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麦格理经济学家展望本周加拿大央行政策会议

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-- 加拿大央行将于美国东部时间周三上午9:45发布政策声明。 麦格理首席经济学家大卫·多伊尔表示,其基本预期是维持利率不变,隔夜利率可能维持在2.25%。 多伊尔指出,鉴于当前高度不确定性,前瞻性指引应保持“模糊”。 他指出,近期油价飙升可能会加剧人们对通胀的担忧。尽管如此,2026年迄今为止的基本消费者价格指数数据显示通胀有所缓和,表明近期不太可能出现加息信号。 虽然加拿大央行可能不会在本次会议上发出加息信号,但麦格理仍然认为下一步政策举措将是加息。 多伊尔认为,加息应该会在今年晚些时候,在劳动力市场改善和通胀高于目标水平的背景下进行。

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