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$MTCH

4 stories mentioning MTCHUpdated 44d ago

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Research

Research Alert: CFRA Maintains A Hold Rating On Match Group, Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We are raising our target price to $43 from $36, based on an improved multiple of 14x our 2027 EPS estimate, reflecting our improved outlook as the company continues to execute its "Reset, Revitalize, Resurgence" strategy. We are increasing our 2026 and 2027 EPS estimates to $2.73 and $3.12, from $2.64 and $3.00, led by better-than-expected margin expansion from 1MG efficiency initiatives and accelerating Hinge monetization. We expect MTCH to benefit from the centralization of performance marketing across $600M in digital spend, continued premium feature adoption, and international expansion toward 40% of revenue by 2027. However, we remain cautious given Tinder's persistent revenue headwinds, Azar monetization pressure, and the structural challenge of reversing dating app fatigue. This growth-margin tradeoff, combined with the need for both Hinge geographic expansion and Tinder stabilization to deliver simultaneously, supports our maintenance of the Hold rating.

$MTCH
Wire

UBS Adjusts Price Target on Match to $38 From $34, Maintains Neutral Rating

Match (MTCH) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $39.88, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)Price: $36.62, Change: $-1.04, Percent Change: -2.75%

$MTCH
Research

Research Alert: Match Group Q1 Beat; Tinder Engagement Inflects

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:Match Group delivered Q1 results with revenue of $864M (+4% Y/Y) beating consensus of $854M, while adjusted EBITDA of $343M (+25%) significantly exceeded the $317M estimate, reflecting improved operational discipline. The quarter's most encouraging development was Tinder's turnaround momentum, with engagement metrics showing improvement including Sparks Coverage up 6% Y/Y and MAU declines moderating to 7%, the slowest pace in 31 months. Management provided Q2 guidance of $850-860M, incorporating expected headwinds from Tinder user experience testing and continued Azar pressure. Hinge continued strong scaling with 28% revenue growth to $194M, advancing toward its $1B target. We believe the engagement improvements at Tinder validate the transformation thesis, though monetization translation remains gradual with revenue growing just 2% Y/Y. The company's efficiency initiatives support the path toward Resurgence, targeting Tinder's return to growth in 2027.

$MTCH
Research

Research Alert: We Maintain A Hold On Match Group, Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We raise our 12-month target price to $36 from $33, reflecting increasing confidence that MTCH's turnaround is gaining traction. We maintain our 2026 and 2027 EPS estimates of $2.64 and $3.00, respectively. The company is making tangible progress executing its transformation strategy. Tinder is showing signs of stabilization after years of declines, with engagement metrics inflecting positively even as monetization remains challenged. Hinge continues to exceed expectations as the portfolio's growth engine, with international expansion outpacing initial projections across Europe, Latin America, and upcoming markets like India. International represents the most compelling multiyear catalyst, in our view, with the potential to shift from roughly one-third of revenue today to approaching 40% by 2027. However, we believe the current valuation appropriately balances this growth potential against execution risks, continued Tinder revenue pressure, and broader concerns around dating app market saturation.

$MTCH

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