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Asia Markets

German Stocks Little Changed as European Central Bank Raises Key Rates

German equities were little changed on Thursday, with the blue-chip DAX index closing 0.06% higher, as investors assessed the European Central Bank's latest monetary policy decision.In the widely expected move, the ECB hiked its three key interest rates by 25 basis points, citing inflationary pressures amid the Middle East conflict. The central bank's Governing Council also reiterated its data-dependent approach to rate decisions, noting continued uncertainty amid ongoing global trade disputes and geopolitical tensions."Fortunately, the case for further rate hikes is not cast in stone. Amid major volatility and some on-off negotiations between Iran and the US, the price for dated Brent crude has receded from an average of $120 per barrel in April to $108 in May and $98 so far in June. If, big if, tensions ease and energy prices recede further on trend before the ECB meeting on 23 July, as we assume, the ECB should have no reason to raise rates again in July or September, in our view," Berenberg noted.On the US-Iran war, Reuters reported, citing Iranian insiders, that negotiations on a preliminary agreement "intensified" even as the two nations continued to trade air attacks. According to unnamed European and Iranian sources, Washington and Tehran were working on details of a memorandum after reaching a "political understanding," while critical issues, notably the release of frozen Iranian assets, are still being discussed.Back home, Germany posted a current account surplus of 13.8 billion euros in April, down by 10.7 billion euros month over month. Bundesbank attributed the latest reading to lower surpluses in merchandise trade and so-called invisible current account transactions.In corporate news, Hugo Boss (BOSS.F) was up 9.05% on Xetra after Frasers Group announced a voluntary public takeover bid for the remaining shares of the German fashion brand. Currently owning a 26.06% stake, the British sports and luxury retailer is offering 38 euros per share, valuing the buyout at 1.98 billion euros."At EUR 38.00 per share, the offer price is only slightly above the last closing price and looks opportunistic. It offers little in the way of a control premium and does not fully reflect the brand value, cash-flow potential or possible normalization beyond the current reset year. We therefore view the offer as financially unattractive for long-term shareholders," mwb Research wrote.Meanwhile, German software group SAP (SAP.F) was the DAX's worst performer, dropping 6.55%, after its cloud computing peer Oracle's planned fiscal 2027 capital expenditure of up to $95 billion surpassed market expectations.

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Research

AlphaValue/Baader Europe Downgrades SAP to Add Rating

AlphaValue/Baader Europe on Tuesday downgraded software company SAP (SAP.F) to add from buy and maintained its price target at 202 euros.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)

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Research

KeyBanc Capital Markets Kicks Off SAP Coverage at Overweight

KeyBanc Capital Markets on Tuesday initiated coverage of software group SAP (SAP.F) with an overweight rating and a price target of 235 euros.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)

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Asia Markets

Germany's DAX Index Retreats; SAP Surges on Higher Q1 Earnings

Germany's blue-chip DAX index closed Friday lower by 0.11%, as investors weighed the stalled US-Iran peace talks against the latest round of corporate earnings and trading updates.As the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, tensions linger between Washington and Tehran, with no signs of further talks on the horizon. US President Donald Trump said he is willing to wait for an "everlasting" peace deal, even as he authorized the US Navy to fire on mine-laying boats in the embattled waterway.Against this backdrop, the ifo Institute's business climate indicator fell to 84.4 points in April 2026 from the revised 86.3 points earlier, below the consensus estimate of 85.7 points on Investing.com. The latest reading marked the index's lowest level since May 2020, with both the current situation index and expectations indicator falling from a month ago and missing market expectations."The war in the Middle East and soaring energy prices have again exposed the fact that Germany is one of Europe's largest net importers of energy. ... With the war in the Middle East now gradually shifting from a pure energy price shock towards an energy supply and broader supply chain shock, the German economy is once again at the centre of an exogenous, global, disruption," ING said. "All of this said, even if sentiment is suffering enormous setbacks right now and fears of another year of stagnation have returned, it should be clear that the planned investments in defence and infrastructure are still on track and should support the economy this year and beyond. The fiscal impulse is real, it just needs time to reach the real economy."On the corporate front, SAP (SAP.F) gained 4.68%, rising to the top of the blue-chip index, after reporting an increase in first-quarter earnings on robust cloud business performance, with total revenue up 6% year over year to 9.56 billion euros. The German software company maintained its full-year 2026 forecasts, including 23% to 25% cloud revenue growth at constant currencies, while noting the outlook remains contingent on the de-escalation of the Middle East conflict.Meanwhile, BofA Global Research upgraded its price objective and earnings estimates for Siemens Energy (ENR.F) to account for the company's revised fiscal 2026 outlook. The German energy company now projects revenue growth between 14% and 16%, improving upon its previous 11% to 13% estimate, among others."We raise our 2026/27 adj EBITA estimates 8/12% after ENR's guide upgrade yesterday (+10/16% vs consensus) and lift our [free cash flow] estimates 40/11% too (+42/37% vs consensus). As a result, we raise our [price objective] to EUR250 from EUR220. Reiterate Buy," the research firm wrote. Siemens Energy was up 2.64% at the end of the last trading day of the week.

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Research

Grupo Santander Upgrades SAP to Outperform Rating

Grupo Santander on Friday upgraded German software company SAP (SAP.F) to outperform from neutral, while maintaining its price target at 193 euros.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)

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Research

HSBC Upgrades SAP to Buy Rating, Trims PT

HSBC on Tuesday upgraded German software company SAP (SAP.F) to buy from hold while lowering its price target to 182 euros from 187 euros.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)

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Asia Markets

German Shares Down as US-Iran Tensions Reignite

Germany's blue-chip DAX index reversed last week's winning streak, closing 1.04% in the red on Monday, amid renewed friction between the US and Iran.A US naval interception of an Iranian cargo ship on Monday triggered a vow of retaliation from Tehran, which also reinstated restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend amid the US' continued blockade of Iranian ports. As Tuesday's ceasefire expiration looms, Iran threatened to boycott the anticipated second round of negotiations, demanding an immediate end to the closure of its ports as a prerequisite for talks."Oil prices rebounded, with Brent crude trading at USD 95 [per barrel] this morning, as the market digested the turmoil around the Strait of Hormuz. The market is likely to stay volatile this week as US and Iran will try and negotiate a deal. If oil does not start flowing through the strait soon, oil prices are likely to rise further and above USD 100/bbl again," Danske Bank said.In local economic news, Destatis reported that producer prices ticked down 0.2% year over year in March, compared with a 3.3% decline earlier. The German Federal Statistical Office attributed the year-on-year decline to energy price adjustments. On a monthly basis, the index was up 2.5% in March 2026, marking the biggest month-over-month rise in producer prices since August 2022.On the corporate side, Commerzbank (CBK.F) shares moved 1.33% higher, as significant shareholder UniCredit unveiled a value-creation plan for the German bank. Seeking to boost 2028 net profit to 5.1 billion euros, versus Commerzbank's 4.5 billion-euro goal, UniCredit urged a faster transformation, claiming the current management is "insufficiently prepared" for future challenges and too focused on short-term delivery.Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank Research trimmed buy-rated SAP's (SAP.F) price target to 200 euros from 220 euros, as part of a report focused on the European software and information technology services sector. The German software company was the DAX's second-biggest loser during the session, shedding 3.28%."The European and global Software sector has seen some recovery of share prices over the last days which we see as a result of very negative positioning going into earnings season. While this is somewhat of a relief following the derating of the last months, we retain our selective approach and overall more cautious stance on the space. We expect new releases of OpenAI, Google and other models during Q2, which represent further headline risks to the sector, while established Software companies need to transform themselves (further) in order to deliver maximum value from AI solutions to their customers in a rapidly evolving technology landscape. Lastly, geopolitical and macro headwinds from the war in Iran are likely to impact also Enterprise customer confidence as we have seen when Russia attacked Ukraine or during the 2025 'trade war,'" the research firm said.

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Research

AlphaValue/Baader Europe Upgrades SAP to Buy Rating, Trims PT

AlphaValue/Baader Europe on Friday raised its rating on software group SAP (SAP.F) to buy from add and decreased its price target to 190 euros from 191 euros.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)

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