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Research

Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Opinion On Shares Of Ralph Lauren Corporation

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We raise our 12-month price target by $30 to $380, based on 21.1x our FY 27 (Mar.) EPS estimate and well-above the company's three-year average forward P/E multiple of 17.2x, reflecting our view that the company's fundamentals continue to improve and demand a higher multiple. We raise our FY 27 EPS estimate by $1.50 to $18.00 and initiate our FY 28 EPS estimate at $19.00. Ralph Lauren reports a better-than-expected Q4 FY 26 and initiated its full-year guidance above estimates. The company expects mid-single-digit revenue growth along with continued margin expansion. Asia led growth in Q4 FY 26 with revenues up 31% followed by Europe up 18% and North America up 8%. Although we believe the company is executing exceptionally we believe valuation is full with shares trading at 21x consensus EPS estimates for FY 27, which are not conservative, in our opinion. We raise our 12-month price target but remain neutral on shares after a nearly 20% increase in just a few days following the release.

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Wire

Evercore ISI Raises Ralph Lauren Price Target to $440 From $420

Ralph Lauren (RL) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $433.79, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)Price: $380.32, Change: $+5.42, Percent Change: +1.45%

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Wire

Ralph Lauren's Q4 Beat, Fiscal 2027 Outlook May 'Modestly' Lift Wall Street Estimates, UBS Says

Ralph Lauren (RL) delivered a solid fiscal Q4 earnings beat and issued fiscal 2027 guidance that could prompt modest increases in Wall Street earnings estimates, UBS Securities said in a report emailed Friday.The brokerage said Ralph Lauren's fiscal 2027 earnings-per-share guidance implies a range of $17.87 to $18.49, assuming $500 million in share buybacks, compared with the current "sell-side" consensus estimate of $18.06. Q1 of fiscal 2027 guidance implied EPS of $3.97 to $4.31, versus Wall Street's current forecast of $4.08.Ralph Lauren posted adjusted fiscal Q4 EPS that exceeded expectations as revenue rose 16.6% year over year to $1.98 billion. Global direct-to-consumer comparable sales increased 17%, while gross margin expanded 105 basis points to 69.7%, the report noted.The firm also said investor "sentiment" toward the stock is likely to improve, supported by stronger-than-expected sales, margins and earnings in the latest quarter, along with accelerating direct-to-consumer growth in Europe.UBS maintained a buy rating on Ralph Lauren, with a price target of $480, adding that the company remains one of the "highest quality stocks" in the softlines sector and is better positioned than peers to "navigate choppy global macro trends."Price: $377.00, Change: $+2.10, Percent Change: +0.56%

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Dow Hits Record High Despite Nvidia's Decline; Oil Prices Fall
US Markets

Dow Hits Record High Despite Nvidia's Decline; Oil Prices Fall

The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit an all-time peak on Thursday even as Nvidia's (NVDA) shares declined, while oil prices headed for their third straight day of decline.The Dow rose 0.6% to settle at 50,285.7, logging a record closing high and marking the second consecutive day of gains. The S&P 500 added 0.2% to 7,445.7, while the Nasdaq Composite edged up 0.1% to 26,293.1. Most sectors ended in the green, led by utilities, while consumer staples saw the biggest drop.Shares of Nvidia fell 1.8%, the third-worst performer on the Dow.The chipmaking giant late Wednesday reported fiscal first-quarter revenue above Wall Street's estimates as data center sales outperformed expectations amid an artificial intelligence boom.For the current quarter, Nvidia said it anticipates revenue of $91 billion, plus or minus 2%. The consensus indicated $87.29 billion."Nvidia has become so important that good is not enough," Saxo Bank said in a report. "Investors want proof that the cycle extends into 2027 and beyond, that margins can stay high, and that customers are not simply ordering ahead before the next chip transition."West Texas Intermediate crude oil was last down 0.3% at $97.82 a barrel and Brent fell 0.5% to $104.55, both on course for their third consecutive decline."The oil market remains overly sensitive to Iran-related headlines, with participants continuing to pin considerable hope on reports that talks between the US and Iran are progressing," ING Bank said in a report."We've been in this situation multiple times before, which ultimately led to disappointment," ING said. "Yet the market is still reactive, likely reflecting the significance of ongoing supply disruptions."Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, has issued a directive that the country's uranium should remain within the country, Reuters reported Thursday, citing two senior Iranian sources.President Donald Trump reportedly said Thursday that the US will eventually recover Iran's stockpile of highly enriched uranium. Retrieving the uranium is a key objective of Trump's war on Iran.Trump told reporters on Wednesday that negotiations with Iran had reached the final stages, though he warned of further attacks if Tehran backed out, according to several media outlets.Iran is discussing setting up a permanent toll system with Oman to formalize its control of the Strait of Hormuz, Bloomberg News reported Thursday.Treasury yields were mixed, with the two-year rate last up 1.1 basis points at 4.08% and the 10-year yield rate falling 2.3 basis points to 4.57%.Switching to monetary policy, Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said lifting interest rates may not be an appropriate response to curb price pressures."Raising rates to weaken demand doesn't address the root cause behind supply shock-driven inflation. It doesn't free up trade routes, reopen factories or melt ice," he said in prepared remarks for an event in North Carolina. "That said, I've been asking myself whether we've entered an era where supply shocks will become more frequent.""With inflation above our 2% target for over five years now, it's worth asking whether the cumulative impact of so many waves risks loosening the anchor," Barkin said.At their April policy meeting, Federal Reserve officials flagged the possibility of higher interest rates if the Middle East conflict drags on and keeps inflation above the 2% goal, minutes from the meeting showed on Wednesday.In other corporate news, Ralph Lauren (RL) jumped nearly 14%, the top gainer on the S&P 500. The luxury apparel maker outlined a full-year revenue guidance that implied a slowdown annually, while the company reported better-than-expected fiscal fourth-quarter results.Spotify (SPOT) advanced 13% after the audio-streaming platform outlined its long-term financial targets and signed licensing agreements with Universal Music Group for fan-made remixes.Walmart (WMT) shares slumped 7.3%, the steepest decline on the Dow and third-biggest on the S&P 500. The retail giant issued a fiscal second-quarter earnings outlook below market estimates, while it reported better-than-expected revenue in the previous three-month period.Intuit's (INTU) stock plunged 20%, the worst performer on the S&P 500. The financial technology platform late Wednesday reported better-than-expected fiscal third-quarter results and disclosed plans to reduce its workforce by about 17%.Deere's (DE) fiscal second-quarter results exceeded analysts' expectations, while the company on Thursday affirmed its soft full-year earnings outlook amid continued pressure in global agricultural markets. The stock lost 5.2%, among the worst performers on the S&P 500.Gold was last up 0.2% at $4,544.70 per troy ounce, while silver rose 1.1% to $77.01 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$DE$INTU$NVDA$RL$SPOT$WMT
Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Mixed Late Afternoon

Consumer stocks were mixed late Thursday afternoon, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) decreasing 1% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) adding 0.7%.In corporate news, Stellantis (STLA) is targeting revenue of 190 billion euros ($220.8 billion) by 2030, versus 154 billion euros in 2025. The shares eased 0.1%.Walmart (WMT) issued a fiscal Q2 earnings outlook below market estimates after reporting better-than-expected revenue in Q1. The shares fell 6.8%.Ralph Lauren (RL) outlined full-year revenue guidance implying a slowdown after reporting better-than-expected fiscal Q4 results. The shares jumped 14%.Advance Auto Parts (AAP) cautioned that demand for auto parts and vehicle maintenance may fluctuate amid high gasoline prices after Q1 results came in stronger than expected. The shares rose 14%.

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Wire

Top Midday Gainers

Ralph Lauren (RL) reported better-than-expected fiscal Q4 adjusted earnings and revenue on Thursday.Shares jumped 15%, with intraday trading volume rising to over 1.18 million from a daily average of roughly 622,000.IBM (IBM), GlobalFoundries (GFS), and D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) said they are set to receive billions of dollars in US government backing as part of the Trump administration's move to solidify the nation's lead in quantum computing.IBM shares advanced 10% as intraday trading volume grew to over 15.8 million from a daily average of about 6.33 million.D-Wave shares soared 28% as intraday trading volume rose to over 80.2 million from a daily average of about 26.8 million.GlobalFoundries shares rose 13% amid a rise in trading volume to over 7.86 million from a daily average of roughly 4.1 million.Price: $378.21, Change: $+48.97, Percent Change: +14.87%

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Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Mixed in Afternoon Trading

Consumer stocks were mixed Thursday afternoon, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) falling 1.2% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) increasing 1%.In corporate news, Walmart (WMT) issued a fiscal Q2 earnings outlook below market estimates on Thursday, while the retail giant reported better-than-expected revenue in the previous three-month period. Its shares fell 6.9%.Ralph Lauren (RL) outlined a full-year revenue guidance that implied a slowdown annually, while the luxury apparel maker reported better-than-expected fiscal Q4 results. Its shares jumped past 15%.Advance Auto Parts (AAP) cautioned that demand for auto parts and vehicle maintenance could fluctuate amid high gasoline prices, while the company's Q1 results came in stronger than expected. Advance Auto shares rose more than 18%.

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Wire

Needham Adjusts Price Target on Ralph Lauren to $405 From $400, Maintains Buy Rating

Ralph Lauren (RL) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $429.64, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)Price: $361.32, Change: $+32.08, Percent Change: +9.74%

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Ralph Lauren Sees Revenue Growth Slowdown, Tops Fiscal Fourth-Quarter Views
US Markets

Ralph Lauren Sees Revenue Growth Slowdown, Tops Fiscal Fourth-Quarter Views

Ralph Lauren (RL) outlined a full-year revenue guidance that implied a slowdown annually, while the luxury apparel maker reported better-than-expected fiscal fourth-quarter results.The company said Thursday it expects fiscal 2027 revenue to rise by roughly mid-single-digits year over year, centered around 4% to 5% in constant currency terms. Sales, excluding the impact of foreign exchange, increased 12% in the year to March 28.The consensus on FactSet is for reported sales of $8.45 billion."While our core consumer has remained resilient exiting fiscal 2026 and into the start of fiscal 2027, our outlook reflects prudence around consumer demand as well as modest cost pressure related to recent energy price volatility," Chief Financial Officer Justin Picicci said on a conference call, according to a FactSet transcript.Energy prices have surged since the US and Israel attacked Iran at the end of February, with the crucial Strait of Hormuz effectively shut. A fragile ceasefire between Washington and Tehran continues to hold, though the two sides are yet to agree on a framework for a peace deal.Adjusted EPS climbed to $2.80 for the fiscal fourth quarter from $2.27 a year earlier, surpassing the Street's view for $2.55. Reported revenue grew 17% to $1.98 billion, ahead of the average analyst estimate of $1.85 billion. Excluding foreign exchange tailwinds, sales advanced 12%.Ralph Lauren's shares rallied nearly 11% in Thursday trade, turning a gain for the year so far.Reported sales rose 8% in North America to $762.7 million, while Europe and Asia logged gains of 18% and 31%, respectively. Comparable store sales increased 16% in North America, 5% in Europe and 25% in Asia, all at constant currencies.For the current three-month period, Ralph Lauren expects revenue to increase by roughly mid- to high-single-digits from the prior-year quarter on a constant currency basis. The Street is looking for $1.84 billion in reported sales."We remain focused on driving our multiple engines of growth while continuing to lay the groundwork for sustainable growth and value creation," Chief Executive Patrice Louvet said in a statement.Price: $357.89, Change: $+28.65, Percent Change: +8.70%

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Research

Research Alert: Ralph Lauren Fy 26 Beats Estimates With Strength Across Segments

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:RL delivered strong Q4 FY 26 (Mar.) results with adjusted EPS of $2.80 vs. $2.27 prior year (+23%) and $0.26 above consensus, while revenue increased 17% to $1.98B, $130M above estimates. Adjusted operating margin expanded 70 bps to 11.0% in Q4 and 200 bps to 16.0% for the full year, led by mid-teens AUR growth and favorable mix. We believe the company continues to deserve an above-peer multiple given its consistent execution and momentum across regions. Management expects mid-single digit constant currency revenue growth and ~50 bps operating margin expansion for FY 27. Regional performance was led by Asia (+31% to $564M), North America (+8% to $763M), and Europe (+18% to $620M), with global comparable store sales up 17%. The company maintains a fortress balance sheet with $2.1B in cash, returned over $700M to shareholders in FY 26, and increased its dividend 10% to $1.00 quarterly. Shares rallied 10% and trade at 20x consensus FY 27 EPS estimates.

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Stocks Down Pre-Bell as Traders Monitor US-Iran Developments, Parse Nvidia Earnings
US Markets

Stocks Down Pre-Bell as Traders Monitor US-Iran Developments, Parse Nvidia Earnings

US equity markets were trending lower before the opening bell Thursday as traders monitor the latest developments in the US-Iran conflict and digest tech bellwether Nvidia's (NVDA) quarterly earnings.The S&P 500 fell 0.4% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.3% in premarket activity, while the Nasdaq was down 0.5%. The indexes finished the previous trading session higher, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 snapping a three-day losing streak.Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei said Thursday that Tehran is reviewing the latest US proposal to end the war in the Middle East, CNBC reported, citing state-run agency Nour News.President Donald Trump told reporters on Wednesday that negotiations with Iran had reached the final stages, though he warned of further attacks if Tehran backs out, according to several media outlets. "We'll either have a deal or we're going to do some things that are a little bit nasty," Trump said, according to a Bloomberg News report. "But hopefully that won't happen."Earlier on Wednesday, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps reportedly said that it would retaliate beyond the Middle East if the US or Israel resumed their military attacks against the country.West Texas Intermediate crude oil slipped 0.2% to $98.01 a barrel before the open, while Brent decreased 0.6% to $104.42.Shares of Nvidia (NVDA) slipped 0.2% pre-bell after the chipmaking giant reported fiscal first-quarter revenue above Wall Street's estimates, as data center sales outperformed expectations amid an artificial intelligence boom. For the current quarter, Nvidia said it anticipates revenue of $91 billion, plus or minus 2%.Intuit's (INTU) stock dropped 14% after the financial technology platform reported better-than-expected fiscal third-quarter results and disclosed plans to reduce its workforce by about 17%. Urban Outfitters (URBN) declined 1.4% after its financial results.Federal Reserve officials flagged the possibility of higher interest rates if the Middle East conflict drags on and keeps inflation above the 2% goal, minutes from the central bank's April meeting showed on Wednesday.Meeting participants generally determined that elevated inflation, combined with uncertainty around the duration and impact of the Iran war, could justify holding rates for longer than previously anticipated. However, majority of Fed officials pointed out that "some policy firming would likely become appropriate if inflation were to continue to run persistently above 2%."Treasury yields were rising before the open, with the two-year rate gaining 6.6 basis points to 4.1% and the 10-year rate adding 5.1 basis points to 4.62%.Thursday's economic calendar has the housing starts and permits report for April at 8:30 am ET, along with the weekly jobless claims bulletin and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index for May. The S&P Global's (SPGI) flash purchasing managers' index for May is out at 9:45 am, followed by the Kansas City Fed manufacturing index for the same month at 11 am.Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin is scheduled to speak at 12:20 pm.Walmart (WMT), Deere (DE), NetEase (NTES), Williams-Sonoma (WSM), Ralph Lauren (RL), Nio (NIO) and Advance Auto Parts (AAP) report their latest financial results before the bell, among others. Ross Stores (ROST), Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO), Workday (WDAY), Zoom Communications (ZM) and Deckers Outdoor (DECK) release their earnings after the markets close.Gold was down 0.4% at $4,519 per troy ounce, while bitcoin fell 0.3% to $77,255.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AAP$DE$DECK$INTU$NIO$NTES$NVDA$RL$ROST$SPGI$TTWO$URBN$WDAY$WMT$WSM$ZM
Wire

Ralph Lauren Expected to Deliver Conservative Guidance With Ongoing Beat Potential, BofA Says

Ralph Lauren (RL) is likely to issue relatively conservative fiscal 2027 guidance while maintaining a track record of earnings beats, BofA Securities said in a Friday note ahead of the company's fiscal Q4 results on May 21.The analyst expects Q4 earnings per share of $2.45, slightly below Visible Alpha consensus of $2.52, noting that guidance is likely to align broadly with the company's three-year growth algorithm but leave room for upward revisions over time.BofA said growth momentum in North America and Asia should continue, while Europe remains a key focus following slower comparable sales trends, with ongoing macro and geopolitical pressures expected to weigh on near-term demand in that region.The bank flagged margin pressures, expecting a slight Q4 gross margin decline due to tariffs and a softer pricing mix, while still seeing continued earnings before interest and taxes margin expansion in 2027 and 2028 driven by pricing gains, cost efficiencies, and operating leverage.BofA maintains its buy rating on the stock with a price target of $450.Shares of Ralph Lauren were down 1.7% in Friday trading.Price: $328.35, Change: $-5.70, Percent Change: -1.71%

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Wire

Jefferies Adjusts Price Target on Ralph Lauren to $425 From $410, Maintains Buy Rating

Ralph Lauren (RL) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $428.29, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)Price: $359.30, Change: $-2.90, Percent Change: -0.80%

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US Markets

Most Softline Retailers Poised to Meet or Top Quarterly Earnings Views, UBS Says

Most US softline retailers are expected to report upcoming quarterly earnings either in line or above Wall Street's estimates, while consumer spending could rise notably if the Middle East conflict ends soon, UBS Securities said Monday.A survey conducted by the brokerage during the first two weeks of this month showed that consumer spending intentions remained "good," particularly for apparel and footwear despite headwinds from the US-Israel war with Iran that started at the end of February, UBS analysts, including Jay Sole said in a note to clients."We believe the market is overestimating the negative impact of high oil prices on softline company margins," UBS said. "We see most softline companies either meeting or beating (first-quarter) expectations during this upcoming earnings season."The war, which has impacted several Middle East countries, has sent energy prices soaring amid the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the world's most important chokepoint for crude flows.US retail gasoline prices averaged $4.042 per gallon Monday, compared with $3.151 a year ago, according to data from AAA, a travel organization that tracks fuel prices in the country."US consumers' view of the economy has been somewhat impacted (month on month) by the Middle East conflict and rising gas prices," the UBS analysts said Monday. "Yet, the data show potential for a strong pop in US consumer spending if the Middle East conflict ends soon and gas prices return to pre-conflict levels. This is a main reason we remain bullish."On Holding (ONON), Deckers Outdoor (DECK), Gildan Activewear (GIL), Burlington Stores (BURL), Levi Strauss (LEVI), Ralph Lauren (RL), and TJX (TJX) are among the softline stocks that UBS said it likes and rates as buy. The brokerage said it likes these stocks over several big names such as Nike (NKE) and Lululemon Athletica (LULU), according to the note."We believe the market is significantly underestimating the potential for (artificial intelligence) to positively impact softline companies' sales and margins," the analysts said.On Saturday, Iran took back control the Strait of Hormuz after temporarily opening the waterway to commercial vessels Friday. The US and Iran have accused each other of violating a two-week ceasefire announced April 7, leaving the situation in the Middle East in limbo.Price: $37.24, Change: $+0.29, Percent Change: +0.78%

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Wire

BofA Securities Raises Price Target on Ralph Lauren to $450 From $400, Maintains Buy Rating

Ralph Lauren (RL) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $426.29, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)Price: $373.69, Change: $+4.55, Percent Change: +1.23%

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