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Market Chatter: Drone Attacks Disrupt Operations At Two Rosneft Refineries In Russia

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Rosneft-owned Syzran and Saratov oil refineries in Russia halted processing after Ukrainian drone attacks, with Syzran stopping Tuesday and Saratov suspending operations Friday, Reuters reported Wednesday, citing three industry sources.

The Syzran refinery suffered damage to several facilities, including the CDU-6 unit, which handles 17,100 metric tons per day, or 71% of capacity, while CDU-5, covering the remaining 29%, was already under repair; sources expect repairs to take at least a month.

The Saratov refinery halted crude processing on Sept. 11 after a drone attack, following an earlier strike on Sept. 8 that caused fires and equipment damage and delayed a planned Sept. 10-11 restart. Rosneft did not immediately reply to' request for comment.

(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

What else is happening in Commodities?

Commodities

US Natural Gas Update: Futures Continue to Rise on Warmer Weather Forecasts

US natural gas prices rose in after-hours trading Tuesday as forecasts for above-average temperatures across parts of the country through the end of September pointed to firmer demand from power generators for air conditioning.The front-month Henry Hub contract and the continuous contract each rose 1.66% to $2.933 per million British thermal units.The Commodity Weather Group said Tuesday that above-average temperatures are expected across the South and Southeast through Sept. 29."Temperatures are still expected to trend lower overall as the calendar moves deeper into September, but the warmer forecast shift could slow the seasonal decline in power generation demand and temper the pace at which storage injections strengthen," Pinebrook Energy Advisors said.Total US natural gas demand stood at 76.2 billion cubic feet per day on Tuesday, up 3.9% from a year earlier, Barchart said, citing BNEF data.Longer-range weather revisions added heat across the South Central and Southeast, helping power burn remain firm at 45.5 Bcf/d before the seasonal decline accelerates, Gelber & Associates said.Celsius Energy put power burn at 41.4 Bcf/d on Monday, up 2.9% from the same day a year earlier. The seven-day rolling average for the week ended Sept. 14 was 43.6 Bcf/d, up 5.5% from the comparable period last year, it said.Consumption is still expected to decline in the second half of September as cooling demand fades, Gelber said, adding that Tuesday's advance reflects a narrower injection outlook without erasing broader shoulder-season pressure.LNG feedgas demand was estimated at 18.8 Bcf/d, down 2.2% from a week earlier, but continues to provide a strong demand floor despite easing from last week's highs, Gelber said.On the supply side, natural gas production remains strong after a brief slowdown, NRG said, topping 110 Bcf/d for two consecutive days over the past week.Barchart reported Tuesday production at 111.7 Bcf/d, up 1.9% from the same period last year. Trading Economics said strong domestic production is capping further price gains, with Lower-48 output averaging more than 111 Bcf/d, up from 110.7 Bcf/d in July.The stronger late-summer demand has tightened the near-term supply/demand balance, pulling projected fall inventories down closer to 3.8 trillion cubic feet and reducing some of the storage cushion that had weighed on October prices earlier this month.

Commodities

US Crude Oil Inventories Rise, API Says

Data from the American Petroleum Institute revealed Tuesday that US crude oil inventories increased by 7.14 million barrels in the week ended Sept. 11, following a 300,000-bbl draw the previous week, and compared with analysts' estimate of a 1.8-mmbbl decline, according to a Bloomberg-compiled survey.The oil market now awaits the US Energy Information Administration's petroleum inventory report, scheduled for release on Wednesday.

Commodities

US Power Update: Prices Mostly Higher Tuesday Afternoon, With Natural Gas Leading the Generation Mix

US wholesale electricity markets were mostly higher Tuesday afternoon, with intraday prices ranging from a high of $372.39 per megawatt-hour to a low of -$102.90/MWh, according to GridStatus.io.Electric Reliability Council of Texas' real-time locational marginal price was $36.99/MWh at 4 p.m. ET. Net load reached 41.59 gigawatts, while solar accounted for the largest share of the generation mix at 36.6%.California Independent System Operator's real-time LMP was $27.25/MWh at 4 p.m. ET. Net load was 0.66 GW, with solar making up the largest share of the generation mix at 66.2%.Southwest Power Pool's real-time LMP stood at $92.93/MWh at 4 p.m. ET. Net load reached 36.68 GW, while natural gas represented the largest share of the generation mix at 38%. Prices climbed to an intraday peak of $233.61/MWh at 4:25 p.m. ET.PJM's real-time LMP was $66.99/MWh at 4 p.m. ET. Net load totaled 97.39 GW, with gas providing the largest share of the generation mix at 42.8%. Prices rose to an intraday high of $264.54/MWh at 4:10 p.m. ET.Midcontinent Independent System Operator's real-time LMP was negative at -$69.78/MWh at 4 p.m. ET. Net load was 86.07 GW, while natural gas accounted for the largest share of the generation mix at 33.1%.Prices reached an intraday high of $372.39/MWh at 5:20 a.m. ET, before falling to an intraday low of negative $102.90/MWh at 2:50 p.m. ET.New York Independent System Operator's real-time LMP stood at $51.66/MWh at 4 p.m. ET. Net load reached 15.82 GW, with dual fuel making up the largest share of the generation mix at 29.6%. Prices advanced to an intraday high of $245.16/MWh at 2:25 p.m. ET.Independent System Operator New England's real-time LMP was $31.83/MWh at 4 p.m. ET. Net load came in at 9.98 GW, while natural gas supplied the largest share of the generation mix at 37.1%.Independent Electricity System Operator's real-time LMP reached $32.76/MWh at 4 p.m. ET. Net load was 15.15 GW at 3:55 p.m. ET, with nuclear accounting for the largest share of the generation mix at 43.1%.The National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center forecasts above-normal temperatures across most of the US from Sept. 23-29, with below-normal readings in parts of the West.