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Equities Rise Intraday, Oil Falls as Markets Monitor Middle East Peace Prospects

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Equities Rise Intraday, Oil Falls as Markets Monitor Middle East Peace Prospects

US benchmark equity indexes were higher intraday, while oil prices fell as traders awaited progress in diplomatic efforts to end the Middle East conflict.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 1% at 50,786.6 after midday Friday, after closing at a record high in the previous session. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite were up 0.7% each at 7,499.5 and 26,464.9, respectively, intraday. Barring communication services and consumer staples, all sectors were in the green, led by healthcare.

West Texas Intermediate crude oil was down 0.6% at $95.74 a barrel, while Brent fell 0.2% to $102.37. Both benchmarks were on track for weekly declines.

"Markets are still searching for signs of progress in a potential deal between the US and Iran," ING Bank said in a report Friday. "While there are signs of optimism, uncertainty reigns."

A Qatari negotiating team arrived in Iran Friday in coordination with Washington to help secure a deal to end the conflict, Reuters reported, citing an unnamed source.

On Thursday, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio reportedly said there were "good signs" that a peace deal is in sight, but warned that any agreement would be "unfeasible" if Iran insists on controlling shipping through the crucial Strait of Hormuz. Iran is discussing setting up a permanent toll system with Oman to formalize its control of the strait, news outlets reported.

"No one in the world is in favor of a tolling system," Rubio told reporters, according to CNBC. "It can't happen [and] it would be unacceptable."

US Treasury yields were mixed intraday Friday, with the 10-year rate down 2.4 basis points at 4.56% and the two-year rate rising four basis points to 4.12%.

Kevin Warsh took charge of the Federal Reserve Friday, replacing former Chair Jerome Powell amid growing signs of division at the central bank as inflation heats up.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller said he is prepared to be patient in holding monetary policy at its current restrictive stance as the Middle East conflict continues to evolve.

"If I believe inflation expectations start to become unanchored, I would not hesitate to support an increase in the target range for the federal funds rate," Waller said. "But at this point, that action is premature."

In company news, Dell Technologies (DELL) shares soared 16% intraday, the top gainer on the S&P 500, as Wells Fargo raised its price target on the stock to $270 from $180.

Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO) shares were down 3.6%, the worst performer on the S&P 500. Late Thursday, the video game publisher logged a smaller-than-expected fiscal fourth-quarter loss and said it was on track to launch the highly anticipated "Grand Theft Auto VI" Nov. 19.

In economic news, US consumer sentiment declined to a fresh record low in May as people fear that high gasoline prices could erode their purchasing power, according to a survey by University of Michigan.

"Consumer sentiment fell for the third straight month as supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz continue to boost gasoline prices," Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu said. "The cost of living continues to be a first-order concern, with 57% of consumers spontaneously mentioning that high prices were eroding their personal finances, up from 50% last month."

Gold was down 0.5% at $4,519.30 per troy ounce, while silver lost 0.1% $76.66 per ounce.

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US Markets

Take-Two Posts Smaller-Than-Expected Loss, Affirms 'GTA VI' November Launch Timeline

Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO) reported a smaller-than-expected fiscal fourth-quarter loss late Thursday, while the video game publisher said it was on track to launch the highly anticipated "Grand Theft Auto VI" on Nov. 19.Take-Two's loss narrowed to $0.32 per share in the three months ended March from $21.08 the year before, compared with the FactSet-polled consensus calling for a $0.57 loss. Net bookings, which are products and services sold digitally and physically, remained flat year over year at $1.58 billion.Last week, Wedbush Securities expected bookings at the high end of the company's $1.51 billion to $1.56 billion range, saying the metric could exceed the company's own guidance.NBA 2K26, Grand Theft Auto Online, Grand Theft Auto V and Toon Blast were among the largest contributors to net bookings, Take-Two said. Overall revenue increased to $1.68 billion in the March quarter from $1.58 billion a year ago.GTA VI's launch date was a key investor focus heading into the print. Originally scheduled to come out in 2025, Take-Two's Rockstar Games delayed the release of this iconic series first to May 26 this year and then to Nov. 19.Take-Two said Thursday GTA VI is set to be launched on Nov. 19. It will be available on PlayStation 5 and Xbox series X/S."We believe Fiscal 2027 will establish new record levels of operating performance driven by the November 19th launch of Grand Theft Auto VI, along with strong execution across our portfolio," Take-Two Chief Executive Strauss Zelnick said in a statement.The company's stock rose 6.2% in after-hours trading. It is down 7% this year through Thursday's close.Oppenheimer expects GTA VI to contribute $3.45 in non-GAAP EPS in fiscal 2027, assuming 40 million units are sold at a $70 base price. However, buyside estimates indicate that more than 50 million units may be sold, analyst Martin Yang said in a research note published earlier this week.An incremental 10 million GTA VI sales would add $1 to 2027 estimates, Yang said. "While we view (50 million) unit sales in (fiscal 2027) as possible, we believe management is unlikely to guide to such an optimistic goal initially," according to the report.For fiscal 2027, Take-Two expects net bookings in a range of $8 billion to $8.20 billion. That compares with 19% growth to $6.72 billion in the year just ended.EPS for the full year is pegged at $0.55 to $0.75, swinging from a loss annually. The consensus on FactSet is for GAAP EPS of $2.43. The company expects revenue between $7.90 billion and $8.10 billion.Bookings are projected to come in between $1.32 billion and $1.37 billion for the three-month period ending June 30, Take-Two said. The company anticipates a net loss of $0.15 to $0.23 and revenue between $1.45 billion and $1.50 billion. Analysts polled by FactSet expect a first-quarter loss of $0.40 per share.

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Dow Hits Record High Despite Nvidia's Decline; Oil Prices Fall
US Markets

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Spotify Details Long-Term Outlook, AI Music Deals With Universal; Shares Jump
US Markets

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