FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

May Private Sector Hiring Rises More Than Expected, ADP Data Show

By
May Private Sector Hiring Rises More Than Expected, ADP Data Show

Employment in the US private sector increased more than expected in May, ADP (ADP) data showed Wednesday, ahead of the official jobs report for the month due later in the week.

Private jobs advanced by 122,000 last month, according to the payrolls processing firm. The consensus was for a 120,000 increase in a Bloomberg-compiled survey. The number of jobs added in April was revised down to 105,000 from 109,000.

"Hiring was more broad-based in May than we've seen in the last few years," ADP Chief Economist Nela Richardson said. "The labor market continues to show sustained momentum going into the summer hiring season."

The services sector added 114,000 jobs last month, led by a 57,000 jump in education and health services, ADP said. The information sector saw a 9,000 drop in roles. Employment in the goods-producing sector grew by 8,000.

"The breadth of gains was encouraging, with almost all sectors increasing payrolls during the month," Oxford Economics Senior US Economist Matthew Martin said in remarks emailed to. "Coupled with weak labor supply growth, the strong gains in payrolls would reduce the upside risk to the unemployment rate."

Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics are expected to show Friday that the US economy added 85,000 nonfarm jobs in May, which would represent a fall from a 115,000 increase reported for April, according to a Bloomberg-compiled survey. The unemployment rate is seen unchanged at 4.3%.

Annual wage growth slowed to 6.5% in May from 6.6% in April for job changers, while compensation gains were steady at 4.4% for job stayers, the ADP report showed.

The ADP report is "slightly at odds" with the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey released Tuesday, according to Martin. That survey showed job openings hitting their highest level in almost two years in April, although hiring and layoffs fell.

"While the full impacts of the war in Iran on the labor market haven't fully fed through, recent labor market data will allow the Federal Reserve to be patient in setting policy and remain on hold until December," Martin said.

US President Donald Trump reportedly said in a podcast with the New York Post that Iran has agreed not to have nuclear weapons, but Tehran could still change its mind. Previously, Trump said in a social media post that negotiations with Iran were continuing, despite state-affiliated outlet Tasnim reporting that Iran had suspended talks with Washington.

Price: $225.84, Change: $-5.34, Percent Change: -2.31%

Related Articles

Ollie's Bargain Lifts Full-Year Earnings Guide, Trims Revenue Outlook
US Markets

Ollie's Bargain Lifts Full-Year Earnings Guide, Trims Revenue Outlook

Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) raised its full-year earnings outlook on Wednesday, while the discount retailer trimmed its revenue expectations.The company raised its fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings guidance to between $4.45 and $4.55 per share from $4.40 to $4.50 previously projected. Analysts polled by FactSet expect $4.44 per share.Ollie's revenue is pegged at $2.98 billion to $3 billion, compared with the prior outlook that called for $2.985 billion to $3.013 billion. Wall Street is modeling for $3 billion."We are cognizant of the state of the consumer right now," Chief Financial Officer Robert Helm said during an earnings call, according to a FactSet transcript. "They are prioritizing their spending around their needs and driving a little less if they can. Weather is still a bit of a lingering factor and we don't have the benefit of higher tax refunds to offset some of these pressures in the second quarter."Gasoline prices in the US have surged as the Iran war pushed crude oil costs higher due to the near-complete closure of the Strait of Hormuz.Dollar General (DG), Dollar Tree (DLTR), TJX (TJX) and Burlington Stores (BURL) recently raised their full-year earnings guidance.Shares of Ollie's rose 0.9% intraday Wednesday. The stock is down 27% so far this year.For the first quarter ended May 2, adjusted EPS rose to $0.91 from $0.75 a year earlier, ahead of the Street's $0.87 estimate. Sales jumped 14% to $658.9 million, but fell short of the FactSet consensus of $661.7 million.Comparable sales grew 1.7%, decelerating from the prior-year quarter's 2.6% rise but topping analysts' 1.6% growth view."Our comp target remains a positive 2% for the full fiscal year," Helm told analysts. "Our current trends are running below this level, primarily reflecting continued weather volatility and ongoing pressure on the lower income consumer."Wall Street expects Ollie's full-year comparable sales to increase 1.7%.Price: $79.44, Change: $+0.19, Percent Change: +0.24%

$BURL$DG$DLTR$OLLI$TJX
OECD Cuts Global Growth Projection for 2026 Amid Iran War Uncertainty
US Markets

OECD Cuts Global Growth Projection for 2026 Amid Iran War Uncertainty

The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development lowered its global economic growth projection for 2026, cautioning that the fallout from the Middle East conflict may linger for some time even after its resolution.The OECD now expects the world economy to grow at a slower pace of 2.8% this year, compared with a 2.9% expansion projected in March, marking a sharper slowdown from last year's 3.4% growth. For 2027, the OECD now forecasts global economic growth to pick up to 3.1%, compared with its previous 3% outlook.The report, which the OECD said was finalized amid a growing possibility of a peace deal between the US and Iran, assumes a gradual easing in energy prices beginning in the middle of this year. Crude and gasoline prices have soared since the Iran war began at the end of February.The group, however, warned of greater economic damage if the conflict drags on, projecting global growth of 2.1% this year."Even after the conflict ends, the economic effects are likely to be felt for some time given the months it will take to restore damaged infrastructure and transport routes and deliver products around the world," the OECD said on Wednesday.US President Donald Trump reportedly said in a podcast with the New York Post that Iran has agreed not to have nuclear weapons, but Tehran could still change its mind. Previously, Trump said in a social media post that negotiations with Iran were continuing, despite Iranian state-affiliated outlet Tasnim reporting that the country had suspended talks with Washington.The OECD continues to expect US economic growth at 2% this year, though it raised the estimate for next year to 1.8% from 1.7% previously expected."While the energy shock and heightened uncertainty stemming from the evolving conflict in the Middle East are expected to sap household consumption growth, underlying (US) growth remains supported by strong (artificial intelligence)-related investment," the OECD said.The OECD lowered its 2026 inflation forecast for the US to 3.7% from 4.2% previously. The updated estimate, however, remains well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target."The energy price shock is set to push year-over-year headline (personal consumption expenditure) inflation sharply higher, peaking around 4% in mid-2026 before declining as energy prices fall back," the OECD said.Annual consumer inflation in the G-20 countries is expected to remain unchanged at 4% in 2026 and ease to 3.1% in 2027, compared with 2.7% predicted in March.

Medtronic Tops Fiscal Fourth-Quarter Estimates, Guides to Higher Full-Year Earnings
US Markets

Medtronic Tops Fiscal Fourth-Quarter Estimates, Guides to Higher Full-Year Earnings

Medtronic (MDT) reported better-than-expected fiscal fourth-quarter results on Wednesday, while the medical-device maker projected earnings and organic revenue growth for the current year.In the three months ended April 24, adjusted earnings fell to $1.55 a share from $1.62 a year earlier, topping the consensus of $1.54 in a FactSet survey. Revenue rose 9.9% to $9.81 billion, above analysts' estimate of $9.62 billion. On an organic basis, excluding currency and other items, sales gained 6.6%.Medtronic shares climbed 4.9% in Wednesday trading and are down 19% this year."We are pleased to have delivered results ahead of expectations on both revenue and EPS," Chief Financial Officer Thierry Pieton said in a statement. "As we look to (fiscal 2027), we are entering the year with strong momentum, a resilient operating foundation, and a clear path to deliver durable growth."For fiscal 2027, the company expected adjusted EPS of $5.90 to $6, reflecting growth of 6.7% to 8.5%. Analysts project EPS of $6.05. The company said foreign exchange should have a neutral to 1% accretive impact.Medtronic expects organic revenue to rise 6.8% to 7.3% for the full year, compared with 5.8% growth in fiscal 2026.Revenue in the cardiovascular portfolio climbed 14% to $3.8 billion in the fourth quarter, buoyed by a 22% increase in cardiac rhythm and heart-failure products. Neuroscience sales rose 5% to $2.75 billion, and medical surgical revenue advanced 8% to $2.39 billion. Diabetes revenue climbed 15% to $837 million, supported by growth in insulin-pump and sensor technologies.CEO Geoff Martha said the company continued to see strength across major businesses, including cardiac rhythm management, cranial and spinal technologies, and surgical, and is building momentum in its highest-growth opportunities.Price: $77.37, Change: $+3.62, Percent Change: +4.91%

$MDT