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Research Alert: Nclh: 2026 Net Yield And Eps Guidance Cut Despite Q1 Beat

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CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:

NCLH's Q1 EPS of $0.23 beat $0.14 consensus and EBITDA of $533M exceeded $501M estimates, but results were overshadowed by material guidance cuts. Management slashed EPS guidance to $1.45-$1.79 from $2.38 and expects net yield to decline 3%-5%, a significant deterioration from prior flat expectations. We believe the revision reflects deeper demand and execution challenges, with bookings below optimal levels and limited recovery visibility. Management expects Q2 Net Yield to decline 3.6% and acknowledged its positioning below the optimal booking curve following execution missteps. Geopolitical uncertainty is impacting European bookings, while revenue management enhancements will take time to yield results. The company executed $125M in SG&A savings and expects flat cruise costs excluding fuel. With net leverage at 5.3x and debt of $15.2B, balance sheet flexibility remains constrained. In our view, risk remains skewed to the downside until demand stabilizes given limited booking visibility and execution gaps.

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