-- CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:
We lower our 12-month target by $9 to $180 on a 2026 EV/EBITDA multiple of 17x (up from 15x), a premium to its 15x three-year forward average multiple. We lower our 2026 EPS estimate to $2.75 from $3.71 and raise our 2027 estimate to $4.34 from $4.26, while our 2026 adjusted EBITDA estimate of $1.18 billion is near the midpoint of management's guidance. Following Q1 results that beat estimates and included raised full-year RevPAR guidance, we downgrade shares from Buy to Hold. We believe the setup is less favorable with shares now trading at a 10% premium to their three-year average forward multiple. Our multiple reflects a discount to hotel peers given H's lower scale and higher leverage, though this is offset by H's exposure to luxury leisure travel, which is showing momentum with net package RevPAR up 7.4% in Q1 and contributing to outsized RevPAR growth. However, geopolitical disruptions affecting H's Distribution segment have lowered our 2026 EBITDA outlook. At current levels, we see balanced risk/reward.