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Amentum Needs Revenue Growth to Re-rate Higher, Morgan Stanley Says
Amentum's (AMTM) fiscal Q3 revenue growth missed estimates, and although profitability continues to improve, revenue growth must accelerate for the stock to re-rate higher, Morgan Stanley said Tuesday in a note.The company's topline challenges continued as organic revenue growth of 1% fell short of Street expectations of 3%, driven by business delays and protests that led Amentum to lower its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance by 2%, according to the note.The company's preliminary fiscal 2027 guidance calls for 0% to 1% revenue growth, versus Morgan Stanley's estimate and Street consensus of 4%. Revenue is expected to be impacted by NASA insourcing and select client exits, the note added.Excluding the NASA headwind and client exits, Amentum expects to achieve mid-single-digit normalized growth in fiscal 2027, according to the firm. However, given the recent headwinds, the brokerage said it will wait for acceleration in growth.Morgan Stanley believes the company has a "highly attractive and unique" end-market base, including Nuclear Generation, Space, and Critical Digital Infrastructure, accounting for about 30% of its portfolio.Morgan Stanley kept an equalweight rating on Amentum and lowered its price target to $24 from $30.Price: $21.98, Change: $-0.45, Percent Change: -2.03%
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