$KXS.TO

Earnings Flash (KXS.TO) Kinaxis Reports Q1 Total Revenue US$165.6M, Up 25% YoY

Kinaxis Price target Lowered to $200.00 at Stifel Canada Ahead of Q1 Report

Stifel Canada lowered its price target on the shares of Kinaxis (KXS.TO) by $45.00 to $200.00 ahead of the company reporting its first-quarter results today after market close.Analyst Suthan Sukumar, who is maintaining a buy rating on the company, sees a favorable demand backdrop in light of the ongoing tariff/geopolitical disruptions to global supply chains."AI traction remains early days, but we continue to see KXS uniquely positioned to monetize AI with potential for upside over the year given its extensive proprietary and real-time supply chain data, domain expertise, and deep integration into workflows for a highly captive and sticky client base," Sukumar writes.Acknowledging that the stock is "not inexpensive," Sukumar says durable industry tailwinds and a F26 SaaS guide that is already nearly ~90% covered by existing backlog, highlights the potential for beat-and-raises ahead."KXS remains a top-pick in our coverage, though our target goes lower to $200/share to reflect recent incremental software sector multiple compression."Price: $139.55, Change: $-3.09, Percent Change: -2.17%

RBC Provides its Canadian Technology Q1/CY26 Preview

RBC Capital Markets provided a first-quarter earnings preview for stocks in its Canadian Technology coverage universe on Friday.The S&P/TSX Info-Tech sub-sector had its "worst start to the year" since 2022, due to the continued downward re-rating of software stocks on concerns regarding AI disruption, noted RBC.While RBC expects Q1 results to be "largely in line" with consensus and believes the "magnitude of the pullback in software valuations is an overreaction," it believes sentiment is unlikely to materially change in the short term.Even though RBC anticipates "slightly improved organic growth" for the average stock in its coverage this quarter, the market appears "risk-averse and may largely ignore positive surprises and disproportionately penalize negative surprises," in light of the market sensitivity regarding AI disruption and uncertainty regarding the macro environment, said RBC.Among its covered stocks, RBC believes the "best-positioned stocks" for calendar Q1 results are Celestica (CLS.TO), Shopify (SHOP.TO), Constellation Software (CSU.TO), and Kinaxis (KXS.TO).RBC believes Celestica will report Q1 earnings above consensus and increase FY26 guidance, given hyperscaler capex continues to increase, along with strong network switch and AI server demand, against Celestica's historically conservative outlook, added RBC."Given the strong 36% YTD rally in Celestica's shares, Q1 results may not be a catalyst for the stock," said RBC. "Even so, we believe Celestica's strong growth momentum, ongoing margin expansion, and mix shift to more structurally attractive segments of the market are likely to help sustain Celestica's valuation to remain above peers and toward the high end of its historical range."For Shopify, RBC expects "solid" Q1 results and Q2 guidance slightly above consensus estimates.U.S. e-commerce spending strengthened through Q1, noted RBC which it believes implies revenue growth accelerates sequentially, with Q1 revenue and adj. EPS likely slightly above consensus."While the valuation of Shopify's shares has re-rated down with the YTD pullback in software stocks, Shopify's fundamentals remain solid, in our view, and we expect strong growth to drive shareholder returns over the long term," said RBC.RBC expects Constellation's shares to modestly rally following Q1 results."With the stock trading near multi-year valuation lows, we see investor sentiment improving, given Q1 slightly ahead of consensus, TTM free cashflow up 25%, and annualized Q1 capital deployed on acquisitions likely tracking to a new record," said RBC. "We see Constellation's valuation as compelling, compared to our forecast for a 17% adj. EBITDA CAGR over the next 3 years."RBC believes Kinaxis's shares may "slightly rally" following Q1 results. It expects Kinaxis to report "solid" Q1 results, slightly above consensus, with continued growth re-acceleration and likely healthy bookings."With Kinaxis seeing reaccelerating growth, but trading at discounted valuation levels, we see compelling risk-reward on the shares," added RBC. "Moreover, ramping share buybacks may provide a floor for the stock."Price: $565.60, Change: $+28.12, Percent Change: +5.23%

CIBC Lowers Price Target on Software and Services Stocks

CIBC Capital Markets lowered its price target on eight software and services stocks ahead of Q1 results for the sector."We expect high single-digit growth in revenue and EBITDA within our coverage in Q1, despite AI-disruption concerns that have reduced the market cap of our Software coverage by an average of 24% year to date," analyst Stephanie Price said in a note to clients."With limited AI-related read-throughs from near-term earnings, investors have been reducing multiples and rethinking terminal values," Price said."For Q1, we are roughly in line with consensus expectations," the analyst said. "We expect a volatile earnings season and a focus on AI narrative for companies that meet or beat consensus expectations.""We expect that earnings misses could result in outsized market reactions," Price said. "That said, with an average 8% consensus EBITDA growth expectation for the quarter, we also see the possibility of upside from multi-year valuation lows."Price made the following changes:CGI Inc. (GIB-A.TO) to $112 from $132 (Neutral)Computer Modelling Group Ltd. (CMG.TO) to $5 from $5.50 (Neutral)Constellation Software Inc. (CSU.TO) to $4080 from $4610 (Outperformer)Descartes Systems Group Inc. (DSG.TO, DSGX) to US$116 from US$126 (Outperformer)Docebo Inc. (DCBO.TO, DCBO) to US$28 from US$34 (Outperformer)Kinaxis Inc. (KXS.TO) to $171 from $203 (Outperformer)Open Text Corp. (OTEX.TO, OTEX) to US$27 from US$32 (Neutral)Thomson Reuters Corp. (TRI.TO, TRI) to US$124 from US$140 (Outperformer)(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)