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Market Chatter: Indonesia to Avoid Immediate Fitch Ratings Downgrade if Deficit Surpasses 3% in Short Term

-- Indonesia will not see an immediate ratings downgrade by Fitch Ratings on going over its legal fiscal deficit limit of 3% if the change is justified, Reuters reported Friday citing George Xu, sovereign ratings director at Fitch.

The exception applies to temporary breaches - that is, a hypothetical increase for one year - in response to an economic fallout resulting from the Middle East conflict, the report said.

A higher deficit for over a year could, however, lead to a downgrade, according to the report.

The anticipated deficit for 2026 currently stands at 2.9% but could go up to 4% if the situation worsens, according to the report.

Fitch recently downgraded Indonesia's rating outlook to negative in March from stable previously.

(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

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