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Aussie Broadband's Ability to Deliver Its Fiscal Year 2028 Ambitions Faces Limited Impact from Satellite Disruption Threat, Jarden Says

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Aussie Broadband's (ASX:ABB) ability to deliver its fiscal year 2028 ambitions will face limited impact from the threat of satellite internet disruption, Jarden said in a Tuesday report.

Starlink could emerge as a structural threat, amid SpaceX's stated ambition to move upmarket into suburban and urban premises. However, Starlink's share gains to date have not come at the expense of NBN connections. Starlink has lifted total household internet penetration, while fixed-line NBN connections have remained stable in absolute terms.

Aussie Broadband's group cost growth, excluding acquisitions, will run below the consumer price index, allowing the firm to grow earnings organically ahead of market expectations despite the residential slowdown. It will compound underlying earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization at around 21%, from fiscal year 2025 to fiscal year 2028.

The investment firm upgraded its rating on Aussie Broadband to overweight from neutral and retained its AU$5.50 per share price target.

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