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Elf Beauty Likely to Post In-Line Earnings as Investors Brace For Conservative Guide, UBS Says

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Elf Beauty Likely to Post In-Line Earnings as Investors Brace For Conservative Guide, UBS Says

Elf Beauty (ELF) is expected to post fiscal fourth-quarter earnings in line with Wall Street's estimates, though investors are anticipating a conservative full-year outlook, UBS Securities said in a note.

The brokerage forecasts $0.29 in earnings per share at the cosmetics company for the quarter. The FactSet-polled consensus estimate is for $0.30 in adjusted EPS.

"We think the quarter itself will likely be solid and would not be surprised if top-line growth came in ahead of consensus driven by stronger results from Rhode," UBS analyst Peter Grom said in a note to clients.

Makeup and skincare brand Rhode, which Elf acquired in 2025, is expected to bring in $95 million in sales, compared with Street estimates that call for an $89 million contribution, according to the report dated Tuesday and emailed toWednesday.

Investors will be more interested in the initial full-year guidance, with Elf expected to provide a conservative outlook amid a challenging consumer backdrop, Grom said. The company has historically embedded some cushion in its initial expectations, according to UBS.

"We think investors are concerned as to whether the company can thread the needle and provide an outlook that appears more than achievable without causing concern on the top-line trajectory given tougher comps on the horizon," Grom said.

Shares of Elf, which is scheduled to report results May 20, have lost 33% since its last earnings report, UBS said. The stock declined 3.8% in Wednesday trade.

"We would expect the print itself to be a volatile event, and given the wide range of outcomes on both the top- and bottom-line, we would remain on the sidelines until visibility improves," Grom said.

Price: $53.75, Change: $-1.91, Percent Change: -3.43%

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