FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

Thailand's Factory Activity in May Logs Weakest Growth in 12 Months

By
Thailand's Factory Activity in May Logs Weakest Growth in 12 Months

Thailand's manufacturing activity growth slowed to a 12-month low in May as consumer confidence remained fragile amid domestic and external pressures.

The headline S&P Global Thailand Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) slipped to 52.6 from 52.7 in April, S&P Global reported Tuesday.

While the figure remains above the neutral 50 mark separating expansion from contraction, it represents the slowest pace of improvement since July 2025.

The slowdown was largely driven by sluggish output volumes, which expanded at their weakest rate in a year. Although new orders accelerated slightly compared with the prior month, firms noted persistent consumer hesitancy regarding spending.

According to a survey conducted by the University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce, the country's consumer confidence slumped to 50.6 in April from 51.8 in the previous month, the lowest in eight months.

Similarly, data provider Ipsos reported that consumer confidence in the first half of the year plunged to near-pandemic lows. The decline was driven by mounting economic pressures and geopolitical tensions, particularly the outbreak of war in Iran, which has disrupted global supply chains.

"Rising energy prices, cost-of-living concerns and declining confidence are changing consumer behavior in profound ways. As concerns shift, spending, saving and brand choices change as well. Businesses and brands must adapt quickly," said Pimtai Suwannasuk, Ipsos' senior client officer.

The Ipsos report, published in May, also highlighted that political corruption remains the absolute top concern among Thai consumers.

Consumers face even more pressure as manufacturers pass on elevated raw material and transportation costs, S&P Global noted. As a result, factory gate charges increased even as overall input cost inflation stabilized.

External uncertainties continued to strain business capacity, leading to a 10th consecutive month of backlog accumulation, yet manufacturers remain cautious about hiring additional staff.

Despite these headwinds, business owners are broadly optimistic, with 21% of survey respondents forecasting a rise in production over the coming year.

"There were some positive signals for the near-term outlook. Manufacturers anticipate a rise in their output levels during the year ahead, with confidence the highest since February," S&P Global Market Intelligence economic director Tim Moore said.

Related Articles

Japan's Capital Spending Growth Grinds to a Halt in Q1
US Markets

Japan's Capital Spending Growth Grinds to a Halt in Q1

Japanese companies' capital spending was flat year over year in the first quarter, compared with the 6.5% growth in the previous quarter, according to government data released Monday.The result missed market expectations for a 4.1% increase, according to Investing.com.Capital spending fell 2% on a seasonally adjusted quarterly basis, the data showed.Meanwhile, manufacturers' spending declined 0.4% from a year earlier.Despite the weak investment figures, corporate sales rose 1.1% year over year, while ordinary profits increased 14.6%.The Iran war has rattled the global economic outlook, with oil prices surging after Tehran effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, leaving energy-import-dependent Japan particularly vulnerable to the resulting supply shock."Capital spending came in significantly weaker than expected. While it's too early to say for certain, we may be starting to see some impact from the Middle East conflict," Yuichi Kodama, chief economist at Meiji Yasuda Research Institute, was quoted as saying by Bloomberg News."It's also possible that some companies decided at the last minute to hold back planned investment," Kodama added.The Ministry of Finance survey is closely watched as an indicator of corporate investment trends and broader economic activity in Japan.The figures will be used in revised gross domestic product data for the January-March quarter due on June 8.Preliminary data showed Japan's economy expanded at an annualized real rate of 2.1%, marking a second consecutive quarter of growth.The data leaves room for debate as the Bank of Japan's outlook weighs further interest rate increases.Recent hawkish remarks from BOJ policymakers have prompted investors to price in roughly a 79% chance of a rate increase at the June 15-16 meeting."Results were weaker than expected, reflecting a pullback from earlier strength," Kazutaka Maeda, an economist at Meiji Yasuda Research Institute, was quoted as saying by Reuters."But given steady demand for labor-saving investments and similar areas, capital expenditures are unlikely to deteriorate sharply from here," he added, noting that the outlook would depend on developments in the Middle East.

Nikkei 225
China's Factory Activity Stalls in May; Services Activity Rebounds
US Markets

China's Factory Activity Stalls in May; Services Activity Rebounds

China's manufacturing sector slowed down in May, while the services sector staged a recovery, helping overall private-sector activity rise last month, according to official data released Sunday by the National Bureau of Statistics.The official purchasing managers' index fell to a neutral 50 from 50.3 in April, marking the lowest in three months. It also came in lower than the 50.2 consensus estimate from Investing.com.A reading above 50 means growth, while a reading below 50 indicates contraction.The production sub-index came in at 51.2, down from 51.5 in April, indicating that manufacturing output continued to expand, albeit at a softer pace. However, demand showed signs of softening, with the new orders index falling to 49.9 from 50.6 in April, suggesting a slight decline in demand within the manufacturing sector.The data also pointed to a divergence between large and smaller firms, with the PMI for large enterprises rising to 51.1 from 50.2, while the PMIs for medium and small enterprises both fell to contraction territory at 48.6 and 48.5 from 50.5 and 50.1, respectively, in April.Input costs remained elevated in May, despite easing slightly, with the raw materials purchase price index falling to 60.5 from 63.7 the previous month. The factory price index also softened to 51.9 in May from 55.1 previously.Meanwhile, services activity in China recovered in May, with the official non-purchasing managers' index rising to 50.1 from 49.4 in April.The latest reading in the index, which measures activity in the services and construction sectors, is higher than the 49.5 consensus estimate on Investing.com.Activity within the construction sector contracted for the fifth straight month in May, with the sub-index rising to 48.8 from 48 in April. Elsewhere, railway transportation, telecommunications and broadcasting, and insurance all posted PMIs above 55, while air transportation and real estate remained below the critical threshold.New orders in the non-manufacturing sector continued to contract in May, but at a softer rate compared with April.China's composite PMI output index, which combines manufacturing and non-manufacturing activity, rose to 50.5 in May from 50.1 in April.

Shanghai Composite^SZSE
Australian Manufacturing Sector's Growth Decelerates in May as Middle East Conflict Continues to Reverberate
US Markets

Australian Manufacturing Sector's Growth Decelerates in May as Middle East Conflict Continues to Reverberate

Australia's manufacturing sector expanded in May, but the pace of growth slowed from the previous month amid intense supply-chain disruption and as new orders recorded their sharpest decline since October.The seasonally adjusted S&P Global Australia Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index came in at 50.7 for May, down from a 51.3 reading in the previous month but still higher than the 50 mark that separates growth from contraction.Lower sales, elevated prices, and uncertainty generated by the Middle East conflict all factored into a further decline in manufacturing production in May, as output declined for a fourth straight month, the index provider said Monday.The impact of the Iran war remains widespread, with higher fuel costs resulting in longer delivery times for suppliers amid delays in international freight transport. At the same time, output price inflation accelerated and was the steepest since August 2022."Familiar themes were evident in the Australian manufacturing PMI data during May, with the war in the Middle East continuing to cause steep price rises and supply-chain disruption," said Andrew Harker, economics director at S&P Global Market Intelligence. "As a result, firms are finding it increasingly difficult to secure new orders."On a positive note, business confidence ticked higher alongside a slight increase in employment as firms maneuvered to accelerate production lines. However, the rise in employment is "unlikely to be sustained" if new business continues to slide in the near future, Harker said.He added that Australia faces the prospect of posting a fall in production in the second quarter "unless we see a marked turnaround in fortunes during June."The Reserve Bank of Australia has raised borrowing costs three times so far this year. The central bank expects inflation to remain above its 2% to 3% target range for a prolonged period after a recent surge in fuel and related commodity prices.

ASX 200