FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

US Gasoline Prices Set to Decline, Bessent Says

By

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Wednesday he expects gasoline prices to fall toward $3 per gallon during the summer driving season.

Bessent shared the remarks during a press briefing at the White House.

"I'm optimistic that sometime between June 20 and Sep. 20, that we can have $3 gas again," Bessent said.

US gasoline prices are currently averaging about $4.108 per gallon, up sharply from below $3/gal earlier this year before the Iran conflict began, according to a Bloomberg report.

Bessent added that the outlook for lower prices depends on progress in negotiations to end the war in the Middle East.

Discussions with Middle Eastern counterparts suggest supply could quickly recover, Bessent said, noting that production is expected to resume within a week once the Strait of Hormuz reopens.

He said oil producers indicated output could resume within a week once the Strait of Hormuz reopens to normal shipping flows.

Bessent also warned that authorities are closely monitoring fuel retailers to ensure price declines are passed on to consumers. "We are going to be watching the gas stations, because they raise prices very quickly," Bessent said.

He added that gas stations raised prices rapidly when crude surged and should reduce them just as quickly as oil prices have recently eased.

The US is urging Gulf countries to help freeze assets linked to Iran's leadership, including the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, as part of broader financial pressure efforts, Bessent said.

Related Articles

Oil & Energy

Market Chatter: Over 20 Commercial Ships Sail Through Strait of Hormuz in Past 24 Hours

Over 20 commercial vessels have transited the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours, WSJ reported, citing two US officials.The increase in the number indicates improving traffic through the key global oil route.Commercial tanker traffic, however, remains a fraction compared to pre-conflict levels.Vessels that crossed the waterway in the last 24 hours included cargo, container and tanker vessels headed into and out of the Persian Gulf, WSJ reported, citing an official.A few ships have reportedly sailed without their transponders switched on, making them difficult to track in an attempt to minimize the risk of an Iranian strike.Vessels have reportedly not attempted to sail through the strait amid reports of Iranian attacks and sea mines.US President Donald Trump has been pushing for Iran to reopen the key waterway.Two US warships sailed through the strait earlier this week in a freedom of navigation mission. The move aimed at establishing a new passage to encourage the free flow of commerce amid concerns about Iranian sea mines, according to the report.The White House did not immediately respond to' request for comment.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

Oil & Energy

Middle East Rig Count Dropped in March, RBC Says

Middle East onshore rig counts fell by 43 rigs, or 5% over the month in March, while offshore counts declined by 10 rigs, or 4%, RBC Capital Markets strategists said in a Tuesday note.These disruptions, along with higher logistics and staffing costs, are expected to pressure first-half results for companies with regional exposure, RBC said.In the US, Q1 rig counts totaled 530, down 7% over the year but above RBC's estimate of 518, prompting an upward revision to its 2026 forecast to 544 from 526.RBC expects activity to remain supported by higher oil prices, easing concerns about a potential drop in West Texas Intermediate crude to $50 per barrel coming into 2026.In Canada, rig counts reached 216, down 4% over the year but slightly above RBC's estimate of 214, with spending expected to remain broadly flat, RBC said.Meanwhile, oilfield services stocks have surged about 36% in 2026, with valuations shifting higher as the sector heads into the Q1 earnings season, strategists said.RBC said Q1 reporting begins Apr. 21 with Halliburton (HAL), Saipem, and Weatherford (WFRD), as investors assess geopolitical risks and future production recovery trends, the report said.RBC said US-focused companies have outperformed peers with Middle East exposure this year, reflecting stronger domestic activity trends and fewer geopolitical disruptions.The firm's top picks include Schlumberger (SLB), Baker Hughes (BKR), TechnipFMC (FTI), Enerflex (EFXT), Patterson-UTI Energy (PTEN), Hunting and CES Energy Solutions, according to the note.Meanwhile, RBC lowered its Q1 EBITDA estimates by 2.4%, with the largest revisions for Schlumberger (SLB) and Trican Well Service (TCW), while raising forecasts for Saipem, TechnipFMC and Enerflex.The revised estimates generally fall below consensus, particularly for Trican Well Service, Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI) and Calfrac Well Services (CFW), while exceeding expectations for Halliburton, Enerflex and Ensign Energy Services, RBC said.RBC downgraded Trican Well Service to sector perform from outperform with a $7.50 price target and cut NOV (NOV) to sector perform from outperform with a $21 price target.

$AESI$BKR$EFXT$FTI$HAL$NOV$PTEN$SLB$WFRD
Oil & Energy

US Oil Update: Crude Falls as US, Iran Consider 2nd Round of Peace Talks

Crude oil futures plunged in after-hours trading on Tuesday on reports that a second round of peace negotiations between the US and Iran could resume within days, easing market fears of a prolonged supply disruption despite the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.Front-month West Texas Intermediate crude futures tumbled by 7.08% to $92.07 per barrel, while Brent futures dropped by 4.18% to $95.11/bbl.The second round of US-Iran peace talks is reportedly under discussion, with the negotiations expected to be held in Islamabad before the two-week ceasefire expires next week.On Tuesday, Trump reportedly signaled that another round of US-Iran negotiations could happen in Islamabad, Pakistan soon.Erik Meyersson, chief EM Strategist at SEB Research, said Monday that without progress on the diplomatic front, Hormuz will remain effectively closed, which would push oil prices higher.Iran is also reportedly considering a short-term pause to its shipments via the Hormuz to avoid testing a US blockade and ruining the second round of peace talks.The attacks on energy infrastructure in the Middle East and the closure of the Strait have led to the largest oil supply disruption in history, the International Energy Agency said in its monthly report, with 10.1 million barrels per day lost in March.On Tuesday, US Central Command said that no ships had passed its blockade of Hormuz, a day after it began the blockade, which is now extending eastward into the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea."However, the continued closure of the Strait raises the risk that the recovery of supplies will take much longer than it would have if this disruption had ended in a few weeks," Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist at ANZ, said.Hynes said about half of the capacity of Arabian Gulf producers has been shut-in, and reactivation will be a long and difficult process.Meanwhile, the Treasury Department said it will not renew a 30-day sanctions waiver on Iranian oil, set to expire this weekend, a move that threatens to further squeeze global energy markets."The short-term authorization permitting the sale of Iranian oil already stranded at sea is set to expire in a few days and will not be renewed," the Treasury said in a social media post on X.The waiver, issued by the Treasury Department on Mar. 20, allowed about 140 million barrels of Iranian crude already at sea to reach buyers, primarily in Asia.On the product side, the International Energy Agency said on Tuesday that the Middle East conflict is set to wipe out oil demand growth in 2026, resulting in the first annual decline since the Covid-19 pandemic.The IEA expects global oil demand to contract by 80,000 barrels per day this year, 730,000 b/d less than the agency's previous projection that consumption would grow by 640,000 b/d.