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CIBCはChoice Properties REITの投資判断を「アウトパフォーム」に格上げし、目標株価を16.50ドルに据え置いた。

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-- CIBCキャピタル・マーケッツは、チョイス・プロパティーズREIT(CHP-UN.TO)の投資口の格付けを「アウトパフォーム」に引き上げ、目標株価を16.50ドルに据え置いた。 アナリストのタル・ウーリー氏は、約2週間前にファースト・キャピタルREIT(FCR-UN.TO)の資産50億ドル相当の買収を発表して以来、チョイスの投資口は6%下落したと指摘する。一方、小売REITは2%上昇、全REITは横ばいとなっている。 ウーリー氏は、「今回の買収は年間FFO/投資口当たりを3%希薄化させるものの、統合後のポートフォリオの質は向上し、全体的なオーガニック成長率の改善が見込まれるため、同業他社と比較した下落幅は過剰である」と述べ、チョイスの収益は依然として予測可能であると付け加えた。 ファースト・キャピタルとの買収によりレバレッジは上昇するが、これは削減可能であり、チョイス・プロパティーズには過去にレバレッジ削減に成功した実績がある。したがって、ウーリー氏は、若干低い収益に対して若干高い株価収益率(PER)は妥当であると考えている。 「予想総利回り約15%は、当社がカバーする小売REIT銘柄群(範囲:0%~15%、平均8%)の平均から上限に引き上げられたため、格付けを引き上げます。」 目標株価16.50ドルは、2027年予想FFO/ユニットの15.1倍(従来14.5倍)に基づき、1年後のNAV予想に対して10%のプレミアム(従来8%のプレミアム)に相当します。「これは同業他社グループの中では高い水準ですが、CHPの低いレバレッジ、魅力的な成長性、そして安定した業績を考慮すると、妥当な水準だと考えています。」 CIBCは、ファースト・キャピタルとの取引が第4四半期に完了することを前提としています。

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