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Asia Markets

Germany's DAX Index Falls Amid Renewed Middle East Tensions

German shares declined on Wednesday, with the blue-chip DAX index down 0.97%, as reignited tensions between the US and Iran are seen to jeopardize a potential peace deal.The US and Iran exchanged overnight strikes after US President Donald Trump accused Tehran of shooting down a US Army Apache helicopter over the Strait of Hormuz. After the strikes, Reuters reported that Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei said Iran is reevaluating talks with Washington, noting that diplomatic efforts have stalled due to repeated ceasefire violations. Later, Trump posted on Truth Social that Iran will have to "pay the price" for delaying negotiations.Amid a quiet day for local economic news, market watchers await the European Central Bank's monetary policy decision on Thursday. In a preview note, Berenberg warned that the ECB's expected 25-basis-point rate hike will worsen a eurozone outlook already affected by the Iran war."Nonetheless, the ECB should look through the adverse supply shock rather than weakening the Eurozone economy further through rate hikes that will exacerbate the damage to domestic demand, in our view. Monetary policy cannot prevent the surge in energy prices caused by the Iran supply shock... The key question for the ECB is thus whether the stagflationary supply shock could turn into a more entrenched inflation problem," Berenberg wrote.On the corporate side, adidas (ADS.F) climbed 2.84%, as RBC Capital Markets upgraded its rating for the German sportswear company to outperform from sector perform and raised its price target to 210 euros from 170 euros."Today, adidas is delivering [direct-to-consumer] led revenue growth with healthy forward order visibility and consistent execution. It offers elevated 3yr EPS growth outlook (+25% vs coverage average 11%) at a discounted valuation (13x FY27E P/E). Momentum is broad based across regions, categories and sports verticals which is encouraging, although we would like to see better [free cash flow] generation," RBC said.Meanwhile, London's Financial Times reported that Mercedes-Benz Group (MBG.F) is said to be entering a partnership with German defense startup Tytan Technologies to co-develop a mobile anti-drone system. The German carmaker shed 1.25% at the end of the session.

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Asia Markets

Correction: German Stocks Close Little Changed; Auto Stocks Rally

(Corrects date in the first paragraph)German equities rebounded on Wednesday, with the blue-chip DAX index up 0.09%, as the latest European Union car registration data and Volvo Car's rally fueled automotive stocks.According to the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association, new car registrations in the EU rose 5.1% annually in April to 972,314 units. For the first four months of 2026, car registrations totaled 3,794,280 units, a 4.2% increase compared with the same period last year.The auto sector was also lifted by a surge in Swedish carmaker Volvo Cars after it secured US regulatory approval to import and sell connected cars in the country.As such, German automobile makers Daimler Truck (DTG.F), Mercedes-Benz Group (MBG.F), Volkswagen (VOW.F), BMW (BMW.F) and Porsche Automobil Holding SE (PAH3.F) gained 3.29%, 3.12%, 2.54%, 2.34% and 1.51%, respectively, on Xetra. German automotive parts maker Continental AG (CON.F) also climbed by 4%.On the trade front, EU ambassadors cleared legislation to scrap import duties on a range of US goods, according to a Reuters report citing a source with knowledge of their meeting. The measures are intended to shield European companies from threats of higher US trade penalties set for July 4, though the bill still requires final approval from the European Parliament, with the final decision expected by mid-June.In local economic news, German corporate layoffs "somewhat" slowed in May as the ifo Employment Barometer ticked up to 93.9 points from April's 91.4 points. However, the Ifo Institute noted that "weak" economic development led to businesses remaining "cautious in their personnel planning."On the geopolitical front, Iranian state TV said an unofficial draft of a potential deal between the US and Iran would include the restoration of commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz within a month and withdrawal of the US naval blockade, but the plan remains unfinalised. The report helped drive Brent crude down 4.5% to under $95 per barrel.

^DAX$BMW.F$CON.F$DTG.F$MBG.F$PAH3.F$VOW.F
Asia Markets

German Stocks Close Little Changed; Auto Stocks Rally

German equities rebounded on Thursday, with the blue-chip DAX index up 0.09%, as the latest European Union car registration data and Volvo Car's rally fueled automotive stocks.According to the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association, new car registrations in the EU rose 5.1% annually in April to 972,314 units. For the first four months of 2026, car registrations totaled 3,794,280 units, a 4.2% increase compared with the same period last year.The auto sector was also lifted by a surge in Swedish carmaker Volvo Cars after it secured US regulatory approval to import and sell connected cars in the country.As such, German automobile makers Daimler Truck (DTG.F), Mercedes-Benz Group (MBG.F), Volkswagen (VOW.F), BMW (BMW.F) and Porsche Automobil Holding SE (PAH3.F) gained 3.29%, 3.12%, 2.54%, 2.34% and 1.51%, respectively, on Xetra. German automotive parts maker Continental AG (CON.F) also climbed by 4%.On the trade front, EU ambassadors cleared legislation to scrap import duties on a range of US goods, according to a Reuters report citing a source with knowledge of their meeting. The measures are intended to shield European companies from threats of higher US trade penalties set for July 4, though the bill still requires final approval from the European Parliament, with the final decision expected by mid-June.In local economic news, German corporate layoffs "somewhat" slowed in May as the ifo Employment Barometer ticked up to 93.9 points from April's 91.4 points. However, the Ifo Institute noted that "weak" economic development led to businesses remaining "cautious in their personnel planning."On the geopolitical front, Iranian state TV said an unofficial draft of a potential deal between the US and Iran would include the restoration of commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz within a month and withdrawal of the US naval blockade, but the plan remains unfinalised. The report helped drive Brent crude down 4.5% to under $95 per barrel.

^DAX$BMW.F$CON.F$DTG.F$MBG.F$PAH3.F$VOW.F
Asia Markets

DAX Index Falls; German Manufacturing Growth Slows

German shares lost on Monday after returning from the Labor Day holiday, with investors assessing the latest business survey data on local factory activity against escalating tensions in the Middle East and fresh tariff threats from the US.At close, the blue-chip DAX index was down 1.24%.According to S&P Global, the final Germany manufacturing PMI slipped to 51.4 in April from the 46-month high of 52.2 in the previous month, above the flash estimate of 51.2. The sector's expansion slowed as new orders and production growth were offset by "darkening" business outlook amid the ongoing Middle East conflict."Reflecting growing concerns about both demand and supply-side conditions, businesses expecting activity to fall in the coming year now outweigh those anticipating a rise. There are worries that surging inflation pressures and the associated squeeze on purchasing power will stifle demand, with factory gate price inflation jumping sharply to its highest in over three years in April. At the same time, with supply delays already at a level not seen since mid-2022, there is a risk that production could be scaled back regardless of the demand situation," S&P Global Market Intelligence economics associate director Phil Smith said.Speaking of the Middle East conflict, Iran's navy claimed to have turned back a US warship at the Strait of Hormuz after allegedly striking it with two missiles while sailing near the port of Jask. Reuters, citing state media, reported that Tehran warned foreign navies of a "decisive response" if they enter the strait. The report comes as US President Donald Trump said Sunday that Washington plans to assist neutral commercial vessels stranded in the waterway.On the tariff front, Trump announced on May 1, 2026, that he would increase levies on European Union-made vehicles to 25% from 15% starting this week, asserting that the bloc failed to comply with the July 2025 trade framework. The US President told reporters the move is intended to force European brands to onshore production more quickly.Against this backdrop, German automotive companies Mercedes-Benz Group (MBG.F), BMW (BMW.F), Volkswagen (VOW.F) and Porsche Automobil Holding SE (PAH3.F) lost 3.35%, 2.44%, 2.22% and 0.94%, respectively, on Xetra.Meanwhile, Siemens Energy (ENR.F) fell 2.09%, as the Austrian Federal Ministry of Economy, Energy and Tourism announced that the German energy technology company plans to invest 155 million euros in two projects in the country, including an initiative involving transformer production and the development of a new service plant.

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Asia Markets

DAX Index Declines as German Inflation Jumps

Local equities were closed lower on Wednesday, as the market weighed Germany's latest inflation figures against the anticipated US Federal Reserve interest rate decision due later in the day.Amid a busy day for economic and corporate updates, the blue-chip DAX index closed the session 0.27% in the red.Preliminary data from Destatis showed German annual inflation accelerated to 2.9% in April from the previous 2.7%, behind the market forecast of 3%. The core inflation rate, which excludes food and energy prices, declined to 2.3% from 2.5% a month ago."Turning to the ECB, German inflation data adds to the evidence of increasing stagflationary pressures ahead of tomorrow's policy meeting. As much as the rise in actual inflation and inflation expectations will fuel the rate hike debate, growing signs of adverse growth effects will make aggressive rate hikes less straightforward," ING noted.Meanwhile, the ifo Institute said that German companies are accelerating their headcount reductions in response to persistent global instability, noting the layoffs are affecting nearly every industry sector. The ifo Employment Barometer fell to 91.3 points in April 2026, down from 93.4 points a month ago, hitting the lowest level since May 2020.On the corporate side, adidas (ADS.F) soared to the top of the DAX, climbing 8.35%, after outperforming first-quarter expectations and sticking to its full-year targets. The German sportswear giant posted a 14% increase in currency-neutral revenue to 6.59 billion euros, surpassing the consensus of 9% growth, and expects a high-single-digit currency-neutral sales jump for 2026, corresponding to 2 billion euros in absolute terms."Overall, a good print with the only major question likely to be the relative weakness of footwear in the mix and how much of the beat came from World Cup products. In our view, this is a strong performance with adidas winning in a number of important categories. Trading on 15x the stock was not pricing in a FY upgrade at this stage and we see this as likely to be enough to see a positive reaction today," Deutsche Bank Research wrote.On the other hand, Mercedes-Benz Group (MBG.F) reported a 5% decline in first-quarter revenue to 31.60 billion euros, with a sharp sales slump in China eclipsing rising demand for electric vehicles and growth across US and European markets. The German automaker was down 0.56% at closing.

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Research

Banco Sabadell Upgrades Mercedes-Benz to Overweight

Banco Sabadell on Wednesday upgraded German carmaker Mercedes-Benz Group (MBG.F) to overweight from underweight, while maintaining its price target at 61 euros.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)

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Asia Markets

Germany's DAX Index Gains on Hopes of Renewed US-Iran Peace Talks

Germany shares recovered from earlier losses on Tuesday, with the blue-chip DAX index up 1.27% at closing, amid reports that the US and Iran may return to the negotiating table.US and Iranian negotiators may head back to Pakistan by the end of the week to resume peace talks, Reuters reported, citing sources. The potential for a second round follows a failed weekend summit, which led to Washington's subsequent decision to enforce a naval blockade on Iranian ports."We've lowered our world GDP growth forecast by 0.4 [percentage points] since the start of March to 2.4% because we expect a more prolonged disruption to shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz. The fragile ceasefire seemingly reduces the risk of a far worse outcome. But even if a truce is maintained, it will take time for energy production and shipping traffic to return to normal levels," Oxford Economics said.Back at home, the International Monetary Fund trimmed its economic growth projections for Germany for 2026 and 2027, due to the ongoing Middle East conflict. In its April World Economic Outlook, the IMF said it now expects Germany's gross domestic product to increase 0.8% and 1.2% in 2026 and 2027, respectively, both figures down by 0.3 percentage point from the previous expectations."War in the Middle East has halted [global growth] momentum. The closing of the Strait of Hormuz and serious damage to critical facilities in a region central to global hydrocarbon supply raise the prospect of a major energy crisis should hostilities continue," the IMF said.Meanwhile, Germany's selling prices in wholesale trade were up 4.1% year over year in March, following a 1.2% jump a month ago. Destatis attributed the reading to the conflict in the Middle East, which pushed wholesale prices of energy products and raw materials higher.In corporate news, Deutsche Börse (DB1.F) committed $200 million for a 1.5% stake in Payward, the parent company of US-based cryptocurrency exchange Kraken. The capital injection reinforces an ongoing strategic partnership, further integrating both firms' infrastructure across trading, custody, settlement, and tokenized assets. The German stock exchange operator was off 0.39% at the end of the trading day.In an earnings preview, Deutsche Bank forecasts a "solid start" for Mercedes-Benz's (MBG.F) vans segment, while the cars unit is projected to "likely reach" the lower half of its full-year guidance during the first quarter. The German automotive group is due to release its first-quarter results on April 29. The stock closed 1.94% higher.

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Asia Markets

German Blue-chip DAX Index Retreats Amid Middle East Truce Uncertainty

Germany's blue-chip DAX index reversed its earlier gains, closing 1.14% lower on Thursday, amid concerns of a breakdown in the US-Iran ceasefire negotiations.Shipping remains paralyzed in the Strait of Hormuz as persistent Israeli operations in Lebanon strain regional stability. In response, Tehran threatened to abandon its fledgling ceasefire agreement with Washington, as US President Donald Trump countered with warnings of a renewed military escalation should a comprehensive deal fail to materialize.Back at home, Destatis reported that German industrial production in February was down 0.3% on a monthly basis, against the revised zero growth in January and the market's expected 0.9% uptick. Year over year, industrial output was stable, following a revised 0.9% fall earlier."This morning's macro data is the last release to paint a picture of the German economy before the war in the Middle East began. It's a picture of a very reluctant, hesitant consumer, but of a manufacturing sector that is struggling to gain positive momentum. The only piece of evidence currently keeping our ketchup bottle comparison alive was yesterday's industrial orders data, confirming that order books in the [defense] industry continue to fill. At least some support for our long-held view that the fiscal stimulus will increasingly reach the real economy," ING said.Meanwhile, Germany's calendar and seasonally adjusted trade surplus came in at 19.8 billion euros in February, below the revised 20.3 billion euros a month ago and the expected 18.1 billion euros. According to the Federal Statistical Office, exports ticked up 3.6% month over month, against the revised 1.5% drop earlier and the expected 1% gain. Monthly imports rose 4.7%, compared with the revised 5.1% decrease previously and the market forecast of 4% jump.In corporate news, Mercedes-Benz Group (MBG.F) was down 2.02%, after reporting a 6% year-over-year decline in first-quarter deliveries to 499,700 vehicles. The German automaker said the results were consistent with company expectations.RBC Capital Markets reduced its adjusted EPS estimates and price target for sector perform-rated Henkel (HEN.F) to 73 euros from 75 euros amid concerns that execution risks may cap the revenue benefits of recent brand acquisitions."The acquisitions of Not Your Mother's and OLAPLEX should fill in gaps in Henkel's current Hair portfolio and place the company as a more serious contender in the Consumer Hair space. If executed well, integrating these brands could add 50 [basis points] of revenue growth to its hair business over the medium term. However, with management having a lot on their plate and commodity cost inflation concurrently stepping up, we can't overlook execution risks and remain on the sidelines," RBC wrote. The German chemical and consumer goods company gained 0.27% at closing.

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