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Equity Markets Rise Intraday, Oil Falls as Traders Monitor Middle East Developments

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Equity Markets Rise Intraday, Oil Falls as Traders Monitor Middle East Developments

US equity markets edged higher intraday and oil prices declined as traders tracked the latest on the Iran war, while technology bellwether Nvidia's (NVDA) shares slipped despite reporting stronger-than-expected first-quarter revenue.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.5% at 50,256.6 after midday Thursday, while the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.3% to 26,345. The S&P 500 added 0.3% to 7,453.4. Most sectors were in the green, led by consumer discretionary, while consumer staples saw the biggest drop.

West Texas Intermediate crude oil was down 2.4% at $95.92 a barrel intraday, while Brent fell 2.5% to $102.39.

Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, has issued a directive that the country's uranium should remain within the country, Reuters reported Thursday, citing two senior Iranian sources.

President Donald Trump reportedly said Thursday that the US will eventually recover Iran's stockpile of highly enriched uranium. Retrieving the uranium is a key objective of Trump's war on Iran.

Trump told reporters on Wednesday that negotiations with Iran had reached the final stages, though he warned of further attacks if Tehran backed out, according to several media outlets.

Iran is discussing setting up a permanent toll system with Oman to formalize its control of the Strait of Hormuz, Bloomberg News reported Thursday.

Treasury yields were mixed intraday, with the two-year rate up 2.4 basis points at 4.09% and the 10-year yield rate little changed at 4.59%.

Shares of Nvidia (NVDA) fell 1.2% intraday, among the worst performers on the Dow.

The chipmaking giant late Wednesday reported fiscal first-quarter revenue above Wall Street's estimates as data center sales outperformed expectations amid an artificial intelligence boom.

For the current quarter, Nvidia said it anticipates revenue of $91 billion, plus or minus 2%. The consensus indicated $87.29 billion.

"Nvidia has become so important that good is not enough," Saxo Bank said in a report. "Investors want proof that the cycle extends into 2027 and beyond, that margins can stay high, and that customers are not simply ordering ahead before the next chip transition."

Walmart (WMT) shares were down 6.9%, the steepest decline on the Dow and second-biggest on the S&P 500. The retail giant issued a fiscal second-quarter earnings outlook below market estimates, while it reported better-than-expected revenue in the previous three-month period.

Intuit's (INTU) stock plunged 20% intraday, the worst performer on the S&P 500. The financial technology platform late Wednesday reported better-than-expected fiscal third-quarter results and disclosed plans to reduce its workforce by about 17%.

Deere's (DE) fiscal second-quarter results exceeded analysts' expectations, while the company on Thursday affirmed its soft full-year earnings outlook amid continued pressure in global agricultural markets. The stock was 4.6% lower intraday, among the worst performers on the S&P 500.

Lifting interest rates may not be an appropriate response from the Federal Reserve to curb price pressures, Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said in prepared remarks for an event in North Carolina.

"Raising rates to weaken demand doesn't address the root cause behind supply shock-driven inflation. It doesn't free up trade routes, reopen factories or melt ice," he said. "That said, I've been asking myself whether we've entered an era where supply shocks will become more frequent."

"With inflation above our 2% target for over five years now, it's worth asking whether the cumulative impact of so many waves risks loosening the anchor."

Fed officials at their April policy meeting flagged the possibility of higher interest rates if the Middle East conflict drags on and keeps inflation above the 2% goal, minutes from the meeting showed on Wednesday.

Ross Stores (ROST), Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO), and Workday (WDAY) are among companies scheduled to release their earnings after the markets close.

Gold was up 0.2% at $4,545.90 per troy ounce, while silver rose 1.1% to $77.05 per ounce.

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Nvidia First-Quarter Revenue Tops Estimates Amid Data Center Strength
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Nvidia First-Quarter Revenue Tops Estimates Amid Data Center Strength

Nvidia (NVDA) reported fiscal first-quarter revenue above Wall Street's estimates as data center sales outperformed expectations amid an artificial intelligence boom.The technology bellwether's revenue climbed 85% annually to $81.62 billion, exceeding the consensus on FactSet indicating $78.91 billion. Adjusted per-share earnings increased to $1.87 in the three months ended April 26 from $0.78 a year earlier.Data center revenue jumped 92% to a record $75.25 billion, driven by the ramp of Blackwell 300 products and demand for the InfiniBand, Spectrum-X Ethernet and NVLink solutions, Chief Financial Officer Colette Kress said in remarks published on the company's website late Wednesday.Consensus estimates pointed to $73.13 billion in data center sales."The buildout of AI factories -- the largest infrastructure expansion in human history -- is accelerating at extraordinary speed," Chief Executive Jensen Huang said in a statement. "Agentic AI has arrived, doing productive work, generating real value and scaling rapidly across companies and industries. Nvidia is uniquely positioned at the center of this transformation."Nvidia said it consolidated its reportable market platforms into two from five previously. The data center segment will cover hyperscale and AI clouds, industrial and enterprise, while the edge computing platform includes PCs, game consoles, robotics and automotive.For the current quarter, Nvidia expects consolidated revenue of $91 billion, plus or minus 2%. The consensus indicates $87.29 billion.RBC Capital Markets and Wedbush Securities expected the leading supplier of AI silicon to report a strong first quarter and guide above consensus.The company said it boosted its quarterly dividend to $0.25 per share from $0.01, payable on June 26 to shareholders as of June 4.Nvidia's board approved an additional $80 billion share repurchase authorization.The chipmaker's stock fell 0.9% in after-hours trading, and are up nearly 20% this year through Wednesday close.

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Equity Markets Rebound Following Fed Minutes; Yields Tumble
US Markets

Equity Markets Rebound Following Fed Minutes; Yields Tumble

US stocks rebounded Wednesday as traders parsed minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy meeting, while Treasury yields slid.The Nasdaq Composite rose 1.5% to 26,270.4, while the S&P 500 advanced 1.1% to 7,433, both rising after a three-day fall. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 1.3% to 50,009.4. Most sectors ended in the green, led by consumer discretionary, while energy saw the biggest drop.Fed officials flagged the possibility of higher interest rates if the Middle East conflict drags on and keeps inflation above the 2% goal, minutes from the central bank's April meeting showed.Meeting participants generally determined that elevated inflation, combined with uncertainty around the duration and impact of the Iran war, could justify holding rates for longer than previously anticipated, the meeting minutes showed.However, majority of Fed officials pointed out "that some policy firming would likely become appropriate if inflation were to continue to run persistently above 2%.""The discussion at the April meeting suggests the (Federal Open Market Committee) is becoming increasingly worried about the inflation outlook," Sal Guatieri, senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, said in a report. "While it is in no rush to raise rates, that possibility will only grow if inflation remains stubbornly high."Treasury yields plunged in Wednesday late-afternoon trade, with the 10-year yield rate declining 9.6 basis points to 4.58% and the two-year rate retreating 7.4 basis points to 4.05%.Bond yields have surged amid mounting concerns about inflation. Higher yields drove a sell-off in stocks on Tuesday, according to Macquarie."The state of play now and following the end of earnings season, is that stock indexes are likely to remain sensitive to what happens to long-term yields," Macquarie said in note Wednesday. "Should yields go higher (for whatever reason), stocks will slip further."West Texas Intermediate crude oil was last down 5.5% at $98.47 a barrel, while Brent fell 5.6% to $105.03.US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that negotiations with Iran had reached the final stages, though he warned of further attacks if Tehran backs out, according to a Reuters report.Shares of airlines and cruise operators were notable gainers on Wednesday, with United Airlines (UAL) up 10%, the top gainer on S&P 500. Delta Air Lines (DAL) jumped 9.4%, among the best performers on the index, along with Carnival (CCL) and Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH).In other company news, Hasbro (HAS) reported a first-quarter operating loss for the consumer products division even as the toymaker delivered stronger-than-expected results at the consolidated level. The stock slid 8.8%, the worst performer on the S&P 500.Target (TGT) shares fell 3.9%, among the steepest declines on the S&P 500. The retailer lifted its full-year sales growth outlook as it recorded higher-than-expected fiscal first-quarter results.TJX (TJX) raised its full-year outlook after posting stronger-than-expected fiscal first-quarter results, with comparable sales rising across all segments. The stock climbed 5.6%.Gold was last up 0.8% at $4,549.30 per troy ounce, while silver rose 1.8% to $76.48 per ounce.

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Fed Officials Flag Rate Hike Possibility if Inflationary Pressures Persist, FOMC Minutes Show
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Fed Officials Flag Rate Hike Possibility if Inflationary Pressures Persist, FOMC Minutes Show

Federal Reserve officials flagged the possibility of higher interest rates if the Middle East conflict drags on and keeps inflation above the 2% goal, minutes from the central bank's April meeting showed Wednesday.At that meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee decided to keep its policy rate unchanged between 3.50% and 3.75% for a third straight time amid uncertainty around the US economic outlook.A fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran appears to be holding, though the two sides are yet to finalize a framework to end the conflict despite a series of talks.Meeting participants generally determined that elevated inflation, combined with uncertainty around the duration and impact of the Iran war, could justify holding rates for longer than previously anticipated, the meeting minutes showed.However, majority of Fed officials pointed out "that some policy firming would likely become appropriate if inflation were to continue to run persistently above 2%.""Many participants indicated that they would have preferred removing the language from the post-meeting statement that suggested an easing bias regarding the likely direction of the committee's future interest rate decisions," according to the document.Three regional presidents supported the April policy decision, but opposed including an easing bias in the statement. Fed Governor Stephen Miran, whose resignation will take effect the moment Kevin Warsh is sworn in as Fed chair, favored an interest rate reduction.Several participants were of the view that the Fed's next move could be a rate cut, assuming inflation begins to cool or the labor market weakens significantly, the meeting minutes showed."Participants assessed that both upside risks to inflation and downside risks to employment remained elevated," according to the minutes. "Participants generally observed that the conflict in the Middle East could have significant implications for the balance of these risks and for the appropriate path of monetary policy."Official data showed earlier this month that US annual consumer inflation accelerated in April to the fastest pace in almost three years, while the economy added more jobs than projected. Energy prices have surged amid the near-complete closure of the Strait of Hormuz."The discussion at the April meeting suggests the FOMC is becoming increasingly worried about the inflation outlook," Sal Guatieri, senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, said in a report. "While it is in no rush to raise rates, that possibility will only grow if inflation remains stubbornly high ... regardless of the previous views of the incoming chair."Markets widely expect the FOMC to keep interest rates unchanged at its next policy meeting in June, according to the CME FedWatch tool.