FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

US Oil Update: Futures Settle Lower After Trump Says US-Iran Talks Going Well

By

Crude oil futures settled lower in after-hours trading on Wednesday after President Trump said talks between the US and Iran were progressing well, easing concerns over potential supply disruptions, while a draw in US crude stockpiles further pressured the market.

Front-month West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 2.1% to $68.02 per barrel, while Brent futures dropped 2.5% to $71.16/bbl.

US commercial crude oil inventories decreased by 3.8 million barrels to 408.4 mmbbls in the week ended June 26, the Energy Information Administration said in its weekly report on Wednesday. The decline is less than Macquarie's forecast of a 5.5-mmbbl draw for the week ending June 26.

On Wednesday, Trump said that the US was getting along very well with Iran and that recent meetings in Qatar went well. The US President told reporters that the two sides had very constructive meetings, "and we'll see how it develops," adding that crude prices have come down significantly, now at about $68/bbl.

The technical talks in Qatar come after tit-for-tat military strikes between the US and Iran over the weekend, which threatened to jeopardize a 60-day truce between the two countries.

Soojin Kim, research analyst at MUFG, said progress in indirect negotiations has supported a gradual recovery in shipping via the Hormuz, while Iranian exports have increased following the easing of maritime restrictions.

US special envoy Steve Witkoff and Trump's son-in-law, Jared Kushner, held positive talks in Doha to ease the Middle East conflict and held technical talks as the two sides seek to reach an agreement on the flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi led a delegation of representatives from Iran's foreign ministry, central bank and agriculture ministry, meeting Qatar's prime minister, Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani and holding talks with mediators, according to local media.

Gharibabadi reportedly said that working groups for the follow-up of the MoU's implementation and for negotiations towards a final agreement have been set up, "but no talks have yet taken place within these frameworks."

Meanwhile, market sentiment is being bolstered by reports that tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has begun to recover. US Vice President J D Vance reportedly said that oil flows through the strategic waterway have returned to pre-war levels.

ING strategists said that the crude market continues to take an optimistic view of a supply recovery from the Persian Gulf, despite recent flare-ups between the US and Iran.

The Strait recorded 34 verified crossings on June 30, according to MarineTraffic, with traffic evenly balanced at 17 vessels in each direction.

However, route visibility remained "fragmented," with vessels using Iranian, Omani, International Maritime Organization, and dark or unknown routes, according to MarineTraffic.

Related Articles

Oil & Energy

Ghalibaf Says Hormuz Free Transit Only for 60 Days, Sanctions Waiver to Lift Iranian Crude Prices by 20%

Iran's Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said Tuesday the current agreement allows ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz free of charge for only 60 days, according to a televised interview with the state-owned Tasnim News Agency.Ghalibaf said regional countries and Persian Gulf coastal states sought the temporary arrangement. He added that the provision mainly applied to vessels that were already in the area when the conflict began and the strait was closed.Iran and Oman hold sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz, while shipping through the waterway operates under arrangements determined by Iran in consultation with Persian Gulf coastal states, Ghalibaf said.He added that Iran will not surrender its rights over the strategic waterway under any circumstances.Ghalibaf said the removal of oil sanctions means Iranian crude will be sold at prices 20% higher than before, with the proceeds deposited into bank accounts. He added that Tehran remains prepared to respond if the US fails to honor its commitments.Ghalibaf said the Strait of Hormuz delivers greater strategic value when commercial traffic continues expanding. He warned that Iran intends to impose restrictions on the US and Israel while ensuring shipping activity through the waterway continues to grow.Iran also wants to demonstrate that security in the Strait of Hormuz continues improving, Ghalibaf said. He added that stronger security should eventually lower marine insurance costs for vessels using the route.The parliament speaker said commercial vessels and Iranian oil tankers resumed operating through the Sea of Oman and the Strait of Hormuz after the naval blockade ended. He described the blockade as a violation of both human rights and the ceasefire.Iran has exported more than 40 million barrels of oil since the sea blockade was lifted, Ghalibaf said.Iran's Foreign Ministry did not immediately reply to' request for comment.

Oil & Energy

Market Chatter: UAE Crude Exports Hit Record High in June After OPEC Exit

The UAE raised crude oil and condensate exports to a record 3.7 million barrels per day in June as production recovered and inventories were drawn down following disruptions due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, Reuters reported on Tuesday.The increase came weeks after the UAE ended nearly 60 years of membership in OPEC, citing a desire to maximize the value of its resources outside the group's quota system.The Abu Dhabi National Oil Company also expanded spot sales to Nigeria's Dangote refinery and Turkey's Tupras, while demand strengthened beyond Asia.Adnoc did not immediately respond to a request for comment from.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

Oil & Energy

Edison Faces Further LNG Supply Hit as QatarEnergy Force Majeure Deepens

QatarEnergy has extended the force majeure affecting LNG deliveries to Edison, adding four cargoes and bringing the total number of impacted shipments to 21 through early September 2026.The Italian utility said it received notification from the Qatari state-owned energy firm confirming it will be unable to deliver the additional cargoes scheduled for the Adriatic LNG receiving terminal in Italy.Edison said that the latest disruption brings the total volume affected over the April-September 2026 period to about 2.7 billion cubic meters of natural gas.However, despite the shortfall, Edison said it had already replaced 14 LNG cargoes, equivalent to about 1.3 bcm, through alternative sourcing. The company said it is capable of meeting customer demand and honoring all commercial commitments.Edison holds a long-term supply contract with QatarEnergy for about 6.4 bcm of natural gas per year. The agreement, in place since 2009, runs for 25 years.