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Market Chatter: China's Economy Rebounds in Q1 But Outlook Darkens on Global Risks

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China's economy likely picked up pace early in 2026, buoyed by resilient exports, but momentum is set to fade as geopolitical tensions weigh on demand, a Reuters poll showed.

Economists forecast first-quarter gross domestic product growth at 4.8% year-on-year, up from 4.5% in Q4 2025, according to the Monday report.

Expansion is seen easing to 4.7% in Q2, with full-year growth at 4.6%, Reuters wrote.

While energy buffers have softened the impact of the Iran crisis, higher oil prices are squeezing margins and threatening exports, the report said.

(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

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