Canada delivers the March Labour Force Survey (LFS) at 8:30 a.m. ET on Friday, notes Scotiabank.
A rebound of some magnitude is generally expected, it says, noting consensus sits at a 15,000 gain, with most forecasts in the 10,000 to 40,000 range.
Scotiabank expects the unemployment rate to slip to 6.6% from 6.7%.
As for drivers, Scotia notes there have been nine times when the monthly jobs tally fell by 70k or more and the next month was up five of those times. "So far that's not so compelling," it says, adding: "A weak base effect could drive a gain, but there is sampling persistence in the way the LFS rotates panels over six months by dropping and replacing one at a time."