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Asia Markets

UK Shares Fall as Ceasefire Deadline Nears; Associated British Foods Shares Down Amid Primark Plans

London's FTSE 100 closed Tuesday trading 1.05% in the red as the US and Iran's two-week ceasefire nears its expiration on Wednesday evening Eastern time.US President Donald Trump said he does not want to extend the ceasefire deadline and expects "to be bombing" if the two sides fail to reach a deal, according to a phone interview on CNBC's Squawk Box.In economic news back home, Britain's unemployment rate stood at 4.9% in the three months to February, according to data from the Office for National Statistics. Analysts expected unemployment to remain stable at 5.2%. Meanwhile, wage growth slowed to 3.8% from a revised 4.1% including bonuses and to 3.6% from 3.8% excluding them, slightly above forecasts of 3.6% and 3.5%, respectively."The Bank of England's (BoE's) preferred measure of pay growth slowed to the pace it believes is consistent with CPI inflation meeting the 2% target," Berenberg said. "Taking the official and survey data in the round, our view is that the jobs market stabilised. However, forward looking indicators flag a risk of further deterioration. In either case, few job vacancies relative to the number of people looking for work should prevent a rise in energy prices from setting off a new price-wage spiral."At Downing Street, long‑term fixed‑price contracts for renewables were proposed alongside increased taxation on excess revenues generated from electricity production to sever the link between international gas prices and electricity rates across the UK. "Our focus is simple: easing pressure on household budgets now, while building a homegrown energy system that protects families from global instability in the years ahead," UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer said.In corporate news, Associated British Foods (ABF.L) dropped 2.68% as it plans to demerge its fast-fashion retail business, Primark, from its FoodCo business and list them as separate entities."ABF reported their H1-26 results today and, as we expected, will demerge Primark (which will be completed by Sep-27). This is a good decision in the long-term but which will not create short-term value on our estimates," Bernstein said. "The business remains weak across the board with profits declining -17% YoY and margins compressing -150 [basis points], driven by weakness in Primark, grocery and sugar. Vs. consensus, revenue was broadly in line (-0.5%) but EBIT missed by -5% (driven by grocery) whilst Primark margins were a little stronger (+20bps beat but this included a non-recurring benefit, which if excluded, leads to a margin miss)."On the upside, data and technology company Experian (EXPN.L) climbed 2.34%, taking a spot among the top performers on the blue-chip index, after appointing Adam Crozier as its chair designate, effective May 12.

FTSE 100$ABF.L$EXPN.L
US Markets

Associated British Foods to Spin-off Primark as Fiscal First-half Profits Fall

Associated British Foods (ABF.L) on Tuesday confirmed plans to separate its retail and food operations, while reporting lower fiscal first-half earnings, weighed by headwinds including weakness in its sugar business.Following a November 2025 review, the food processing and retailing company intends to split its fast-fashion retail business, Primark, from its FoodCo business via a dividend demerger expected to be completed by the end of 2027. While both entities are expected to be FTSE 100 constituents, the food business will keep the ABF name, with current shareholders receiving stakes in both companies.The transition is expected to incur 75 million pounds sterling in one-off separation costs, with dis-synergies projected to come in below 45 million pounds. Following the split, ABF Chief Executive George Weston will lead FoodCo as CEO, while Eoin Tonge will take the helm at Primark.Bernstein viewed the as-expected Primark demerger as a sound strategic move. "This is a good decision in the long-term, but which will not create short-term value on our estimates... Overall, we expect the shares to be weak today despite the good decision to split the business, given the weak underlying performance of the business," the research firm said.Shares were almost 3% down in Tuesday midday trading in London.Highlighting these underlying struggles, ABF's attributable profit for the 24 weeks ended Feb. 28, 2026, stood at 445 million pounds, against the 520 million pounds in the 24 weeks ended March 1, 2025. Group revenue fell to 9.47 billion pounds, in line at actual currency but down 2% at constant exchange rates, as ABF absorbed higher upfront costs and sustained its investment in future scaling.Retail sales were up 2% on "good execution" of new store openings, alongside improved like-for-like sales and Primark market share in the UK. These gains were offset by a combination of weak European consumer confidence, reduced demand for US oils and bakery ingredients, and a decline in European sugar prices.ABF held its lowered fiscal full-year guidance steady except in sugar, where it now anticipates a full-year loss. While the group views current Middle East cost pressures as manageable, it cautioned that a protracted conflict could dampen discretionary spending, posing a risk to Primark's sales trajectory."We knew the first half of this financial year was going to be challenging and that's borne out in our financial results. However, we still expect improved Group performance in the second half," Weston said. "Our Grocery and Ingredients businesses performed as we had expected them to, with our US businesses impacted by weak consumer demand. Our international Grocery brands delivered good sales growth and are positioned for a stronger profit performance in the second half. In Sugar, the results were below our expectations and given the current market conditions, we are more cautious on the outlook."

$ABF.L
Asia Markets

UK Shares Start Week Lower as US-Iran Talks Fail; Associated British Foods Falls

Britain's FTSE 100 closed 0.17% lower on Monday after the failed negotiations between the US and Iran in Pakistan, followed by renewed threats from US President Donald Trump to block "any and all ships" entering or leaving the Strait of Hormuz.In response to Trump's comment, Prime Minister Keir Starmer told BBC Radio 5 Live that the UK will not be involved in the US military's blockade of Iran, adding that the government's response is focused on getting the Strait of Hormuz reopened to lower energy prices "as quickly as possible."On the economic calendar, investors will evaluate the British Retail Consortium's retail sales monitor on Tuesday, and monthly gross domestic product, industrial production, and construction output data on Thursday. Economists from Deutsche Bank Research forecast the British economy to have grown 0.2% month over month in February, compared with the consensus estimate of a 0.1% uptick, supported by broad-based momentum across the services, production and construction sectors.In corporate news, Associated British Foods (ABF.L) fell 1.98%, taking a spot amongst the blue-chip index's worst performers, as RBC Capital Markets cut the food processing and retailing company's rating to underperform from sector perform and price target to 18.5 pounds sterling from 20.5 pounds."As part of our more cautious view on the European Retailing sector, we see further downside risk to consensus earnings forecasts, mainly due to pressure on ABF's largest business Primark," analysts said. "Although we think a demerger should make ABF more investable in the long run, we think ABF's valuation is full given more limited growth prospects over the next few years."Meanwhile, Vistry Group (VTY.L) named Adam Daniels as its chief executive officer to succeed Greg Fitzgerald, effective immediately. The homebuilder's shares declined 3.83% at close."On the one hand it is good news that Vistry has found and appointed a new CEO, taking away uncertainty around the appointment. However, the appointment appears a little rushed to us: the candidate (Adam Daniels) is internal, and the appointment sees Adam coming in and Greg Fitzgerald leaving with immediate effect. At the time of the FY2025 results in March it was announced Mr Fitzgerald would relinquish the role of chair at the AGM, and remain as CEO until a replacement had been found. We also believe that the market was looking for an external rather than an internal appointment. We expect the share price to be weak as it digests today's news," RBC said in a separate note.

FTSE 100$ABF.L$VTY.L
Research

RBC Capital Downgrades Associated British Foods to Underperform, Trims PT

RBC Capital on Monday downgraded British food processing and retailing company Associated British Foods (ABF.L) to underperform from sector perform and decreased its price target to 18.50 pounds sterling from 20.50 pounds.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)

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