Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Riocan Real Estate Investment Trust
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We increase our 12-month target price on shares of REI.UN by $1 to $23, applying a forward P/FFO multiple of 14.1x our 2026 FFO estimate, a premium to the three-year forward average of 10.4x. We lower our 2026 FFO estimate by $0.05 to $1.63 and lower 2027 by $0.02 to $1.70. Risks from the capital recycling plan have decreased as RioCan has now completed 80% ($1.04B) of planned sales are under contract. Execution risks now shift towards RioCan successfully deploying proceeds into accretive acquisitions, with management targeting a 9% unlevered IRR. RioCan's core portfolio operating at peak occupancy provides less opportunity to benefit from the historically strong re-leasing trends seen in Q1 at 25.8% Y/Y, with a 58.5% increase on new leases specifically. We continue to believe RioCan is well positioned to develop and grow grocery-anchored properties, but it faces near-term refinancing headwinds impacting FFO.