FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

China Credit Demand Remains Weak in August as New Yuan Loans Miss Forecast

By
China Credit Demand Remains Weak in August as New Yuan Loans Miss Forecast

China's banks extended 60 billion yuan in new yuan loans in August, according to data from the People's Bank of China released Monday.

The figure was far below the 480 billion yuan consensus forecast tracked by Investing.com, highlighting continued weakness in demand for bank credit. Still, lending recovered from a record 340 billion yuan contraction in July.

The rebound came as China's slowing economy and subdued consumer sentiment, particularly in the housing market, continued to weigh on borrowing demand.

Outstanding yuan loans stood at 282.35 trillion yuan at the end of August, up 4.9% from a year earlier.

The pace of loan growth slowed from 5.1% in July, marking a record low and underscoring the persistent weakness in bank credit expansion.

The soft lending trend also reflects a changing financing landscape, with traditional sectors losing momentum while technology companies increasingly turn to bond markets rather than bank loans to raise funds.

Aggregate financing, a broader measure of credit across China's financial system, reached 1.66 trillion yuan in August, suggesting that government bond issuance continued to provide support to overall financing activity.

Meanwhile, the M2 money supply rose 7.5% year over year to 356.808 trillion yuan in August, easing from 7.7% growth in July and coming in slightly below the 7.6% market forecast.

Taken together, the figures point to persistently weak credit demand, even as broader financing conditions are supported by government bond issuance.

"While the [10 trillion yuan] debt resolution program has had some impact on loan growth, the recent slowdown can no longer be attributed to it, and instead points to still highly depressed private sector credit demand, as we recently analyzed," Nomura analysts said in a note to clients.

What else is happening in US Markets?

New Zealand Home Sales Slow, Prices Fall in August
US Markets

New Zealand Home Sales Slow, Prices Fall in August

New Zealand's house prices and sales fell in August, with houses taking longer to sell, making it the sixth-lowest August in 35 years of records, according to the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand.The national median sale price fell 1.3% year over year in August to NZ$750,000 as the sales count declined 13% to 5,430, while inventory levels jumped 9.7% to 32,908 units, with Auckland and Wellington now having seen 31 straight months of year-on-year inventory growth.Also, new listings fell 5.1% to 8,326, and properties took 51 days to sell, up 3 days from a year ago.Despite the broad decline, five out of 16 regions recorded positive year-on-year median price movements, with Southland and Tasman being the strongest performers, rising 7.4% and 5.6% in median prices respectively.REINZ noted that fixed mortgage rates moving higher, an unchanged official cash rate, along with household costs, job security, and global uncertainty were the key influences in the August housing market."Our members tell us they generally expect conditions to remain broadly steady over the coming months, with improving enquiry levels in some areas supporting cautious optimism," said REINZ Chief Executive Lizzy Ryley.ANZ said that the August data is consistent with its estimate that the housing market will remain soft over the coming months, and prices will end the year slightly lower than the start.

^NZ50
Update: Wall Street Dips as AI Warnings Weigh on Tech Sector
US Markets

Update: Wall Street Dips as AI Warnings Weigh on Tech Sector

(Updates with market moves at the end of the day, and other changes, if any.)Wall Street's equity benchmarks fell Monday as warnings from Anthropic and OpenAI on increasing safety risks tied to artificial intelligence triggered a selloff in the technology sector.The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite declined 0.6% to close at 26,186.41. The S&P 500 dropped 0.5% to 7,619.98, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.3% to 52,421.20. Most sectors ended in the red, led by tech, while communication services paced the gainers.Dario Amodei, chief executive of AI chatbot Claude maker Anthropic, called on the industry Saturday to slow the pace at which it advances AI model capabilities. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and Tesla (TSLA) and SpaceX (SPCX) CEO Elon Musk supported Amodei's call.OpenAI's initial public offering will not take place this year, Altman separately said in a Fortune Magazine interview, citing the need for safety-related work, according to Bloomberg News.Shares of tech bellwether Nvidia (NVDA) were the third-worst performer on the Dow, down 3.4%. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Micron Technology (MU), SanDisk (SNDK), Intel (INTC) and Qualcomm (QCOM) also closed lower.US President Donald Trump sought to allay those AI safety fears, calling them a "hoax.""AI taking over the world, destroying humanity, and all other things bad, is a hoax," he said in a social media post on Monday.In an earlier post on Truth Social, Trump said that "there is a sick conspiracy going on against AI and data centers, and the only one that is happy about it is China."West Texas Intermediate crude oil was up 1.7% at $101.76 a barrel in Monday late-afternoon trade, while Brent rose 1.6% to $106.23, both trading off the day's peaks.The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said it destroyed an advanced US MQ-1 drone over the Strait of Hormuz, a key crude and energy chokepoint, CNBC reported.A meeting to discuss the future of the strait, scheduled for Monday with Tehran and Gulf states, has been postponed, Omani Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi said on X. The postponement comes following Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis' attack on Saudi Arabia last week.Trump said Monday that Iran "wants to make a deal, quickly and badly.""I will determine whether or not the USA will choose to engage," Trump said in a social media post.Treasury yields were higher, with the two-year rate rising 1.4 basis points to 4.66% and the 10-year rate up 1.2 basis points at 4.99%.The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points at this week's policy meeting, with its latest "dot plot" likely signaling another hike later this year, UBS Securities said in a note. The Federal Open Market Committee kicks off its two-day meeting on Tuesday.Markets are currently pricing in a 95% probability that the Fed will raise the benchmark lending rate by 25 basis points on Wednesday, according to the CME FedWatch tool. The remaining odds point to another central bank pause.In other company news, Baldwin Insurance (BWIN) has agreed to be acquired and taken private by a consortium that includes the family investment firm of Dell Technologies (DELL) Chief Executive Michael Dell, in a deal worth $7.7 billion. Baldwin shares jumped 7.9%.Spot gold lost 1.5% to $4,285.73 per troy ounce, while silver shed 2.6% to $63.48 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AMD$BWIN$INTC$MU$NVDA$QCOM$SNDK$SPCX$TSLA
Residential Building Permits Drop, Sparking Inventory Shortage Concerns Amid Affordability Woes, Zillow Says
US Markets

Residential Building Permits Drop, Sparking Inventory Shortage Concerns Amid Affordability Woes, Zillow Says

The pace of residential building permits in the US fell further below its pre-pandemic trend line in the year ended July, triggering concerns about an intensifying house shortage amid ongoing affordability headwinds, Zillow Group (Z, ZG) said Monday.Nationally, more than 1.42 million permits were issued over the 12 months through July, down 1.7% year over year and running a record 19.4% below the trend line before the coronavirus pandemic, according to the real estate marketplace.Permitting in Austin, Texas, tumbled 25% over the past year, the biggest drop among major US markets. Permits more than doubled in San Jose, California, the report showed.The number of detached single-family homes built in 2025 decreased 2.5% year over year to roughly 817,000 units, marking a third consecutive drop, according to the report."With permitting at a post-pandemic low, the housing shortage at the root of today's affordability crisis could deepen," Zillow said.Homebuilders are completing projects more quickly and preferring smaller homes that are more affordable. This holds especially true in markets where builders had been building the most, Zillow Senior Economist Kara Ng said."That's an understandable reaction to today's conditions, but the housing shortage that drove the building boom is still very much intact," Ng added. "The concern is that when conditions improve and buyers return, the thinner pipeline could mean a tighter market that drives up prices."Last week, a report by the National Association of Realtors showed that US existing home sales in August hit the lowest level since June 2025 amid persistent affordability headwinds. Separately, Zillow said home sales fell annually last month as high mortgage rates dampened buyer demand and pushed more prospective buyers into a strengthening rental market.Price: $33.17, Change: $+0.67, Percent Change: +2.06%

$Z$ZG