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Stocks Rise Pre-Bell Ahead of Key Consumer Inflation Report

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Stocks Rise Pre-Bell Ahead of Key Consumer Inflation Report

US equity markets were tracking in the green before the opening bell Friday as traders brace for a key consumer inflation report ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting next week.

The S&P 500, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq were up 0.6% each in premarket activity. The indexes finished Thursday trading lower for the fourth consecutive session.

The consumer price index report for August is scheduled to be released at 8:30 am ET. Data are expected to show that consumer inflation increased 0.4% sequentially and 3.4% annually, according to a Bloomberg-compiled consensus.

Wall Street projects core CPI, which excludes volatile items such as food and energy, to rise 0.2% month over month and 2.4% year over year for August.

Treasury yields were mixed, with the two-year rate gaining 0.3 basis points to 4.55% while the 10-year rate declined 0.6 basis points to 4.94%.

On Thursday, government data showed that producer prices rose at the fastest pace in three months in August amid higher fuel costs. Oxford Economics predicted further upward pressure on wholesale costs as domestic diesel prices hit fresh peaks.

Markets are pricing in a 68% probability that the Fed will raise the benchmark lending rate by 25 basis points at its Sept. 15-16 meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool. The remaining odds point to another central bank pause.

West Texas Intermediate crude oil dropped 3.4% to $99.02 a barrel, while Brent slipped 3.7% to $103.65.

The International Energy Agency said Friday it now forecasts global oil demand to drop by 2.5 million barrels a day this year, 940,000 barrels more than its previous estimate last month, with the deadlock in US-Iran negotiations likely to delay the normalization of crude flows into 2027.

On Thursday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries cut its global oil demand outlook for 2026 as high energy prices are expected to weigh on consumption.

The average diesel price in the US hit a fresh record high at $6.0556 per gallon on Friday, according to AAA motor club data. The regular gas price rose to $4.2950 per gallon from $4.0116 a month ago.

Iran-aligned Houthis seized control of Yemen's port city of Mocha on Thursday, military sources said, gaining further leverage over the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, the southern side of the Red Sea, Reuters reported.

Friday's economic calendar also has the preliminary University of Michigan's consumer sentiment report for September at 10 am, followed by the weekly Baker Hughes oil-and-gas rig count at 1 pm.

Shares of Oracle (ORCL) jumped 6.7% pre-bell as the cloud computing company reported fiscal first-quarter results above Wall Street's estimates. Adobe (ADBE) fell 3.8% as the Photoshop maker provided a fiscal fourth-quarter revenue outlook below market expectations at the midpoint.

Kroger (KR) reports its latest financial results before the bell.

Gold dipped 0.4% to $4,390 per troy ounce, while bitcoin decreased 0.2% to $77,001.

What else is happening in US Markets?

New Zealand's Manufacturing Sector Expansion Slows in August
US Markets

New Zealand's Manufacturing Sector Expansion Slows in August

New Zealand's manufacturing sector showed continued expansion in August, but at a slower pace than seen in July, as cost-of-living pressures and the Middle East conflict continued to weigh on sentiment.The seasonally adjusted BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index for August was 53.1, down from 54.3 in July but still hovering above the 50 mark that separates expansion and contraction, and higher than the survey's long-term average of 52.5.BusinessNZ Director of Advocacy, Catherine Beard, said that the survey is closely watching the employment subindex that's sitting right on the breakeven mark, also the weakest among all sub-indexes.Deliveries were the second lowest subindex at 52.6, down from July's 55.5, while finished stocks rose the highest at 56.4 from 53.4, followed by new orders, which rose to 54.9 from 53.6. Production fell to 54.2 from 57.1.Sentiment softened further in August with 55.7% of comments negative, though a "good number" of respondents said steady or improving order books was a positive note, as new orders and finished stocks were the only two sub-indexes that showed monthly growth.All sub-industries except "other" expanded in August, with food and beverage, textiles and non-metal manufacturing moving from contraction to expansion, while the decline in the overall PMI reflected softer readings in previously stronger industries rather than a broad-based weakening, BusinessNZ said.BusinessNZ added that the survey data shows positive economic momentum in the third quarter and supports its forecast of 2% gross domestic product growth in the second half of the year.

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Japan's August Wholesale Inflation Hovers Near Three-Year High, Cementing Rate Hike Bets
US Markets

Japan's August Wholesale Inflation Hovers Near Three-Year High, Cementing Rate Hike Bets

Japan's producer price index (PPI) rose faster than anticipated in August, hovering near its highest level in more than three and a half years and highlighting persistent cost pressures weighed down by a weak yen, preliminary Bank of Japan data showed Friday.Wholesale inflation increased 7.6% year over year in August, topping the 7.4% consensus forecast tracked by Investing.com. However, it remained near the 7.7% revised growth in July, which was the fastest since February 2023.Nonferrous metals saw the biggest movement, rising to 43.3% in August from 40.7% in the previous month, followed by scrap and waste, information and communications equipment, and petroleum and coal products."The pickup would suggest that upstream price pressures remain elevated, potentially sustaining the pass-through of higher input costs to consumer prices," analysts at ING said in a Sept. 4 note.On a monthly basis, corporate goods prices decreased 0.2%, reversing the 0.4% revised gain in July and marking the first monthly drop in one year.The persistent wholesale inflation reinforces expectations for near-term monetary tightening. Most respondents in a Reuters poll anticipate the central bank will raise its benchmark interest rate to 1.25% from 1.0% at its upcoming policy meeting on Sept. 17-18.A central bank board member earlier flagged the need for an interest rate increase due to increasing cost pressures.The central bank last lifted borrowing costs to a 31-year high of 1% in June

Nikkei 225
Oracle Tops First-Quarter Expectations as Cloud Infrastructure Revenue More Than Doubles
US Markets

Oracle Tops First-Quarter Expectations as Cloud Infrastructure Revenue More Than Doubles

Oracle's (ORCL) fiscal first-quarter results surpassed Wall Street's estimates as cloud infrastructure sales more than doubled year over year.Revenue increased 30% year-on-year to $19.35 billion during the three months through August, above the FactSet-polled consensus of $19.14 billion. Adjusted earnings per share rose to $1.92 from $1.47 a year earlier, compared with the Street's $1.74 view.Cloud sales advanced 62% to $11.61 billion, driven by a 121% jump in infrastructure to $7.39 billion. Wall Street expected $11.51 billion in overall cloud revenue.Oracle's remaining performance obligations -- future commitments arising from contractual relationships -- soared $209 billion year-on-year to $664 billion. The company booked more than $30 billion of AI cloud contracts in the fiscal first quarter."Customer demand for AI cloud training and inferencing services continues to grow faster than supply," the cloud computing company said late Thursday.Oracle delivered more than 300,000 graphics processing units to AI cloud customers since the end of May, nearly triple the capacity shipped during the fourth quarter.Shares were up 6.8% in after-hours trading. The stock is down 22% this year through Thursday close.Oracle's software segment edged 3% lower annually to $5.55 billion.Earlier in the week, Oppenheimer said strong results across enterprise software companies in the most recent quarter point to healthy demand, which should bode well for Oracle's cloud business."Our regression analysis foretells upside in (Oracle cloud infrastructure, or OCI) growth and RPO conversions in (the fiscal first quarter)," the brokerage said in a Tuesday note. "In combination with additional gigawatt capacity coming online, this could support higher (fiscal 2027) guidance while reinforcing the bull case that OCI demand remains supply -- not demand -- constrained."Major technology companies have reported strong annual growth rates for their cloud businesses in the latest earnings season, with Alphabet's (GOOG, GOOGL) cloud revenue surging 82% to $24.77 billion. Microsoft (MSFT) cloud computing platform Azure rallied 43%, while Amazon's (AMZN) Web Services revenue jumped 37%.Oracle expects revenue to grow by 30% to 34% in the second quarter, with cloud sales seen rising 64% and 70%. Non-GAAP EPS is expected to grow between 21% and 25%, reaching $1.85 to $1.91. Markets expect adjusted EPS of $1.89 on consolidated revenue growth of 32% to $21.18 billion.Oracle raised its fiscal 2027 non-GAAP EPS guidance to $8.10 from $8.05. The company expects at least $90 billion in full-year revenue. Analysts expect $8.07 and $89.66 billion, respectively.

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