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Nasdaq, S&P 500 Fall For Third Day as Yields Jump

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Nasdaq, S&P 500 Fall For Third Day as Yields Jump

The Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 fell for a third consecutive session on Tuesday and Treasury yields jumped, while traders assessed US President Donald Trump's latest remarks on the conflict with Iran.

The Nasdaq declined 0.8% to close at 25,870.7, while the S&P 500 lost 0.7% to 7,353.7. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.7% to 49,363.9. Six of the 11 sectors ended in the red, led by materials' 2.3% decline, while healthcare paced the gainers.

"Investors are still navigating a market shaped by geopolitics, oil prices, and rising bond yields," Saxo Bank said in a report.

US Treasury yields were higher in Tuesday late-afternoon trade, with the 10-year rate up 4.2 basis points at 4.67% and the two-year rate rising 2.6 basis points to 4.12%.

Global bond yields have climbed, which could be attributed to the rise in long-term inflation expectations, particularly in the US, Macquarie said in a report.

"That's making nominal coupon-paying assets less attractive, and putting upward pressure on long-term yields," Thierry Wizman, global foreign exchange and rates strategist at Macquarie, said. "Aggravating this move in the US is that the (Federal Reserve) has been late to signal that it has moved toward a neutral policy bias, let alone a tightening bias."

West Texas Intermediate crude was last down 0.8% at $107.77 per barrel, while Brent fell 0.9% to $111.09.

Trump told reporters Tuesday that the US may need to strike Iran again, Reuters reported.

That followed his statement on Monday that the US had postponed a planned military strike on Iran amid ongoing negotiations.

The delay would last for "a limited period of time," CNN reported, citing Trump.

"Oil prices are gyrating between yesterday's increase after tough talk from Trump over the weekend and today's slight pullback after Trump said he held off on launching additional attacks on Iran following appeals from Gulf states," Scotiabank said in a note earlier in the day.

Washington and Tehran have had a series of talks, but are yet to finalize a framework on a peace deal.

"The net effect is that oil prices have been higher since Friday and this reflects the general perception that there is no traction in negotiations," Scotiabank said. "Nor should any progress be expected in what is likely to be a stalemate."

In company news, Home Depot (HD) reported fiscal first-quarter results above market expectations despite consumer uncertainty, while the home improvement retailer reiterated its full-year outlook. The company's shares rose 0.9%.

Nvidia (NVDA) shares ended a choppy session 0.8% lower. The chipmaking giant is scheduled to report results after the closing bell Wednesday.

Nvidia's fiscal first-quarter sales are expected to outperform market projections, with potential for "enhanced" cash returns likely to be among the key areas of focus, BofA Securities said in a note e-mailed Tuesday.

Gold was down 1.2% at $4,504.40 per troy ounce, while silver lost 3.6% to $74.65 per ounce.

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Equity Markets Mixed as Trump Aborts Plan to Attack Iran
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Equity Markets Mixed as Trump Aborts Plan to Attack Iran

US equity markets closed mixed Monday as President Donald Trump said the US was postponing a plan to attack Iran on Tuesday.The Nasdaq Composite declined 0.5% to 26,090.7, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.3% to 49,686.1. The S&P 500 closed 0.1% lower at 7,403.1. Most sectors were in the green, led by energy, while technology saw the steepest decline.Trump said the US will hold off on its planned military attack against Iran that was previously scheduled for Tuesday, according to his social media post on Monday.Trump said Middle Eastern leaders, including Saudi Arabia Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, asked the US president to call off the attack amid "serious" ongoing negotiations to end the Washington-Tehran conflict.Trump, however, cautioned that the US will "go forward with a full, large scale assault of Iran" if a deal is not reached.Brent crude fell 0.4% to $108.85 per barrel in Monday late-afternoon trade, while West Texas Intermediate crude was last up 0.9% at $106.34 per barrel.Trump's latest rhetoric follows reports that Iran had provided an updated proposal for a deal to end the war. The White House indicated it doesn't reflect a meaningful improvement from a previous offer, Axios reported Monday, citing a senior US official and a source briefed on the matter.The Strait of Hormuz -- the world's most important chokepoint for crude flows -- remains largely shut as tensions between the US and Iran continue, with no end in sight."Progress on US-Iran peace talks continues to be immaterial, with both parties expressing a willingness to resume overt hostilities if the talks fail," Tudor Pickering Holt Analyst Matt Portillo said in a note sent earlier in the day.US Treasury yields were little changed in Monday late-afternoon trade, with the 10-year rate at 4.59% and the two-year rate at 4.07%.Nvidia (NVDA) shares fell 1.3%, the second-worst performer on the Dow. The chipmaking giant is expected to exceed Wall Street's first-quarter estimates and guide above consensus amid positive data points, Wedbush Securities said.Nvidia is scheduled to release its latest quarterly results after the markets close Wednesday.Retail giants Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), TJX (TJX), Lowe's (LOW) and Target (TGT) are also expected to report this week. Home Depot and Lowe's are likely to lower their full-year guidance as the home improvement retailers face pressure from weak consumer sentiment, Oppenheimer said in a note.NextEra Energy (NEE) and Dominion Energy (D) agreed to merge in all-stock deal to create the largest regulated electric utility in the world. Dominion shares jumped 9.4%, the second-biggest gainer on the S&P 500, while NextEra fell 4.6%.In economic news, US homebuilder confidence unexpectedly rose this month despite elevated mortgage rates, macro uncertainty and continued affordability challenges, data from the National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo showed."Soft homebuilder sentiment is consistent with our view that housing starts will mostly move sideways for the next couple of quarters before starting to edge up slightly around year-end, when we expect mortgage rates to be lower as the (Federal Reserve) implements the first of two rate cuts we expect," Oxford Economics said in a note.Gold was up up 0.1% at $4,564.40 per troy ounce in Monday late-afternoon trade, while silver rose 0.3% to $77.80 per ounce.

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Nvidia Likely to Top Estimates, Offer Strong Guide, Wedbush Says
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Nvidia Likely to Top Estimates, Offer Strong Guide, Wedbush Says

Nvidia (NVDA) is expected to exceed Wall Street's first-quarter estimates and guide above consensus amid positive data points, Wedbush Securities said in a client note on Monday.The brokerage expects the technology bellwether to report earnings of more than $1.80 per share, ahead of its $1.74 estimate. Revenue is seen beating Wedbush's $78.01 billion first-quarter revenue estimate by at least $2 billion, according to the brokerage.Wedbush expects second-quarter EPS of $1.84 on sales of $82.12 billion. The company is scheduled to release its latest quarterly results Wednesday."We fully expect the leading supplier of (artificial intelligence) silicon will again exceed estimates and guide above Street given continued positive data points through (the calendar first quarter)," Wedbush analysts Matt Bryson and Antoine Legault said.The brokerage expects healthy AI infrastructure spending to likely continue through 2027."While there remain some potential industry-wide speed bumps (Middle East plans amidst the war, uncertainty around future opportunities in China), if anything, we see the potential/eventual resolution of these issues as catalysts for increased future spend," Bryson and Legault added.RBC Capital Markets last week projected Nvidia would deliver another strong quarter amid robust compute demand and issue an upbeat revenue guidance for the ongoing three-month period.Wedbush pointed out Nvidia's supply chain resilience amid industry-wide bottlenecks in areas like advanced logic, memory, optical transceivers and hard disk drives."During our conversations with a variety of supply chain participants, we have encountered numerous bottlenecks that are throttling (or threatening to throttle) builds and deployments for a variety of specific participants in the AI ecosystem," Bryson wrote. "(Nvidia), however, to date has not been among those struggling with supply chain."Wedbush reiterated its outperform rating on Nvidia's stock and maintained the $300 price target.Price: $222.05, Change: $-3.27, Percent Change: -1.45%

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Oil Rises as US-Iran Deadlock Continues
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Oil Rises as US-Iran Deadlock Continues

Crude oil prices rose Monday amid lack of progress on US-Iran peace talks.Brent advanced 1.4% to $110.80 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate futures were last up 1.6% at $107.06. Brent rose 7.9% last week, while WTI climbed about 10%.Iran has submitted its new proposal to end the war, but the White House believes it fails to offer meaningful improvements on the last offer, Axios reported Monday, citing a senior US official and a source briefed on the issue.The standoff has renewed fears of a military combat, with President Donald Trump set to convene a meeting of his top national security officials on Tuesday, according to the report.Iranian state media previously claimed that Washington had agreed to waive some oil sanctions. However, the US official denied such reports, according to Axios.A fragile ceasefire between Washington and Tehran appears to be holding, though the two sides are yet to finalize a framework to end the conflict despite a series of talks.Over the weekend, a drone strike caused a fire near the United Arab Emirates' Barakah nuclear energy plant. The facility can meet a quarter of the Gulf country's electricity needs, Al Jazeera reported Monday."Progress on US-Iran peace talks continues to be immaterial, with both parties expressing a willingness to resume overt hostilities if the talks fail," Tudor Pickering Holt Analyst Matt Portillo said in a note.Last week's talks between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping also failed to improve the prospects of a US-Iran deal."There had been hope (possibly misplaced) that China could use its influence over Tehran to break the deadlock between the US and Iran," ING Head of Commodities Strategy Warren Patterson said in a report on Monday. "If anything, re-escalation risks are increasing."