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Stocks Fall Pre-Bell, Oil Rises After Fresh US-Iran Strikes

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Stocks Fall Pre-Bell, Oil Rises After Fresh US-Iran Strikes

US equity futures were tracking in the red on Wednesday while oil prices rose as the US and Iran exchanged a fresh round of strikes.

The S&P 500 declined 0.3%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased 0.4%, and the Nasdaq was off 0.5% in premarket activity. The indexes finished Tuesday trading lower for the second consecutive session.

The US Central Command said Tuesday its forces destroyed five Iranian crude oil carriers in response to Tehran firing ballistic missiles at a US navy warship. Iran retaliated by launching a barrage of ballistic missiles at a base used by US forces in Jordan, according to several media reports.

CENTCOM previously said it struck three Iranian oil tankers over the weekend.

West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose 2.3% to $95.13 a barrel, while Brent gained 2.6% to $100.48.

President Donald Trump signed five proclamations on Tuesday to ban imports of certain Canadian goods, including some motor vehicles, alcohol and dairy products, effective Sept. 29. In July, the US imposed tariffs of 50% on these products from Canada.

Treasury yields were trending upwards, with the two-year rate rising 2.1 basis points to 4.42% and the 10-year rate adding 0.4 basis points to 4.81%.

Traders await two key inflation reports later in the week, with data on wholesale prices for August due on Thursday, while the consumer price index for the same month is scheduled to be released on Friday. The reports are expected to serve as crucial data points for the Federal Reserve, which begins its two-day policy meeting next week.

Markets are pricing in a 60% probability that the central bank will raise the benchmark lending rate by 25 basis points, with the remaining odds pointing to another Fed pause, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

US consumers had mixed views on the inflation trajectory in August, seeing prices hold steady in the short- and long-term but expecting a drop over the next three years, a survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York showed Tuesday.

Wednesday's thin economic calendar has the weekly mortgage applications bulletin at 7 am ET.

SailPoint (SAIL), Chewy (CHWY), Core & Main (CNM), Signet Jewelers (SIG) and Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) are set to release their latest financial results before the bell, among others. Cooper Companies (COO), AeroVironment (AVAV) and American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) post their earnings after the markets close.

Shares of Casey's General Stores (CASY) dropped 8.9% pre-bell as the convenience store operator's fiscal first-quarter same-store sales growth decelerated year over year.

Gold edged down to $4,438 per troy ounce, while bitcoin traded up 0.9% at $79,091.

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China's Consumer, Producer Inflation Pick Up on Upstream Cost Pressures
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China's Consumer, Producer Inflation Pick Up on Upstream Cost Pressures

China's consumer and producer prices strengthened in August, signaling firmer price pressures as higher commodity and input costs fed through the industrial sector.The consumer price index rose 0.8% year over year in August, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics on Wednesday. The reading matched the 0.8% consensus forecast tracked by Investing.com and picked up from 0.5% in July.The CPI rose 0.4% month over month, rebounding after three consecutive months of declines and suggesting a firmer near-term price trend.The recovery, however, remained uneven. Food prices fell 1.4% year over year, while non-food prices rose 1.2%. Consumer goods prices increased 0.8%, matching the rise in services prices.Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, rose 1% year over year, pointing to somewhat firmer underlying price pressures than the headline CPI suggests.Producer prices delivered a stronger signal. The PPI rose 3.8% year over year in August, recovering from a three-month low of 3.5% in July and exceeding the 3.6% consensus forecast tracked by Investing.com.On a month-over-month basis, the PPI rose 0.4%, reversing two consecutive months of declines.The rebound was led by production inputs, with prices of means of production rising 5% year over year. Mining prices jumped 17.8%, while raw-material prices rose 6.7%.Higher commodity and industrial input costs remained a key source of pressure. Prices of non-ferrous metal materials and wires surged 19.8% year over year, while fuel and power prices rose 9.8% and chemical raw-material prices increased 9.5%.Taken together, the data suggest China's price environment is becoming firmer, although the recovery remains uneven.For the first eight months, consumer prices averaged 0.9% higher than a year earlier, compared with a 2% increase in producer prices.

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Chip, Drug Makers to Drive Non-Residential Construction Rebound, UBS Says
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Chip, Drug Makers to Drive Non-Residential Construction Rebound, UBS Says

US non-residential construction is approaching a reacceleration, driven by semiconductor and pharmaceutical investments, UBS Securities said in a note emailed Tuesday.The brokerage expects manufacturing-related construction to rebound to more than $200 billion by the end of next year following a 25% drop to $186 billion in the last 12 months.Electric vehicle and battery plants, as well as semiconductor investments, drove the previous buildout cycle from 2021 to 2024, UBS analysts, including Steven Fisher, said."Our analysis and project tracking continues to suggest the drivers this cycle will be another round of semiconductor factories and pharmaceutical projects, in addition to some general industrial and defense related investments," Fisher wrote.UBS upgraded its 2027 growth outlook for non-residential construction to 6.7% from 6%, while lowering the 2026 view to show a 0.9% drop, all in nominal terms.The semiconductor industry has announced nearly $300 billion in year-to-date investments, according to the note. The CHIPS and Science Act, which became law in 2022, initially boosted capacity expansion, but companies have reassessed plans over the last one to two years."For some time, semiconductor manufacturers have remained relatively disciplined in their capacity expansion plans, preferring to add capacity in response to demand rather than build ahead of it," Fisher said. "That demand now appears firmly in place."Pharmaceutical companies have announced about $400 billion in new investments over the last two years, including a commitment of at least $20 billion from Eli Lilly (LLY), amid surging demand for weight loss drugs, the UBS note showed.Defense spending is also on the rise due to the evolving geopolitical situation."In addition to structural drivers discussed above, we think that cyclical drivers will add to growth," Fisher said.The Institute for Supply Management's purchasing managers' index has been expanding for eight months in a row following three years of sluggish performance, according to the brokerage. Separately, S&P Global (SPGI) said last week that manufacturing growth held steady sequentially in August.UBS said equipment rental firm United Rentals (URI) is the main beneficiary of the manufacturing capacity expansion.The brokerage is also positive on United Rentals' peer Equipmentshare.com (EQPT) and construction machinery names Oshkosh (OSK), Caterpillar (CAT), Deere (DE) and CNH Industrial (CNH).Materials providers like Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) and CRH (CRH) and some companies in the engineering and construction sector will also benefit from a pickup in factory activity, according to the note.

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Update: Equities Dip, Oil Jumps as Middle East Tensions Escalate
US Markets

Update: Equities Dip, Oil Jumps as Middle East Tensions Escalate

(Updates with market moves at the end of the day, and other changes, if any.)US stocks fell for a second consecutive session on Tuesday as heightened tensions in the Middle East drove oil prices higher.The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 1.2% lower at 52,786.07, while the S&P 500 shed 0.6% to 7,673.52. The Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.3% to 26,421.41. US markets were closed Monday for the Labor Day holiday.Most sectors ended in the red, led by healthcare, while energy paced the gainers.West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose 2.4% to $93.71 a barrel in Tuesday late-afternoon trade, having hit a high of $94.73 earlier in the day. Brent crude climbed 1.9% to $98.79, after advancing earlier to reach an intraday peak of $99.46.Yemen's Iran-allied Houthi group struck civilian and economic sites in Saudi Arabia, injuring 73 people, the kingdom's Ministry of Foreign Affairs said Tuesday. The Houthi group targeted Saudi Aramco's facilities across Abha, Najran, and Jazan, Bloomberg News reported, citing the group's military spokesperson.US Central Command said Saturday that its forces targeted three Iranian oil tankers on Saturday in response to Tehran firing ballistic missile at two American Navy warships.Treasury yields were higher, with the two-year rate up 1.7 basis points at 4.4% and the 10-year rate rising 0.8 basis point to 4.79%.US consumers had mixed views on the inflation trajectory in August, seeing prices hold steady in the short- and long-term but expecting a drop over the next three years, a survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York showed Tuesday.The August consumer and producer price data for August, due out later this week, could serve as crucial data points for the Federal Open Market Committee, which begins its two-day policy meeting Tuesday next week.Markets are pricing in a 59% probability that the FOMC will raise the benchmark lending rate by 25 basis points on Sept. 16, with the remaining odds pointing to another Fed pause, according to the CME FedWatch tool.In company news, Boston Scientific (BSX) shares fell 5.9% after the medical device maker said it may not be able to meet its own guidance, citing a "material impact" from a recent cybersecurity incident.ABM Industries (ABM) tightened its full-year earnings outlook as the facility services provider's bottom line for the fiscal third quarter topped market estimates. The company's shares jumped 7.6%.S&P 500 companies' second-quarter earnings growth continues to outpace early forecasts as the reporting season draws to a close, Oppenheimer Asset Management said Tuesday.Cloud computing giant Oracle (ORCL) and photoshop maker Adobe (ADBE) are scheduled to report results later in the week.Spot gold dropped 1.1% to $4,357.46 per troy ounce, while silver edged down 0.4% to $66.50 per ounce.

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