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Venture Global Strengthens Contracted LNG Portfolio With Latest Deal, RBC Says

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RBC Capital Markets maintained a positive view on Venture Global (VG) after the company expanded a long-term LNG supply agreement, citing additional contracted capacity and continued demand for US exports, the firm said in a note on Thursday.

Venture Global increased volumes under a 20-year sales and purchase agreement with Greece-based Atlantic-SEE, lifting annual supply commitments to 1 million metric tons from 500,000 mt beginning in 2030, RBC said.

The firm said the agreement further builds Venture Global's portfolio of long-term contracted volumes and reinforces recent market signals that global buyers continue to seek reliable US LNG supplies.

Although Venture Global did not disclose pricing details, RBC believes the contract likely reflects terms near $2.25 per million British thermal units, broadly in line with the company's long-term CP2 agreements.

The added 500,000 mt per annum raises CP2 capacity contracted under long-term agreements to about 19 million mtpa, equivalent to roughly 95% of the project's 20 million-mt nameplate capacity, according to RBC.

The contracted volume represents about 66% of CP2's expected peak capacity of 29 million mtpa, excluding potential expansion projects, and added that investors could view the incremental commitment favorably despite its relatively modest size.

RBC assigns an outperform rating and a $16 price target to Venture Global, based on a sum-of-the-parts valuation that applies 13x EBITDA to contracted volumes and 11x to uncontracted volumes.

Price: $13.14, Change: $+0.39, Percent Change: +3.06%

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