The eurozone economy recorded better-than-expected growth in the second quarter despite rising energy prices and continued geopolitical uncertainty stemming from the war in the Middle East.
The euro area's gross domestic product grew 0.4% in the second quarter, following a revised zero growth in the prior three-month period, according to Eurostat's flash data released Thursday. The latest reading came in higher than market forecasts of a 0.2% rise.
Among the eurozone member states, Ireland logged the strongest quarterly increase with a 3.9% GDP growth, rebounding from an upwardly adjusted 7% fall in the previous three months.
Italy and Germany both saw a GDP expansion of 0.2%, easing from the prior 0.3% and revised 0.4%, respectively, while France's economy rebounded to 0.2% from a 0.1% contraction previously. Spain's GDP was up 0.7%, compared with 0.6% earlier.
"The eurozone economy seems to have once again shrugged off a global economic shock quite well. The US-Iran war and subsequent rising energy prices have not done much to dent eurozone growth rates so far. The second-quarter growth rate came in at a strong 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, which was the fastest since the first quarter of 2025," ING said in a note. "But truth be told, eurozone headline GDP data continues to be distorted significantly by jumps in Irish data, which is notorious for being influenced by multinational accounting activity ... Stripping out Ireland, we see that GDP growth would have been 0.3% in Q2 - only modestly stronger than in Q1."
On a yearly basis, the eurozone economy expanded by 1% during the quarter, against the revised 0.5% gain in the previous three months and the consensus estimate of a 0.5% growth.
"Of course, the war in the Middle East poses the main downside risk to the eurozone economy for the moment. But bar a prolonged period of significant re-escalation, eurozone GDP growth could well continue to motor on at a decent - though not spectacular - pace," ING added. "At a time when risks are so prominent, that's actually quite good news."



