US equity indexes fell this week as semiconductors headed toward a bear market and Iran's retaliation in the Middle East widened, undermining the easing of interest-rate pressure after consumer and wholesale price inflation cooled.
* The S&P 500 closed at 7,457.69 on Friday versus 7,575.39 a week ago. The Nasdaq Composite stood at about 25,520.24, compared with 26,281.61 a week earlier. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended at 52,146.42, versus 52,637.01 at the end of last week.
* Energy, real estate, and consumer defensive stocks topped the sector charts. Technology led the decliners, with semiconductor and semiconductor equipment and materials industries among the worst performers.
* The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH), with net assets of $77.2 billion, fell to $556.53 on Friday from an intraday high of $671.83 on June 22, a decline of about 17%, implying chipmakers are on the doorstep of entering a bear market.
* The AI world is like "the embryonic stages of other industries, like autos 100+ years ago; some will survive and thrive, many won't within overall excessive confidence in the sector as a whole," a Scotiabank note said while noting the impact of a worsening Iran geopolitical crisis.
* "Iran does not control the [Strait of Hormuz]," Pentagon chief Pete Hegseth said in a post on X, after the US reimposed its blockade of Iranian ports and expanded attacks on Iran. Tehran's military warned that the Strait of Hormuz is an "unbreakable red line," while asking Yemen's Houthis to stand ready to close the Red Sea chokepoint.
* The Consumer Price Index fell 0.4% in June, the steepest drop since April 2020, versus forecasts for a 0.1% slide. The Producer Price Index fell 0.3% in June, below consensus for no change.
* Following the inflation data, the CME FedWatch tool showed an 86% probability of the Fed holding rates steady in July, up from 66% a week ago, with the rate-pause likelihood also increasing for September, October, and December.