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FINWIRES

Research Alert: Arch Capital Produces Improved Q1 Underwriting Profits Amid A Tough Market

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-- CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:

ACGL posted Q1 operating EPS of $2.50 vs. $1.54 prior year, beating the $2.46 consensus but missing our $2.62 estimate. Operating revenues declined 1.3% Y/Y, significantly below our 8%-15% growth forecast, reflecting 4.8% lower earned premiums partly offset by 8% higher investment income. We view ACGL as a top-tier underwriter with superior underwriting capabilities, maintaining strong profitability metrics despite competitive headwinds. We expect significant questions on the April 29 call regarding written premium shortfalls, as net written premiums declined 3.7% Y/Y. Underlying underwriting results remained superior to industry averages, with the combined ratio at 82.3% vs. 81.0% prior year, about 5-10 points better than industry. While the lack of meaningful top-line growth is concerning, we believe ACGL shares remain undervalued vs. peer and historical averages given the company's superior underwriting track record and profitability metrics.

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