FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

Dow Retreats From Highs in Broad Sell-Off Following Fed Decision

By
Dow Retreats From Highs in Broad Sell-Off Following Fed Decision

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell from record highs Wednesday as markets reacted to the Federal Reserve's first policy decision under Kevin Warsh's leadership.

The Dow shed 1% to 51,492.6 after notching back-to-back closing highs. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.3% to 26,021.7, while the S&P 500 fell 1.2% to 7,420.1. All sectors ended in the red, led by communication services.

The Fed kept its monetary policy steady Wednesday to mark its fourth consecutive pause, removing the so-called easing bias from its statement. Fed policymakers raised its interest rate expectations through 2028 and their inflation projections for 2026 and 2027.

It was Warsh's first policy meeting as Fed chair, replacing Jerome Powell, who remains a Fed governor.

Warsh said at a post-meeting press conference that he didn't submit his rate forecast in the dot plot, which anonymously shows individual members' expectations regarding monetary policy, CNBC reported.

"The FOMC stuck a more hawkish tone under (Warsh's) debut appearance as the new Fed chair," Thomas Feltmate, senior economist at TD Economics, said in a report.

US Treasury yields jumped in late-afternoon trade, with the two-year rate last seen up about 16 basis points at 4.23% and the 10-year rate rising five basis points to 4.5%.

"The Fed's latest message was dramatically reduced from prior releases, perhaps a precursor (to) a new Warsh era of decisively more succinct language and more limited communication from Fed officials," Stifel Chief Economist Lindsey Piegza said in a report e-mailed to.

West Texas Intermediate crude oil was up 0.1% at $76.14 a barrel in Wednesday late-afternoon trade, while Brent was little changed at $78.98.

A draft agreement between the US and Iran includes a mechanism for Tehran to gain access to at least $300 billion in financing, as well as a commitment from the Islamic Republic that it will never produce nuclear weapons.

A formal signing ceremony is scheduled to take place in Switzerland Friday, which would kick off a 60-day period of further talks.

US President Donald Trump said Wednesday that the proposed memorandum of understanding with Iran is "not final" and that Washington would resume military operations if he doesn't like the Tehran deal, CNBC reported.

The International Energy Agency lowered its global oil demand forecast for 2026 amid war-driven headwinds while projecting a rebound next year.

"While the US-Iran interim agreement paves the way for a rebound in Middle East (oil) exports, operational and political constraints, including prolonged demining and unresolved transit arrangements, leave downside risks to the outlook," the agency said.

In economic news, US retail sales rose more than expected in May as consumers kept spending despite higher prices, official data showed.

In company news, CarMax's (KMX) fiscal first-quarter earnings fell year over year as comparable used vehicle sales swung negative. The used-vehicle retailer's shares slid 9%.

Carvana (CVNA) shares sank 10%, the steepest decline on the S&P 500.

Gold was down 2.2% at $4,258.60 per troy ounce, while silver slumped 4.1% to $67.17 per ounce.

Related Articles

Japan's Core Machinery Orders Jump in April Despite Global Uncertainty
US Markets

Japan's Core Machinery Orders Jump in April Despite Global Uncertainty

Japan's core machinery orders rebounded sharply in April, signaling resilient business investment despite growing uncertainty over the global economic outlook.Core machinery orders, which exclude volatile sectors such as ships and electric power, rose 8.7% month on month on a seasonally adjusted basis in April, according to data released by the Cabinet Office on Wednesday.The increase far exceeded the consensus forecast of a 1.2% gain, as tracked by Investing.com, and followed a 9.4% decline in March.On an annual basis, core machinery orders climbed 15.6% in April.The rebound suggests companies continued to invest in equipment and production capacity despite concerns over higher energy costs and geopolitical tensions.Manufacturing orders rose 5.1% to 513.5 billion yen, supported mainly by demand from the textile mill products and non-ferrous metals industries.Non-manufacturing orders increased 6.7% to 570.1 billion yen, reflecting steady investment activity across the services sector.The data offers a positive signal for Japan's capital spending outlook and comes shortly after the Bank of Japan raised interest rates to a 31-year high, saying the economy has continued to recover moderately despite uncertainty linked to the conflict in the Middle East.The machinery orders data also comes as Japanese companies navigate an evolving trade environment with the United States.Last year, President Donald Trump agreed to impose a 15% tariff on Japanese products and reduce duties on automobiles to the same level, while Japan pledged to increase investment in the U.S. economy.More recently, Washington proposed additional tariffs on imports from several trading partners, but Japanese Trade Minister Ryosei Akazawa said he confirmed with U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick that no tariffs beyond those agreed under last year's arrangement would be imposed on Japan.Global oil supply conditions may also improve in the coming months, following the U.S. and Iran's interim agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.Trump said the vital shipping route is expected to reopen on June 19 once the agreement is formally signed, potentially easing energy supply concerns for import-dependent economies such as Japan.

Nikkei 225
Japan Factory Sentiment Rises for Second Month on Chip Demand; Near-Term Outlook Dims
US Markets

Japan Factory Sentiment Rises for Second Month on Chip Demand; Near-Term Outlook Dims

Japanese manufacturers' sentiment improved for a second straight month in June, driven by strong demand from the semiconductor sector.The Reuters Tankan manufacturers' index climbed to plus-13 in June from plus-8 in May, according to the monthly poll conducted from June 3 to June 12 across 215 responding firms out of 490 polled.The print beat the Trading Economics forecast of plus-9.Non-manufacturers' sentiment also rose to plus-32 from plus-29 the previous month.The Reuters Tankan is a monthly leading indicator for the Bank of Japan's quarterly Tankan business survey, which measures current business conditions and economic outlook.The chemicals sub-index led the improvement, jumping to plus-20 from plus-6, as companies cited sustained demand for semiconductors."Despite geopolitical tensions, demand remains robust, especially in semiconductor-related sectors," a manager at a ​chemical company was quoted by Reuters as saying.Electronics and machinery makers also reported improving sentiment, with order books likewise supported by demand for chips.On the services side, real estate and construction confidence contributed to the non-manufacturing gain."Despite rising costs, demand for housing remains robust, and we are seeing a steady flow of new projects," a manager in the real estate industry reportedly said.However, companies flagged a more cautious outlook in the near term amid concerns over geopolitical risks and supply chain challenges, said Reuters.Manufacturers expect sentiment to hold at plus-13 in September, suggesting that momentum will remain positive, but not accelerating. Non-manufacturers forecast a sharper drop to plus-19 from plus-32.The transport machinery sector is among the most pessimistic across Japan's industries for the second half, with the index for the sector anticipated to fall to minus-13 in September from plus-13 in June."We are facing ongoing challenges in sourcing materials due to geopolitical tensions," a transport ⁠machinery company ​manager was quoted by Reuters as saying.The June Tankan survey arrives against a backdrop of moderating inflation and manufacturing activity.Japan's annual core inflation eased to a four-year low of 1.4% in April from 1.8% in March, missing the consensus forecast of 1.7% tracked by Investing.com. It remained below the Bank of Japan's 2% inflation target.On Tuesday, the BOJ raised its policy rate to a three-year high of 1% from 0.75%, as widely expected. It marked the first since December."With underlying inflation approaching 2%, we need to be mindful ​of upward price risks. We will guide policy so that we won't fall behind the curve," Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida told a news conference on ⁠behalf of Governor Kazuo Ueda, who missed the meeting to undergo medical treatment.On the activity side, the S&P Global Japan Manufacturing PMI slipped to 54.5 in May from April's 51-month high of 55.1 as input costs and selling prices rose at among the sharpest rates on record.

Nikkei 225
Update: Dow Logs Back-to-Back Record High in Mixed Session Ahead of Fed Decision
US Markets

Update: Dow Logs Back-to-Back Record High in Mixed Session Ahead of Fed Decision

(Updates with market moves at the end of the day.)The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit a fresh record high on Tuesday despite a sell-off in the technology sector, as the Federal Reserve kicked off its two-day monetary policy meeting.The Dow rose 0.6% to 51,999.7, notching a new closing high for a second straight day. The Nasdaq Composite fell 1.2% to 26,376.3, while the S&P 500 shed 0.6% to 7,511.4, the first decline in the past four sessions.Among sectors, financials paced the gainers, while tech saw the biggest drop.Among tech majors, Nvidia (NVDA) shares fell 2.4%, the biggest drop on the Dow, followed by Salesforce (CRM) and Microsoft (MSFT), respectively. On the S&P 500, Intel (INTC) was among the worst performers, down 8.5%.Markets widely expect the Fed to leave its benchmark lending rate unchanged Wednesday, which would mark the central bank's fourth straight pause, according to the CME FedWatch tool. The meeting is Kevin Warsh's first as Fed chair, who assumed the role last month, replacing Jerome Powell."The (Federal Open Market Committee) is expected to remove the lingering easing bias from the statement, signaling instead an equal probability of the next policy move being a rate cut or a rate hike," Stifel said in a note.The Fed is also scheduled to publish its latest Summary of Economic Projections, or SEP, document Wednesday. Stifel projects the Fed's "dot plot" to show most officials' expectations for a "stagnant" monetary policy for the rest of the year amid concerns over inflation.West Texas Intermediate crude oil was down 4.8% at $76.89 a barrel in Tuesday late-afternoon trade, while Brent dropped 4.2% to $79.66.The US and Iran recently agreed to end their war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which is the world's most important chokepoint for crude flows. The two sides are scheduled to sign their peace deal in Switzerland Friday, which would kick off another round of negotiations on Tehran's nuclear program as Iran seeks sanctions relief.Analysts have flagged the possibility of implementation risks and potential disagreements.Iran is demanding Israel withdraw from Lebanon, CNN reported."The path ahead is complex: watch for implementation disagreements, Gulf states' security demands, and Iran's continued leverage over the Strait of Hormuz," Deutsche Bank said in a note.US Treasury yields were lower, with the 10-year rate down 4.6 basis points at 4.44% and the two-year yield falling 2.3 basis points to 4.06%.In economic news, US housing starts plummeted to the lowest level since 2020 in May amid a steep drop in multi-family projects, government data showed."There is little indication that US home building will break to the upside anytime soon, given high mortgage rates, previous overbuilding in the South, elevated new home inventories relative to sales, and the current depressed level of builder activity in the (National Association of Home Builders) survey," BMO Capital Markets said in a note.In company news, Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX) agreed to acquire Anysphere, which operates artificial intelligence coding agent Cursor, in a deal worth about $60 billion, just days after the Elon Musk-led rocket and satellite company went public. SpaceX shares rose 4.8%, rising for the third straight day following its Friday debut.Olin (OLN) and Huntsman (HUN) agreed to merge in an all-stock deal to create a larger North American chemicals company with more than $12 billion in annual revenue. Huntsman shares slid 17%, while Olin fell 5.9%.Gold was last seen up 0.1% at $4,355.10 per troy ounce, while silver was little changed at $70.16 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$CRM$HUN$INTC$MSFT$NVDA$OLN$SPCX