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Research Alert: Centene: Hbr Improvement Supports Q1 Eps Beat, Yearly Guidance Increase

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-- CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:

Centene reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $3.37 (+16.2% Y/Y), beating the consensus by $1.24, with the HBR improving 20 bps to 87.3% despite Marketplace membership declines from ACA enhanced premium tax credit expiration. Revenue rose 5.1% to $44.7B, due to premium yield improvements and Medicare PDP membership growth (+11.6% to 8.78M), while Commercial membership fell 33% to 4.06M. We view the 30 bps SG&A expense ratio improvement to 7.6% and $1.0B debt reduction as demonstrating effective expense management and disciplined capital allocation focused on debt reduction over share repurchases. Management raised 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to at least $3.40 from $3.00, supported by successful Medicaid performance, while maintaining HBR guidance midpoint at 91.3%. We look for more detail on looming Medicaid headwinds from the OBBBA legislation and management's outlook for the second half, as shares extended their rally off March lows with ~3% premarket gains.

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Research Alert: Strong Execution, Softer Outlook: Record Margins Amid Mixed Signals

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:Itron's Q1 2026 results beat consensus with revenue of $587M (vs. $572M estimate) despite a 3% decline and non-GAAP EPS of $1.49 (vs. $1.24 estimate), though down $0.03 Y/Y. Record adjusted gross margin expanded 490 bps to 40.7%, fueled by strong execution and projects ahead of schedule. We view these results as validating the business mix evolution, with Outcomes growing 22% to $96M and service revenues surging 30% across all segments, while the new Resiliency Solutions segment contributed $16M. Q2 guidance of $560M-$570M revenue and $1.25-$1.35 EPS came well below consensus of $606M/$1.46, requiring management clarity on project timing explanations. We believe the declining backlog (down 6% to $4.4B) coupled with Networked Solutions revenue declines represent a worrisome double headwind worth monitoring. However, our long-term thesis remains intact as we see the revenue shift toward AI-powered grid analytics as positive, supported by robust $79M free cash flow and accelerating demand in the Outcomes segment.

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