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Asia Markets

British Equities Close in Green; British American Tobacco Affirms Outlook

London's FTSE 100 ended Tuesday trading 0.33% higher as investors examined the latest economic data against the backdrop of fragile Middle East peace efforts.Net borrowing of consumer credit by individuals in the UK stood at 1.86 billion pounds sterling in April, little changed from the revised 1.9 billion pounds in March, according to Bank of England data. The consensus estimate for the month was 1.7 billion pounds. Meanwhile, net mortgage approvals for house purchases came in at 65,945, compared with the revised 63,979 in the prior month and the expected 62,000."UK bank lending growth shrugged off the rise in market interest rates during the first two months of the Iran war. Both corporate borrowing and mortgage lending remained robust in April, suggesting that higher fixed interest rates have so far failed to dampen demand much. If this continues, the Bank of England (BoE) will have to bear down on aggregate demand more forcefully by raising interest rates to ensure inflationary pressures do not spread," Berenberg said.Additionally, Deutsche Bank Research raised its full-year projection for British economic growth by 0.1 percentage point. "We have upgraded our 2026 [gross domestic product] outlook on the back of a slightly stronger Q1-26," economists said. "Indeed, we think the UK economy entered the Iran energy shock on a stronger footing. Stockpiling will also support activity as the lagged energy effects feed into inflation (and thus real disposable incomes). We remain cautious on the outlook from summer, as inflation bites into spending. Political uncertainty will also rear its head again, dampening investment and housing activity. Overall, we see GDP growth this year of 1% with activity rising to 1.2% next year and 1.6% in 2028."Speaking of the war, Tehran is reviewing a proposed temporary peace agreement with Washington after US President Donald Trump said discussions between the two sides are ongoing, Reuters reported, citing Iran's Mehr News Agency. Iran has not responded to a proposed final text of the deal, according to the report.In corporate news, British American Tobacco (BATS.L) upgraded its 2026 growth guidance for new categories, led by share gains for Velo nicotine pouches and Vuse vapors, keeping the overall group outlook unchanged. The stock sank 2.51% to become one of the worst performers on the blue-chip index."US vapour is the clear positive in today's print; however, weaker-than expected performance in [Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa] - driven by softness in Bangladesh and Heated Tobacco (ongoing destocking in Japan and high competition) - likely explains the absence of a guidance upgrade. We also believe management is opting to remain cautious at this stage, as elevated commodity prices are likely to weigh on consumer sentiment in 2H26 (Middle East). However, BAT flagged that there is no significant impact on Group's performance at this stage," BofA Global Research said, trimming its mid-term EPS estimates for the tobacco company.

FTSE 100$BATS.L
Research

Morningstar Upgrades British American Tobacco to Hold

Morningstar on Monday upgraded British American Tobacco (BATS.L, BTI.JO) to hold from sell, while maintaining its price target at 43.50 pounds sterling.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)

$BATS.L$BTI.JO
British American Tobacco Ups 2026 Guidance for Pouches, Vapes as Combustible Market Share Dwindles
US Markets

British American Tobacco Ups 2026 Guidance for Pouches, Vapes as Combustible Market Share Dwindles

British American Tobacco (BATS.L, BTI.JO) upgraded its 2026 growth guidance for new categories even as its value share in top markets declined, according to a first-half pre-close trading update on Tuesday.The combustible market share of the tobacco company fell 20 basis points in value and 30 basis points in volume, amid a worsening outlook for the global cigarette industry. The company now expects global volumes to be down 2.5% in 2026, compared with previous expectations of a 2% decline.However, with both Velo nicotine pouches and Vuse vapors gaining share, British American Tobacco raised its full-year revenue growth forecast for the new categories segment to mid-teens from the previous low double-digit expectation.The company's stock was down over 3% in early morning trade.Across the whole group, growth guidance for the medium term was reiterated in the range of 3% to 5% for revenue, 4% to 6% for adjusted profit from operations, and 5% to 8% for adjusted diluted EPS, with 2026 performance still expected at the lower end of these ranges.Additionally, management disclosed that group adjusted profit from operations for 2026 will be weighted to the second half, led by stabilizing performance in Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa and the growing realization of Fit2Win savings."While we think that the shares are discounting the volume benefit from increasing new category sales, we don't believe that the adverse margin mix is properly appreciated," RBC Capital Markets said in a quick-take note.

$BATS.L
Asia Markets

UK Stocks Subdued on Middle East Ceasefire Doubts

London's FTSE 100 slipped 0.05% on Thursday's close as Israel's strikes in Lebanon led Iran to halt the passage of oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz again, casting doubts over its ceasefire with the US."Iran and US remain far apart on key issues, so a new escalation is likely," Danske Bank said. Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf, speaker of the parliament of Iran, noted the violation of three points of the ceasefire agreement. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump posted on the Truth Social platform that US forces will stay put until the "real agreement" is fully complied with, adding that the US military is "looking forward, actually, to its next conquest" if the agreement is not honored.On the economic side, the UK Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors house price balance stood at -23% in March 2026, down from the revised -14% in the previous month. The latest reading missed the consensus estimate of -18% and was the weakest since December 2023."The mood across the UK housing market has shifted markedly over the past couple of months. What had been a cautiously improving picture for activity has been knocked off course by the wider macro fallout from the Middle East conflict, as the renewed deterioration in the mortgage rate outlook has proved particularly challenging. ... The path ahead hinges on whether or not recent surges in oil and energy costs begin to reverse in what remains a highly uncertain geopolitical environment," said RICS Head of Market Research and Analysis Tarrant Parsons."The March survey data is unambiguously negative for UK-listed housebuilders in the near term. The sharp deterioration in buyer demand, the collapse in near-term sales expectations (to -33%), and the acceleration in downward price pressure all point to a more challenging trading environment heading into Q2 2026," RBC Capital Markets said.In corporate news, bourse operator London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG.L) climbed 0.18% after initiating a share buyback program worth up to 900 million pounds sterling.Meanwhile, British American Tobacco (BATS.L), down 1.99%, appointed Dragos Constantinescu as chief financial officer, effective Sept. 1. Until then, Javed Iqbal will continue as the tobacco and nicotine products giant's interim CFO.

FTSE 100$BATS.L$LSEG.L