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Research

Research Alert: CFRA Reiterates Sell Opinion On Shares Of Delta Air Lines, Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:Oil prices are down 15% from May's $108 high on U.S.-Iran deal optimism. We maintain our Sell rating and raise our price target by $14 to $73. We lift our 2026 EPS estimate to $5.61 from $5.34 and 2027's to $6.89 from $5.98. Our target reflects 10.6x 2027 EPS, rolled forward from 11x 2026. Our estimates reflect lower fuel costs but remain below consensus on our view that oil/crack spreads may stay above 2024-2025 levels. We view DAL's cost structure favorably and believe the company can generate profits through this volatility, but current valuations and consensus estimates appear to reflect excessive optimism. The 2027 consensus of $8.08 implies full oil normalization and is 15% above our estimate. DAL's refinery vertical integration provides a partial hedge against crack spreads, and premium/corporate travel demand remains solid. However, with the stock pricing in a benign fuel environment, we see limited upside and maintain Sell. A key risk to our view is oil prices easing faster than expected.

$DAL
Equity Markets Rebound Following Fed Minutes; Yields Tumble
US Markets

Equity Markets Rebound Following Fed Minutes; Yields Tumble

US stocks rebounded Wednesday as traders parsed minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy meeting, while Treasury yields slid.The Nasdaq Composite rose 1.5% to 26,270.4, while the S&P 500 advanced 1.1% to 7,433, both rising after a three-day fall. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 1.3% to 50,009.4. Most sectors ended in the green, led by consumer discretionary, while energy saw the biggest drop.Fed officials flagged the possibility of higher interest rates if the Middle East conflict drags on and keeps inflation above the 2% goal, minutes from the central bank's April meeting showed.Meeting participants generally determined that elevated inflation, combined with uncertainty around the duration and impact of the Iran war, could justify holding rates for longer than previously anticipated, the meeting minutes showed.However, majority of Fed officials pointed out "that some policy firming would likely become appropriate if inflation were to continue to run persistently above 2%.""The discussion at the April meeting suggests the (Federal Open Market Committee) is becoming increasingly worried about the inflation outlook," Sal Guatieri, senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, said in a report. "While it is in no rush to raise rates, that possibility will only grow if inflation remains stubbornly high."Treasury yields plunged in Wednesday late-afternoon trade, with the 10-year yield rate declining 9.6 basis points to 4.58% and the two-year rate retreating 7.4 basis points to 4.05%.Bond yields have surged amid mounting concerns about inflation. Higher yields drove a sell-off in stocks on Tuesday, according to Macquarie."The state of play now and following the end of earnings season, is that stock indexes are likely to remain sensitive to what happens to long-term yields," Macquarie said in note Wednesday. "Should yields go higher (for whatever reason), stocks will slip further."West Texas Intermediate crude oil was last down 5.5% at $98.47 a barrel, while Brent fell 5.6% to $105.03.US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that negotiations with Iran had reached the final stages, though he warned of further attacks if Tehran backs out, according to a Reuters report.Shares of airlines and cruise operators were notable gainers on Wednesday, with United Airlines (UAL) up 10%, the top gainer on S&P 500. Delta Air Lines (DAL) jumped 9.4%, among the best performers on the index, along with Carnival (CCL) and Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH).In other company news, Hasbro (HAS) reported a first-quarter operating loss for the consumer products division even as the toymaker delivered stronger-than-expected results at the consolidated level. The stock slid 8.8%, the worst performer on the S&P 500.Target (TGT) shares fell 3.9%, among the steepest declines on the S&P 500. The retailer lifted its full-year sales growth outlook as it recorded higher-than-expected fiscal first-quarter results.TJX (TJX) raised its full-year outlook after posting stronger-than-expected fiscal first-quarter results, with comparable sales rising across all segments. The stock climbed 5.6%.Gold was last up 0.8% at $4,549.30 per troy ounce, while silver rose 1.8% to $76.48 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$CCL$DAL$HAS$NCLH$NVDA$TGT$TJX$UAL
US Consumers' Air Travel Intentions Largely Steady Despite High Fuel Cost, UBS Survey Shows
US Markets

US Consumers' Air Travel Intentions Largely Steady Despite High Fuel Cost, UBS Survey Shows

US consumers' air travel intentions for leisure purposes leveled off in March year over year despite higher fuel costs and geopolitical concerns, UBS Securities said in a note sent Tuesday.The brokerage conducted a survey of 6,877 consumers across the world, including 1,754 in the US, from March to early April.Crude oil prices soared after the US and Israel launched attacks against Iran at the end of February, disrupting shipments through the crucial Strait of Hormuz.Plans to undertake leisure travel in the US over the next 12 months slipped to 82.8% from 83.1% a year ago, but remained above March 2024 levels, the survey results showed. Business travel intentions decreased on an annual basis, but rose from two years ago."The key takeaway was that intentions among US consumers to undertake leisure and business travel over the next 12 months remain high," UBS analysts, including Atul Maheswari, wrote in the note. "The survey results show that significantly more US consumers expect to increase spend in the next 12 months than spend less on their trips -- a trend that's consistent with last year's survey."There was an annual moderation in those citing plans to travel more with large US carriers Delta Air Lines (DAL), United Airlines (UAL), American Airlines (AAL), and Southwest Airlines (LUV), according to UBS. However, the number of consumers willing to travel about the same with each of the four airlines increased.Most consumers consider price as the most important factor when purchasing airline tickets for leisure travel, while about half of the survey respondents look at destination and airline brand, according to UBS."Airline brand was meaningfully more important than (three) years ago as was seat class. This should bode well for the larger airlines with a stronger loyalty/premium offering," Maheswari said, referring to Delta, United, American, and Alaska Air (ALK).Price: $68.35, Change: $-1.89, Percent Change: -2.69%

$AAL$ALK$DAL$LUV$UAL
Wire

Market Chatter: Delta CEO Says Amazon Offers Better Pricing, Tech Than Starlink

Delta Air Lines (DAL) Chief Executive Ed Bastian said his airline picked Amazon.com (AMZN) for its in-flight Wi-Fi because it's cheaper than SpaceX's Starlink and also has a suite of streaming content, Bloomberg reported Monday, citing an interview with Bastian.Bastian's comments come a week after Elon Musk criticized the airline's choice of Amazon over Starlink.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)Price: $70.77, Change: $+0.54, Percent Change: +0.77%

$AMZN$DAL$TSLA
Wire

Delta CEO Says Amazon Offers Better Pricing, Tech Than Starlink, Bloomberg Reports

Delta CEO Says Amazon Offers Better Pricing, Tech Than Starlink, Bloomberg Reports

$AMZN$DAL$TSLA
Wire

UBS Adjusts Price Target on Delta Air Lines to $95 From $86, Maintains Buy Rating

Delta Air Lines (DAL) has an average rating of buy and mean price target of $81.45, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)Price: $74.22, Change: $+0.90, Percent Change: +1.23%

$DAL
Commodities

Phillips 66 Ships US Crude on Foreign Vessel After Jones Act Waiver, Bloomberg Analysis Says

US crude shipments via foreign vessels begin after a Jones Act waiver, marking the first such cargo since the March 18 policy shift, according to a Bloomberg analysis on Thursday.Phillips 66 (PSX) loaded Bakken crude in early April from Beaumont, Texas, onto the Malta-flagged Htm Warrior for delivery to Pennsylvania, the report said.The cargo will supply the Trainer refinery in Pennsylvania, operated by Monroe Energy, a subsidiary of Delta Air Lines (DAL), expanding supply options for East Coast refiners, according to the analysis.President Donald Trump signed a 60-day Jones waiver on March 18, allowing foreign-flagged ships to transport goods between US ports, the analysis added.The waiver temporarily suspends the 1920 Jones Act, which requires vessels moving cargo between US ports to be US-built, US-flagged and US-operated, the analysis said.The administration introduced the exemption to boost fuel and crude supplies amid geopolitical tensions linked to Iran that disrupted global energy flows.No other foreign-flagged vessels have carried US crude from the Gulf Coast to the Atlantic Coast since the waiver took effect, the analysis said, citing Kpler data.However, multiple cargoes of Middle Eastern crude have recently moved along the same route on foreign-flagged ships, highlighting shifting trade flows under the temporary policy change, the analysis added.

$DAL$PSX
Wire

Evercore ISI Adjusts Price Target on Delta Air Lines to $85 From $80, Maintains Outperform Rating

Delta Air Lines (DAL) has an average rating of buy and mean price target of $81.23, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)Price: $73.99, Change: $+4.10, Percent Change: +5.87%

$DAL
Wire

US Airlines Head Into Q1 Earnings With Demand Trends, M&A Chatter in Focus, UBS Says

United Airlines (UAL), Alaska Air Group (ALK), American Airlines (AAL) and Southwest Airlines (LUV) are heading into next week's Q1 earnings with investor attention centered on demand trends, unit-revenue guidance and renewed consolidation speculation, UBS Securities said Tuesday in a report.Delta Air Lines' (DAL) strong demand trends and low-teens Q2 revenue outlook set a high bar for the sector, with investors watching whether peers can sustain similar momentum or show signs of normalization, the report said.For United Airlines, UBS expects mid-teens Q2 revenue growth and above-consensus earnings, supported by improving year-over-year comparisons at its Newark, New Jersey, hub, strong premium demand and scenario-based full-year guidance.American Airlines is expected to post mid-teens Q2 revenue growth with a modest earnings loss, with potential upside from corporate share recapture but a likely wider guidance range or suspension of full-year targets, the report said.Southwest Airlines is expected to deliver high-teens unit-revenue growth and above-consensus earnings, with a suspension of full-year guidance anticipated as the carrier continues to advance its transformation strategy, UBS said.Results are due for Alaska Air on Monday, United on Tuesday, Southwest on April 22 and American on April 23.United shares fell 2.5% in Wednesday trading, Alaska Air eased 0.2%, American rose 1.1%, Southwest gained 1.2%, and Delta advanced 1%.Price: $94.79, Change: $-2.38, Percent Change: -2.45%

$AAL$ALK$DAL$LUV$UAL
Wire

Delta Air Lines to Introduce New Business-Class Suites as Part of $1 Billion Investment

Delta Air Lines (DAL) plans to debut upgraded Delta One suites on its new Airbus A350-1000 aircraft and retrofit its A330-200 and A330-300 fleets as part of a fleet-modernization program totaling more than $1 billionThe A330 refresh will add sliding privacy doors to Delta One suites for the first time, while the updated A350-1000 suites will feature longer lie-flat beds, wireless charging, larger screens, and a dedicated self-serve snack station for premium passengers, the airline said Monday on its website.Delta expects to roll out its modernized interior design across more than 800 aircraft over the next five years.Price: $66.19, Change: $-1.63, Percent Change: -2.41%

$DAL
US Markets

Equities Mark Best Finish in At Least 4 Weeks Following US-Iran Truce

Equities on Wall Street rallied Wednesday, driving key indexes to their highest close in at least four weeks, as oil prices slid following a two-week ceasefire between the US and Iran.The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 2.9% to 47,909.9, the highest close since March 5, while the Nasdaq Composite jumped 2.8% to 22,635, its best finish since March 11.The S&P 500 advanced 2.5% to 6,782.8, marking the highest closing level since March 9.Barring energy's 3.7% decline, all sectors ended in the green, led by industrials' 3.8% advance.West Texas Intermediate crude oil was last down nearly 15% at $96.44 a barrel, while Brent futures tumbled about 12% to $96.40 -- though both benchmarks remained well above pre-conflict levels.US President Donald Trump, who had set an 8 pm ET, Tuesday, deadline for Tehran to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz, agreed to suspend planned attacks on Iran for two weeks upon Pakistan's request. Tehran said it would allow "safe passage" through the key trading route, subject to coordination with Iranian authorities.However, reports about ceasefire violations signified the possible fragile nature of the pact.Iran's parliamentary speaker, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, accused the US of violating the ceasefire agreement.The White House said Iran assured that ships are transiting the Strait of Hormuz, despite reports that Tehran had again closed the waterway because of Israel's attacks on Lebanon, CNN reported.Separately, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates reportedly said they were targeted with Iranian drones and missiles."The headlines may calm down first, but the real reset depends on what happens in the days ahead," Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo Bank, said in a report.US Treasury yields were down, with the 10-year rate falling 5 basis points at 4.3% and the two-year rate dropping 4.1 basis points at 3.79%.Minutes from the Federal Reserve's March meeting showed that participants emphasized the need for the central bank to be "nimble" in adjusting monetary policy amid heightened macro risks."The vast majority of participants judged that upside risks to inflation and downside risks to employment were elevated, and the majority of participants noted that these risks had increased with developments in the Middle East," the minutes showed.Most policymakers were concerned that a prolonged war could soften labor market conditions, possibly warranting policy easing, according to the minutes. However, persistent inflation amid higher oil prices could call for rate increases."The conflicting viewpoints point to a period of policy stability," Sal Guatieri, senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, said in a report. "The Fed is on hold until it has greater clarity on the direction of the Iran war and its effects on the economy and inflation."Airline and cruise operator stocks jumped, with Carnival (CCL) up 11%, among the top gainers on the S&P 500. United Airlines (UAL) surged 7.8%. Southwest Airlines (LUV) and American Airlines (AAL) were also up, along with Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) and Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL).In company news, Meta Platforms (META) shares jumped 6.5% after the tech giant unveiled its Muse Spark artificial intelligence model.Delta Air Lines (DAL) logged better-than-expected first-quarter results amid robust corporate and leisure demand. The air carrier's shares rose 3.8%.Exxon Mobil (XOM) expects its global oil-equivalent output to take a hit in the first quarter due to production disruptions caused by the Middle East conflict. Shares of the US oil giant fell 4.7%, while smaller rival Chevron (CVX) slumped 4.3%, the steepest decline on the Dow.Gold was last up 1.4% at $4,750.70 per troy ounce, while silver gained 3.4% to $74.44 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AAL$CCL$CVX$DAL$LUV$META$NCLH$RCL$UAL$XOM
US Markets

Equity Markets Jump Intraday, Oil Sinks Following US-Iran Ceasefire

US benchmark equity indexes rallied intraday, while oil prices slumped after Washington and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire.The Nasdaq Composite jumped 2.9% to 22,651.5 after midday Wednesday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 2.6% to 47,803.5. The S&P 500 advanced 2.4% to 6,778.6. Barring energy's 4.6% decline, all sectors were in the green, led by a 3.9% rise in communication services.West Texas Intermediate crude oil sank 15% to $95.85 a barrel intraday, while Brent futures tumbled 13% to $95.40.US President Donald Trump, who had set an 8 pm ET, Tuesday, deadline for Tehran to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz, agreed to suspend planned attacks on Iran for two weeks upon Pakistan's request. Tehran said it would allow "safe passage" through the key trading route, subject to coordination with Iranian authorities.However, reports about ceasefire violations signified the possible fragile nature of the pact."While markets are hailing the agreement as cause for celebration, it remains to be seen if the ceasefire will hold, and if flows resume through the Strait of Hormuz," Stifel said in a note.Iran halted oil tanker traffic through the waterway after Israel attacked Lebanon, CNN reported Wednesday, citing semi-official news agency Fars. Separately, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates reportedly said they were targeted with Iranian drones and missiles.Airline and cruise operator stocks jumped intraday, with Carnival (CCL) up 11%, the top gainer on the S&P 500. United Airlines (UAL) surged 9.9%, among the best performers on the index. Southwest Airlines (LUV) and American Airlines (AAL) were also up sharply, along with Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) and Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL).US Treasury yields were lower intraday, with the 10-year rate down 6.4 basis points at 4.28% and the two-year rate dropping six basis points to 3.77%.In company news, Meta Platforms (META) shares soared 7.9%, among the best performers on the S&P 500, after the tech giant unveiled its Muse Spark artificial intelligence model.Delta Air Lines (DAL) logged better-than-expected first-quarter results amid robust corporate and leisure demand. The air carrier's shares were up 5.8% intraday.Exxon Mobil (XOM) expects its global oil-equivalent output to take a hit in the first quarter due to production disruptions caused by the Middle East conflict. Shares of the US oil giant were down 5.9%, while smaller rival Chevron (CVX) fell 5.5%, the steepest decline on the Dow.Gold was up 1.7% at $4,764.70 per troy ounce, while silver gained 4.7% to $75.35 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AAL$CCL$CVX$DAL$LUV$META$NCLH$RCL$UAL$XOM
US Markets

Delta Air Lines First-Quarter Results Top Views; Sees Fuel Expense Increase of Over $2 Billion

Delta Air Lines (DAL) on Wednesday reported better-than-expected first-quarter results amid robust corporate and leisure demand, although the carrier flagged a fuel expense increase of more than $2 billion in the current three-month period due to the Middle East war.The company posted adjusted earnings of $0.64 a share for the March quarter, up from $0.45 the year before, topping the FactSet-polled consensus of $0.58. Operating revenue climbed 13% to $15.85 billion. Total passenger revenue gained by 7% while cargo inclined 9%."We delivered earnings that were more than 40% higher than last year, even with a significant increase in fuel costs and operational disruptions across the industry," Chief Executive Ed Bastian said in a statement. The stock jumped 12% in the most recent premarket activity.Operating revenue improved 9.4% to $14.2 billion on an adjusted basis in the first quarter, ahead of the average analyst estimate for $14.05 billion. The metric grew amid "broad demand strength across corporate and leisure," Chief Commercial Officer Joe Esposito said. Adjusted total revenue per available seat mile grew 8.2% on a yearly basis, with gains across all regions.The airline is taking measures to protect its margins and cash flow, including "meaningfully reducing capacity growth with a downward bias until the fuel environment improves, and moving quickly to recapture higher fuel costs," Bastian said.The US and Iran on Tuesday agreed to a two-week ceasefire, having been in a military conflict since the end of February. The war spread across the Middle East and curtailed shipments through the crucial Strait of Hormuz, driving up energy prices.For the ongoing quarter, Delta anticipates fuel at the forward curve as of April 2, resulting in a projected all-in price of about $4.30 per gallon, pushing fuel costs up by more than $2 billion. In the previous quarter, adjusted fuel price increased 7% year over year to $2.62 per gallon.Adjusted EPS is pegged at $1 to $1.50 for the second quarter on low-teens revenue growth, according to Delta. The Street is looking for non-GAAP EPS of $1.56 and revenue of $17.21 billion. Capacity is expected to be flat year over year amid the airline's capacity reduction and fuel recapture efforts, Esposito said."In the June quarter, we expect to lead the industry with $1 billion of profit," according to Bastian. "And while the recent fuel spike is currently impacting earnings, I'm confident this environment ultimately reinforces Delta's leadership and accelerates long-term earnings power."

$DAL
US Markets

Stocks Rise, Oil Declines Pre-Bell as US, Iran Agree to Two-Week Ceasefire

US equity futures were pointing higher on Wednesday while oil prices fell as the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, potentially paving the way for the reopening of the crucial Strait of Hormuz.The S&P 500 rose 2.6%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 2.4% and the Nasdaq advanced 3.3% before the opening bell. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq finished the previous trading session in the green, while the Dow closed lower.In a social media post on Tuesday, President Donald Trump announced that he agreed to suspend "the bombing and attack of Iran for a period of two weeks" based on conversations and requests from Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir. The suspension of hostilities is subject to Iran agreeing to the "complete, immediate, and safe opening" of the Strait of Hormuz, according to Trump."We received a 10 point proposal from Iran, and believe it is a workable basis on which to negotiate," Trump said in his post. "Almost all of the various points of past contention have been agreed to between the (US) and Iran, but a two week period will allow the agreement to be finalized and consummated."Trump had previously set an 8 pm ET deadline on Tuesday for Iran to fully reopen the strait or face destructive military attacks.In a separate statement shared on X, Iran's Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi said Tehran will halt its defensive operations if attacks against it are stopped. Iran will also allow "safe passage" through the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for crude flows, during the two-week ceasefire through coordination with its armed forces and "with due consideration of technical limitations," according to Araghchi.Pakistan has invited US and Iranian delegations to Islamabad on Friday to further negotiate a "conclusive agreement to settle all disputes," Sharif said on X. Reuters reported earlier in the week that Pakistan put forward a proposal to both countries for an immediate ceasefire followed by a broader agreement to permanently end their war.The US-Israel war with Iran began at the end of February, disrupting shipments through the Strait of Hormuz and driving up energy prices. The conflict spread across the Middle East, with Gulf countries forced to intercept missiles and drones fired by Tehran.West Texas Intermediate crude oil dropped 16% to $94.39 a barrel in premarket action, while Brent fell 14% to $94.18.The Fed is scheduled to post minutes of its last policy meeting at 2 pm, which will be assessed for fresh insight on the central bank's monetary policy. Last month, the central bank held interest rates steady, saying the Middle East conflict poses uncertainty to the US economic outlook.Markets widely expect the Fed to keep its benchmark lending rate steady at its next policy meeting later in April, according to the CME FedWatch tool.Treasury yields plunged before the open, with the two-year rate declining 9.7 basis points to 3.74% and the 10-year rate falling 9.5 basis points to 4.25%.Wednesday's economic calendar also has the weekly mortgage applications bulletin at 7 am, followed by the weekly EIA domestic petroleum inventories report at 10:30 am.Delta Air Lines (DAL) and RPM International (RPM) report their latest financial results before the bell, among others. Constellation Brands (STZ) releases its earnings after the markets close.Shares of Levi Strauss (LEVI) jumped 11% pre-bell as the denim maker lifted its full-year outlook. Palo Alto Networks (PANW) inclined 2.1% while Trade Desk (TTD) was up nearly 4%.Gold gained 2.5% to $4,800 per troy ounce, while bitcoin climbed 4.3% to $71,663.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$DAL$LEVI$PANW$RPM$STZ$TTD
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