. Toronto-Dominion Bank shares were down 0.3%.Goldman Sachs' (GS) alternatives arm invested $50 million in BLP Digital, a Swiss AI firm that develops software to automate financial processes, such as invoicing and internal reporting, BLP co-founder Tim Beck told Bloomberg in an interview Wednesday. Goldman shares were up 0.8%.HSBC (HSBC) has shortlisted Allianz, Daiichi Life, and Sumitomo Life Insurance as potential buyers of its Singapore insurance business, Bloomberg reported. HSBC shares added 0.1%.

$GS$HSBC$TD
Sectors

Sector Update: Financial

Financial stocks were Lower Wednesday afternoon, with the NYSE Financial Index and the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) each shedding about 0.3%.The Philadelphia Housing Index rose 1.1%, and the State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE) was down 0.8%.Bitcoin (BTC-USD) was increasing 3.3% to $78,849, and the yield for 10-year US Treasuries was slightly higher at 4.296%.In corporate news, Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) is considering a rare type of significant risk transfer to hedge against current and future data center debt, Bloomberg reported. Toronto-Dominion Bank shares were down 0.4%.

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Wire

Market Chatter: TD Bank Mulls Rare SRT to Hedge Data Center Exposure

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) is considering a rare type of significant risk transfer to hedge against current and future data center debt, Bloomberg reported Wednesday, citing people familiar with the matter.The reference portfolio's initial size is about $1 billion, and the potential transaction would include a forward-flow arrangement that would allow it to increase the size of the SRT over time, the report said, citing the people.TD Bank didn't immediately reply to a request for comment from.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)Price: $105.25, Change: $-0.10, Percent Change: -0.09%

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Wire

TD Bank Mulls Rare SRT to Hedge Data Center Exposure, Bloomberg Reports

TD Bank Mulls Rare SRT to Hedge Data Center Exposure, Bloomberg Reports

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