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Asia Markets

Emirati Equities Diverge as Oil Prices Fall on Hormuz Flow Optimism

United Arab Emirates equities struggled to find direction on Wednesday as oil prices continued to trade lower amid hopes that shipping through the Strait of Hormuz would normalize soon.At the close of trading, the FTSE ADX General Index lost 0.312%, while the DFM General Index was up 0.116%."Oil prices continue to move lower as flows from the Persian Gulf start to recover. Price action suggests the market is assuming a rapid recovery in traffic through the Strait of Hormuz," ING said. "Vessel crossings increased in recent days, although they remain well below pre-war levels. Estimates suggest that roughly 6-7m b/d of oil moved through the strait in recent days, which is still far below pre-war flows of around 20m b/d. However, with pipeline diversions for Saudi Arabia and the UAE, we only need to see oil flows through the strait return to around 14m b/d for oil supply from the Persian Gulf to return to pre-war levels."On the economic calendar this week is the release of the US personal consumption expenditures price index data for May on Thursday. The data is the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation and will provide investors with clues on future monetary policies.Back home, Abu Dhabi's Department of Health partnered with Biocom California to enhance connectivity between researchers, investors, and entrepreneurs and boost the growth of life sciences activities across both regions.Turning to corporate news, shares of Abu Dhabi Ports Co. (ADX:ADPORTS), d/b/a AD Ports Group, closed the session 1.03% in the red. The port and industrial zones developer boosted its equity stake in Global Feeder Shipping to 81%.Dubai-listed Etihad Energy (DFM:ETIHADENERGY) commenced the front-end engineering design process for its refinery development project in Fujairah, which aims to process naphtha into Euro 5-compliant gasoline. Shares of the maritime and shipping company closed the session 0.66% higher.

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Asia Markets

UAE Shares Slide Ahead of US Fed Meeting Minutes

Emirati Equities slipped back into negative territory as markets await the release of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting minutes later in the day.At the close of Wednesday trading, the FTSE ADX General Index was down 0.521%, while the DFM General Index declined 0.618%.On the economic calendar today are the closely watched minutes from the FOMC's meeting in April, where the committee voted to keep the interest rates steady in the 3.50% to 3.75% range due to high inflation and energy prices, driven by ongoing developments in the Middle East. The minutes will provide investors with insights into the US Federal Reserve's stance on future monetary policies."Another event to watch today is the release of April's FOMC minutes, which will shed more light on the reasoning for the three dissenters who preferred a less dovish message. Any hints that went as far as adding rate hikes to the discussion could underpin the recent hawkish repricing and add support for the dollar," analysts at ING said.On the geopolitical front, Iran threatened to extend the war beyond the Middle East if the US resumes its attacks. Earlier, US President Donald Trump said that he had been an hour away from relaunching strikes before postponing them at the request of Gulf countries.Back home and on the corporate side, FAB Securities reiterated Abu Dhabi Ports Co. (ADX:ADPORTS), d/b/a AD Ports Group, buy rating and its price target of 7.35 Emirati dirhams after the port and industrial zones developer's first-quarter attributable net profit exceeded the financial services firm's expectations. Its shares closed 0.45% higher.Dubai-listed Gulf Navigation (DFM:GULFNAV) returned to profit in the first quarter, while revenue rose year over year. Shares of the maritime and shipping company were 3.26% in the green at the time of closing.

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Asia Markets

Emirati Equities Close Mixed as US Inflation Takes Spotlight

United Arab Emirates indices failed to find direction on Wednesday as higher-than-expected US inflation data, driven by higher energy prices due to the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz, weighed on sentiment.At the close of trading, the FTSE ADX General Index was little changed at 0.06% in the green, while the DFM General Index declined 0.41%."Tuesday saw headline US CPI inflation come in at 3.8% year-on-year for April. It was 2.4% before the war. That's a 140bp uplift, and it's not done. As it is, we're set to hit 4% in May. Core hits 3% down the line. A persistence to the war and we risk adding to that. Getting to 5% inflation is quite probable if it goes on and on. From here, we likely have another week of waiting and watching the war given the China summit distraction, with the Strait remaining shut tight," ING said.On the geopolitical front, US President Donald Trump, ahead of his visit to China, said he does not need China's assistance to end its conflict with Iran and that the war will be won "peacefully or otherwise," Reuters reported Tuesday."The Iran war is likely to be discussed between the two leaders, but we do not expect any changes in China's approach to the war. Trump goes to Beijing with few cards on the hand and to avoid a further loss of face in the war, Trump might not push for any concessions that China is unlikely to give," Danske Bank said in a note. "However, Xi will likely repeat the words by China's Foreign Minister that China is willing to play a 'greater role in restoring peace'.Zooming in at home, the corporate side of the region saw another wave of earnings reports. Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. For Distribution (ADX:ADNOCDIST), d/b/a Adnoc Distribution, and Abu Dhabi Ports Co. (ADX:ADPORTS), d/b/a AD Ports Group, both logged higher attributable profits for the first quarter and closed 1.32% and 0.46% in the green, respectively.In Dubai, stocks of Dubai Refreshment (DFM:DRC) closed flat, while United Foods Co. (DFM:UFC) ended 0.15% higher. Both Dubai-listed consumer goods companies recorded higher profits for the three months ended March 31.

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Research

JPMorgan Lowers AD Ports Group PT, Keeps Neutral Rating

JPMorgan on Thursday reduced its price target for port and industrial zones developer Abu Dhabi Ports (ADX:ADPORTS), d/b/a AD Ports Group, to 6.00 Emirati dirhams from 7.00 dirhams, with an unchanged neutral rating.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://finwires.com/en/contact)

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