-- モントリオール銀行(BMO)によると、月曜早朝、米ドル(USD)は軟調(BBDXY -0.25%)、カナダドル(CADまたはルーニー)は堅調(1米ドル=CAD -0.44%)となっている。 カナダ銀行は水曜日に政策声明と新たな金融政策報告書(MPR)を発表する予定だ。BMOは、カナダ銀行は金利を据え置くと予想している。 BMOによると、カナダ銀行は最新のMPRも発表し、潜在成長率の予測値(1%台前半)と中立金利の予測値(2.25%~3.25%)を更新する予定だ。 また、今週のカナダの経済指標としては、火曜日にカナダ政府が発表する春季経済見通しがある。これは、11月に発表された2026/27年度予算で示された予測値を更新するものだ。BMOは、当初予算で示された654億ドルの財政赤字と比較すると、財政面で若干の上振れが見られると指摘している。 木曜日、BMOは、カナダ統計局の速報値と一致する形で、2月の実質国内総生産(GDP)成長率が前月比でさらに0.1ポイント加速し、0.2%になると予想した。3月の速報値は、イラン戦争勃発に対する初期反応を反映するものとなるため、注目に値する。
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