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Private Market Data TAM Could More Than Double by 2030, UBS Says
US Markets

Private Market Data TAM Could More Than Double by 2030, UBS Says

Demand for private market data is expected to continue growing, which could more than double the segment's total addressable market by 2030, UBS Securities said in a Tuesday note.The brokerage predicts the private market data TAM to reach $25 billion to $35 billion by 2030, from an estimated size of $11 billion to $15 billion currently. This reflects a 131% surge at the mid-point of the two ranges, according to' calculations.Among information services companies, Morningstar (MORN), MSCI (MSCI), and S&P Global (SPGI) are best positioned to capitalize on this momentum, UBS analysts, including Alex Kramm, wrote."Interest in private market assets has increased substantially in recent years as more investors look to diversify their holdings, increase their returns, and reduce exposure to market volatility," Kramm said.The size of assets under management in private funds totaled roughly $15 trillion in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of 13% over the past two decades, UBS said. Private markets AUM could exceed $30 trillion in the next five years."As capital continues to flow to private markets, we believe investment offerings will increase in size, number, and scope," Kramm wrote in the note. "This should drive increased demand for data and solutions that enable deal sourcing, valuation, monitoring, reporting, transparency, comparison, and distribution."Morningstar has "the most scale" in private markets and would benefit the most from overall industry demand, Kramm said.Morningstar's Pitchbook, which tracks public and private equity markets, reported a revenue slowdown in 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, but "a new go-to market strategy and cyclical upside in corporate M&A could re-accelerate growth," according to the UBS report.While MSCI's private assets segment accounts for a small portion of overall revenue, "outsized growth could help drive MSCI's total organic subscription run rate growth back above 10%," Kramm said.Similarly, upside in private market solutions could accelerate growth at S&P Global's Market Intelligence segment, Kramm said.Price: $184.87, Change: $+3.36, Percent Change: +1.85%

$MORN$MSCI$SPGI
Research

Wells Fargo Upgrades MSCI to Overweight From Equalweight, Adjusts PT to $700 From $650

MSCI (MSCI) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $694.06, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)

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Wire

Rothschild & Co Redburn Adjusts MSCI Price Target to $660 From $630, Maintains Buy Rating

Rothschild & Co Redburn Adjusts MSCI Price Target to $660 From $630, Maintains Buy Rating

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Insider Trading

Msci Insider Sold Shares Worth $5,920,351, According to a Recent SEC Filing

Alvise J. Munari, Chief Product Officer, on April 24, 2026, sold 10,000 shares in Msci (MSCI) for $5,920,351. Following the Form 4 filing with the SEC, Munari has control over a total of 23,548 common shares of the company, with 23,548 shares held directly.SEC Filing:https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1408198/000210150326000009/xslF345X05/wk-form4_1777406449.xml

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Wire

BNP Paribas Adjusts MSCI Price Target to $550 From $535, Maintains Underperform Rating

MSCI (MSCI) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $688.94, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)Price: $592.12, Change: $-5.89, Percent Change: -0.98%

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Wire

MSCI Posts Strong Q1, Reaffirms 2026 Outlook Despite Near-Term Soft Spots, RBC Says

MSCI (MSCI) reported a strong Q1 and reaffirmed its 2026 guidance, expecting steady growth ahead despite some near-term headwinds in sustainability and climate products and in real assets, RBC Capital Markets said Tuesday in a report.Q1 results were driven by broad-based subscription growth across Index, Analytics and Private Capital Solutions, with continued strength in international flows and accelerating momentum in key product areas, the report said.The company maintained its 2026 guidance, including adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow estimates, while depreciation and amortization guidance was raised by $5 million, RBC said. Growth assumptions rest on execution, including accelerated new product launches and broader AI adoption, rather than market tailwinds, the report said.Potential downside risks include muted near-term growth in sustainability and climate products, weakness in real-estate transaction activity, and uneven analytics revenue timing, partly countered by strong growth in Private Capital Solutions and continued momentum in custom indexing, the report said.RBC has an outperform rating on MSCI stock with price target set at $655.Price: $613.57, Change: $+16.18, Percent Change: +2.71%

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Wire

UBS Adjusts MSCI Price Target to $720 From $710, Maintains Buy Rating

MSCI (MSCI) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $688.29, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)Price: $614.50, Change: $+16.10, Percent Change: +2.69%

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Research

Research Alert: CFRA Reiterates Buy Opinion On Shares Of Msci Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:After digesting Q1 earnings and accounting for elevated geopolitical uncertainty, we reduce our 12-month target price by $30 to $760, 34.1x our 2027 EPS estimate, a discount to MSCI's five-year forward P/E average of 40.8x given a reduced outlook in sustainability and climate. We increase our 2026 EPS view by $0.24 to $19.68 and bump up 2027's by $0.35 to $22.27. We have consistently argued that MSCI has built a resilient business model capable of growing even when markets decline. This quarter proved our thesis; despite falling equity markets, cash inflows reached a record $103 billion in Q1. The stock appears undervalued. MSCI is trading near its lowest forward P/E ratio in seven years, even as revenue growth accelerates and margins expand. Against this backdrop, we view management's aggressive share buyback program positively and note the company has reduced shares outstanding by 6% Y/Y, nearly triple its historical average. Shares yield 1.4%.

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Sectors

Sector Update: Financial Stocks Advance Pre-Bell Tuesday

Financial stocks were advancing pre-bell Tuesday, with the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) up 0.2%.The Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) was 0.7% higher and its bearish counterpart Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ) was down 0.4%.MSCI (MSCI) shares were up more than 3% after the company reported higher Q1 adjusted earnings and operating revenue.Northern Trust (NTRS) stock was up more than 1% after the company reported higher Q1 earnings and revenue.Atlantic Union Bankshares (AUB) shares were up nearly 2% after the company posted higher Q1 adjusted operating earnings and revenue.

$AUB$FAS$FAZ$MSCI$NTRS$XLF
Commodities

Exchange-Traded Funds, Equity Futures Higher Pre-Bell Tuesday Amid Second Round of US-Iran Talks

The broad market exchange-traded fund SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) was up 0.2% and the actively traded Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) advanced 0.3% in Tuesday's premarket activity, amid a second round of talks between the US and Iran.US stock futures were also higher, with S&P 500 Index futures up 0.4%, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures advancing 0.6%, and Nasdaq futures gaining 0.4% before the start of regular trading.The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's monthly non-manufacturing activity index rose to minus 16.5 in April from minus 23.9 in the previous month, compared with expectations for a small increase to a minus 19.8 reading in a survey compiled by Bloomberg as of 7:35 am ET, indicating a slower pace of contraction in the sector.US retail sales rose 1.7% in March, above expectations for a 1.4% increase and compared with a prior 0.7% gain.The pending home sales data for March and the business inventories data for February will be released at 10:00 am ET.Fed Governor Christopher Waller is slated to speak on Tuesday.In premarket action, bitcoin advanced by 0.4%. Among cryptocurrency ETFs, the cryptocurrency fund ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) was 0.5% higher, Ether ETF (EETH) retreated 0.2%, and Bitcoin & Ether Market Cap Weight ETF (BETH) declined by 0.3%.Power Play:Health CareThe State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV) gained 0.8%, the Vanguard Health Care Index Fund (VHT) was 0.9% higher, while the iShares US Healthcare ETF (IYH) rose 2%. The iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) advanced 0.02%.UnitedHealth (UNH) stock was up more than 7% premarket after the company reported higher Q1 adjusted earnings and revenue.Winners and Losers:FinancialThe State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) advanced 0.4%. Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) was up 1.2%, while its bearish counterpart, Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ), was 0.8% lower.MSCI (MSCI) shares were up more than 4% pre-bell after the company reported higher Q1 adjusted earnings and revenue.TechnologyThe State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) advanced 0.3%, and the iShares US Technology ETF (IYW) was 0.6% higher, while the iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF (IGM) was up 0.4%. Among semiconductor ETFs, the State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) increased by 1.9%, while the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) rose by 1%.Onto Innovation (ONTO) shares were up more than 2% in Tuesday's premarket activity after the company said it plans for a $710 million equity investment in Rigaku to advance the so-called process control services for semiconductor manufacturing.ConsumerThe State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) retreated by 0.2% and the Vanguard Consumer Staples Index Fund ETF Shares (VDC) was 0.3% lower. The iShares US Consumer Staples ETF (IYK) was inactive. The State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) gained 0.9%. The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) was inactive, while the State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) was 0.6% higher.D.R. Horton (DHI) shares were up more than 6% pre-bell after the company reported higher-than-expected fiscal Q2 net income and revenue.IndustrialThe State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI) slipped by 0.1%, while the Vanguard Industrials Index Fund (VIS) retreated 0.2% and the iShares US Industrials ETF (IYJ) was inactive.Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico (PAC) stock was down more than 1% before the opening bell after the company said its Q1 passenger traffic dropped by 5.5% year-over-year, even as its net income and revenue were higher.EnergyThe iShares US Energy ETF (IYE) was up 0.1%, while the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) was up by 0.2%.Shell (SHEL) stock was up 0.7% before the opening bell. Reuters reported, citing court documents, that the company faces a fresh lawsuit by a Dutch climate activist organization demanding it immediately end its investments in new oil and gas projects.CommoditiesFront-month US West Texas Intermediate crude oil retreated by 0.4% to $89.29 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Natural gas declined by 0.8% to $2.67 per 1 million British Thermal Units. The United States Oil Fund (USO) increased by 0.9%, while the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) was 0.4% higher.Gold futures for May were down by 0.4% to $4,812.10 an ounce on the Comex. Silver futures retreated by 1.1% to $79.73 an ounce. SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) was 0.4% lower, and the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) fell by 0.7%.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$BETH$BITO$DHI$EEM$EETH$EXI$FAS$FAZ$GLD$IBB$IGM$IGV$IPK$IVV$IWM$IYE$IYH$IYJ$IYK$IYW$MSCI$ONTO$PAC$PMR$QQQ$RTH$SHEL$SLV$SOXX$SPY$UNG$UNH$USO$VDC$VHT$VIS$XLE$XLF$XLI$XLK$XLP$XLV$XLY$XRT$XSD
Sectors

Sector Update: Financial

Financial stocks were advancing pre-bell Tuesday, with the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) up 0.2%.The Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) was 0.5% higher and its bearish counterpart Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ) was down 0.6%.MSCI (MSCI) shares were up more than 3% after the company reported higher Q1 adjusted earnings and operating revenue.

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Research

Research Alert: Msci: Q1 Eps Beat As Msci's Operating Leverage On Full Display

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:MSCI posted strong Q1 2026 results with operating EPS of $4.55 vs. $4.00 in the prior year, beating consensus by $0.09, while revenues of $851M (+14% Y/Y) exceeded estimates by $10M. The company achieved two consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth after four quarters below 10%, with operating margins expanding 310 bps to 53.7% as expense growth was managed at 6.8%. The Index segment drove performance with $496M in revenues (+18% Y/Y) and strong asset-based fee growth of $225M (+27% Y/Y), supported by robust $103B in quarterly cash inflows. AUM in ETFs linked to MSCI equity indexes reached $2.403T at quarter-end, though basis point fees declined 6 bps Q/Q to a new low of 2.35. Retention rates recovered to the highest level since 2023 at 95.4% after falling to 92.8% in early 2024, with Index leading at 96.9% and Analytics maintaining 95.3%, while net new recurring subscription sales surged 51.7% Y/Y, indicating healthy demand momentum.

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